Villarreal vs Alaves Prediction LaLiga 10.01.2026
Villarreal vs Alaves Prediction LaLiga
Villarreal vs Alaves Prediction and Betting Tips for Matchday 19 of the Spanish top flight, scheduled for January 10, 2026, at 15:15 GMT. The match will be broadcast live on LaLiga TV and Premier Sports Player. The clash takes place at the Estadio de la Ceramica, with the home side looking to cement their position in the top three. Villarreal enters this fixture with 38 points, while the visitors are languishing in 13th place with just 19 points. In this article, you’ll discover LaLiga Predictions from XpertStats tipsters.
- Villarreal currently occupies third place in La Liga having secured twelve victories from seventeen league matches.
- The Yellow Submarine boasts one of the strongest defensive records in the division this football season.
- Alaves struggles on the road having managed only one victory in their eight away league fixtures.
- The visiting side has the second worst attacking record in the league with only fourteen goals.
- Logan Costa and Pau Cabanes will be unavailable for the hosts due to their recent injuries.
- Carlos Protesoni is suspended for Alaves following a red card in their previous league match.
Marcelino has transformed Villarreal into a genuine powerhouse this season, balancing a tight defense with a clinical attack. Despite a slight setback against Barcelona at the end of 2025, the team showed their resilience by dispatching Elche 3-1 in their last outing. They currently sit level with Atletico Madrid but hold a significant advantage with two games in hand. Their home form is nothing short of spectacular, having earned 22 points from nine matches. Still, they must navigate this fixture without Logan Costa and Pau Cabanes, while international duties have stripped them of Ilias Akhomach and Pape Gueye. Even so, the return of Renato Veiga from suspension is a massive boost for the back four.
Statistically, the Yellow Submarine is a nightmare for visiting teams at the Ceramica. They average 2.22 goals scored per home match, which is a testament to their aggressive style of play. More impressively, they only concede 0.67 goals on average when playing at home, giving them the joint-best defensive record in Spain. While they have struggled in cup competitions lately, their focus on the league is laser-sharp. Can he really turn things around for the front line? It is hard to say how the rotation will affect them, but the depth in Marcelino’s squad has been their saving grace throughout the winter period. That is a bold move to rely on youth, but maybe the right one given the circumstances.
On the other side of the pitch, Alaves is a team desperately searching for a spark. Eduardo Coudet’s men haven’t tasted victory in the league for over a month, and a 1-1 draw with bottom-placed Real Oviedo did little to calm the nerves of the fans. They are currently just three points clear of the relegation zone, meaning every point is precious. Historically, Alaves has actually fared well against Villarreal with 16 wins in 32 meetings, but historical data rarely accounts for current momentum. The loss of Carlos Protesoni to suspension further complicates their tactical setup, leaving a hole in a midfield that already struggles to retain possession against elite opposition.
The visiting side’s primary struggle remains their lack of clinical finishing. With only 14 goals scored all season, they possess the joint-second worst attacking record in the division. When you pair that with their away form, where they have lost seven out of eight games, the outlook seems bleak. They concede an average of 1.38 goals per away match, which aligns poorly with Villarreal’s high scoring rate. That said, football is full of surprises, and Alaves did manage a win in this fixture last March. However, current LaLiga Predictions suggest that the gap in quality and defensive organization will likely be too wide for the visitors to bridge this time around at the Ceramica.
Villarreal manager Marcelino García Toral has addressed his future at the club, emphasizing that total mutual trust is essential for a contract extension. Ahead of the clash against Alavés, the coach noted he wishes to avoid the friction that marked his previous departure. Despite the uncertainty, Marcelino remains focused on securing a top-three spot, praising Dani Parejo’s leadership as the team aims for a historic 44-point first half.
| GK | L. Junior |
| DF | A. Pedraza, R. Veiga, R. Marín, S. Mouriño |
| MF | A. Moleiro, D. Parejo, S. Comesaña, N. Pépé |
| FW | G. Mikautadze, A. Pérez |
| OUT |
L. Costa(OUT),
W. Kambwala(OUT),
P. Navarro(OUT),
I. Akhomach(OUT),
P. Gueye(OUT),
|
| GK | A. Sivera |
| DF | J. Castro, N. Tenaglia, S. Pacheco, M. Parada |
| MF | A. Guevara, A. Blanco C. Vicente, P. Ibáñez, A. Rebbach |
| FW | T. Martínez |
| OUT |
L. Boyé(OUT),
B. Garcés(OUT),
Denis S.(OUT),
F. Protesoni(OUT),
Mariano(OUT),
M. Diarra(OUT),
|
Villarreal's dominance at the Estadio de la Ceramica is the primary driver for this selection. They have amassed twenty-two points from just nine home fixtures, demonstrating remarkable consistency in front of their fans. In contrast, Alaves has struggled immensely on their travels, managing just one victory from eight away matches this season. The statistical gap is significant as Villarreal averages 2.22 goals per home game while conceding only 0.67. Alaves, plagued by a lack of offensive output with only fourteen goals scored all season, will find it difficult to penetrate the joint-best defense in the league. With key players like Renato Veiga returning to the starting lineup, the Yellow Submarine possesses the tactical depth to overcome their injury concerns. Given the current momentum and the fact that Alaves has not won a league match in over a month, a home win for the third-placed side remains the most logical outcome.
Predicting at least two goals in this encounter is backed by consistent seasonal data. Villarreal matches at home have been high scoring affairs, averaging 2.89 total goals per game. Their ability to find the back of the net is consistent, and they have surpassed the 1.5 goal mark in nearly nine out of every ten home matches. Alaves, while struggling to score, still contributes to the total match goal count through their defensive lapses on the road. The visitors concede over a goal per game on average when playing away from home. Furthermore, history shows that these two teams rarely play out scoreless draws, with only three draws in their last 32 meetings. With Villarreal missing some defensive starters like Logan Costa, there might even be a window for Alaves to contribute a goal, making the Over 1.5 goals market a very safe and statistically sound selection for bettors.
Watch Villarreal vs Alaves Last Match Highlights
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FAQ – Villarreal vs Alaves Prediction
Who is the favorite to win between Villarreal and Alaves?
Villarreal are the heavy favorites due to their third-place standing and excellent home record of 22 points from nine games.
Where can I watch Villarreal vs Alaves live?
The Villarreal vs Alaves La Liga match will be broadcast live on LaLiga TV and Premier Sports Player.
What time does Villarreal vs Alaves start?
Kick-off is scheduled for 15:15 (GMT) on Saturday, January 10, 2026.
Author
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View all postsAlexandru Florin is a football betting expert, providing tips and accumulator predictions for xpertstats.com since 2022. With a strong focus on data-driven analysis, he delivers well-researched insights and reliable advice for bettors aiming for long-term profit.
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