Valencia vs Alaves Prediction and Betting Tips for the LaLiga, scheduled for Sunday, March 08, 2026, at 20:00 GMT. The match will be broadcast live on ESPN and Fubo Sports Network from the Estadio de Mestalla in Valencia. Get our Free LaLiga Predictions here.
The hosts enter this fixture in 14th place with 29 points after 26 matches. Valencia has a decent home record, averaging 1.54 points per match at Mestalla. Meanwhile, Alaves struggles on the road, sitting in 16th overall and managing just two away victories all season long.
Valencia vs Alaves Key Facts and Stats
Valencia picked up six points from their last five games with an average of 1.2 points.
Hugo Duro remains the top threat for the hosts having scored seven goals this current season.
Alaves failed to score in two of their last five matches during a difficult recent run.
Both teams are expected to utilize a traditional 4-4-2 formation to maintain a defensive balance.
The visitors have fired blanks in ten games this season showing significant issues in their attack.
Valencia is missing several key players including Diakhaby and Copete due to various injury problems.
Solid home defense conceding only 1 goal per match.
High percentage of home matches with over 8.5 corners at 85%.
Top 5 ranking for average corners won at home.
- Valencia's Weaknesses
Low percentage of home matches ending over 2.5 goals at 23%.
High average of fouls committed per match at 12.69.
Currently sits in the middle of the table in 14th place.
League Position
16
+ Alaves's Strengths
High average of fouls won away with 13.15 per match.
High average of shots on target in away matches at 3.54.
Disciplined team with low average of cards received.
- Alaves's Weaknesses
Worst away attack in the league scoring 0.54 goals per match.
Among the bottom four teams in away standings at 17th.
High average of goals conceded on the road with 1.46.
Match Preview
Carlos Corberan is dealing with a bit of a selection headache right now. With Diakhaby and Copete sidelined, the defensive structure might feel a bit patched up. Still, Hugo Duro is available and he has been their most reliable source for goals with seven so far.
Largie Ramazani could be a wild card here. He averages 0.79 goals per 90 minutes which is actually higher than Duro. If he gets enough time on the pitch, his pace might really bother the Alaves backline. Thierry Correia also needs to stay disciplined throughout.
Playing at Mestalla usually gives this team a lift. They have only conceded 13 goals in 13 home games which is quite solid. It is clear that Corberan prioritizes a tight ship when playing in front of their own fans to secure necessary points.
Quique Sanchez Flores has his own problems to solve, especially with Pablo Ibañez and Victor Parada out on suspension. Losing Ibañez is a blow since he has been one of their more consistent performers in the middle of the park this year.
Lucas Boye is the man they will look toward for a spark. He has seven goals this term but the service to him has been poor lately. If Carlos Vicente Robles can find some space out wide, Alaves might actually create some real danger.
The away form for Alaves is quite concerning for the traveling supporters. Averaging only 0.54 goals per match on the road makes winning very difficult. They will likely play a very conservative game to try and find Free LaLiga Predictions tonight.
Valencia head coach Carlos Corberán emphasized the importance of securing a home victory against Alavés to distance the club from the relegation zone. While welcoming back Saravia, the manager confirmed Lucas Beltrán remains sidelined with a tendon injury. Corberán also addressed financial misconceptions, noting that La Liga’s salary limits often fail to reflect the actual cost of a squad, urging a focus on on-field performance instead.
Looking at the data, this match screams a low scoring affair. Valencia averages only 1.23 goals at home while Alaves is even worse on the road. The visitors score a tiny 0.54 goals per away game. With both teams struggling to find the net consistently, it is hard to imagine many goals. Defensive tactics will likely dominate the flow of the game at Mestalla.
The statistics back this up perfectly. Only 23% of Valencia home games go over 2.5 goals this season. Alaves matches away from home are similar with a low 31% reaching that mark. Both managers are expected to use a 4-4-2 setup which emphasizes a narrow defense. Expect a tactical battle where 1 goal might decide the outcome for either side on Sunday night.
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FAQ – Valencia vs Alaves Prediction
Who is the favorite in the Valencia vs Alaves match?
Valencia is the slight favorite due to their home advantage at Mestalla and Alaves having the worst away attack in the league.
Where can I watch Valencia vs Alaves live?
The Valencia vs Alaves LaLiga match will be broadcast live on ESPN and Fubo Sports Network.
What time does Valencia vs Alaves start?
Kick-off is scheduled for 20:00 (GMT) on Sunday, March 08, 2026.
Which players are missing for this game?
Valencia is missing Diakhaby and Copete, while Alaves is without Ibañez and Parada who are currently out due to suspension.
What is the best betting tip for Valencia vs Alaves?
Based on the scoring averages of both teams, the best bet appears to be Under 2.5 goals at Mestalla.
Alexandru Florin is a football betting expert, providing tips and accumulator predictions for xpertstats.com since 2022. With a strong focus on data-driven analysis, he delivers well-researched insights and reliable advice for bettors aiming for long-term profit.
