Sunderland vs Nottingham Prediction and Betting Tips
Sunderland vs Nottingham Prediction and Betting Tips is set for Friday, April 24, 2026, at the Stadium of Light, with kick off at 20:00 GMT. NBC and Peacock handle USA coverage, Darren England is the referee, and Premier League Stats adds a useful backdrop.
Both clubs have taken 9 points from their last 5 matches, though the patterns are a bit stubbornly different. Sunderland have scored 7 in that spell and seen BTTS land only twice, while Nottingham arrive unbeaten in 5, with 10 goals scored and growing away confidence.
Sunderland vs Nottingham Key Facts and Stats
Sunderland have won 3 of their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing only twice.
Nottingham are unbeaten across 5 matches and have scored 10 goals in that stretch.
Sunderland concede just 0.88 home goals per game, the league’s 3rd best home mark.
Nottingham have scored in each of their last 7 away matches, a quietly important trend.
Sunderland average only 3.69 corners won at home, among the division’s lowest returns.
Nottingham average 1.13 goals scored away, while Sunderland score 1.44 per home game.
3rd best home defense in the league with only 0.88 goals conceded per match
Strong home return of 1.81 points per game, ranking 6th in the home table
Low average of 9.75 fouls committed, suggesting a calmer and more controlled style
Recent form is steady, with 3 wins from the last 5 matches
- Sunderland's Weaknesses
Only 3.69 corners won per home match, the 19th lowest return in the division
Average of just 3.44 shots on target per match points to limited attacking punch
Only 44% of home matches have gone over 2.5 goals, showing a lack of attacking explosiveness
League Position
16
+ Nottingham's Strengths
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches, with 10 goals scored across that run
Scored in each of the last 7 away matches, showing growing confidence on the road
56% of away matches have gone over 2.5 goals, reflecting a more open and lively style
88% of away matches have cleared 1.5 total goals, a strong indicator of attacking involvement
- Nottingham's Weaknesses
16th in the overall league table, with only 1.09 points per match
Have failed to score in 14 league matches this season, which is 42% of all games
Concede 5.56 corners per away match, suggesting opponents can pin them back for spells
Match Preview
Sunderland have been awkward to break down at the Stadium of Light all season, conceding just 0.88 goals per home game, the 3rd best figure in the league. That explains why Regis Le Bris’ side sit 6th in the home table. It is not flashy, but it is effective.
Brobbey could be central to the home threat again. He is Sunderland’s top scorer with 6 goals and also draws attention physically, even if his 5 cards hint at a combative edge. Enzo Le Fée has added 4 goals from deeper areas, while Mukiele contributes at both ends with 3.
There is a slight concern around Sunderland’s chance volume, though. They average only 3.44 shots on target and just 3.69 corners won at home, both pretty modest numbers. Omar Alderete is also doubtful after a knock, and that matters because experience, frankly, can steady tense nights like this.
Nottingham arrive in better rhythm than their league position suggests. They are unbeaten in 5 matches, have collected 9 points from that run, and have scored 10 times. More telling still, they have found the net in each of their last 7 away games, which gives this trip real bite.
Morgan Gibbs-White is the obvious danger man after 12 goals this season, and he should again lead the line alongside Chris Wood. At the back, Milenković has been ever present and carries 6 cards, while Neco Williams has 7, so Forest’s defenders are not exactly shy when the duels start.
Forest do have selection doubts, though. Callum Hudson-Odoi is out, while Elliot Anderson and Murillo are uncertain, and both could be big misses if they fail to recover. Even so, Sunderland’s sturdy home defending against Forest’s improving away threat makes this one a classic puzzle for Premier League Stats readers.
Sunderland vs Nottingham Predicted Lineups
Sunderland (4-2-3-1)
Régis Le Bris
GK
R. Roefs
DF
T. Hume, N. Mukiele, D. Ballard, R. Mandava
MF
N. Sadiki, G. Xhaka C. Rigg, H. Diarra, E. Le Fée
FW
B. Brobbey
OUT
N. Angulo(QUES),
O. Alderete(QUES),
B. Traore(OUT),
J. Ta Bi(OUT),
S. Moore(OUT)
Forest (4-4-2)
Vitor Pereira
GK
M. Sels
DF
O. Aina, N. Milenkovic, Murillo, N. Williams
MF
O. Hutchinson, E. Anderson, I. Sangaré, M. Gibbs-White
FW
I. Jesus, C. Wood
OUT
D. Ndoye(QUES),
E. Anderson(QUES),
Murillo(QUES),
C. Hudson-Odoi(OUT)
Referee
Darren England
Prediction
Prediction: 1X @1.48
Sunderland’s case for avoiding defeat starts with the Stadium of Light numbers. They are 6th in the home table with 1.81 points per game and concede only 0.88 goals there, the 3rd best home defensive average in the league. Nottingham are improving, yes, but they still sit 16th overall. That gap matters, especially in a game that feels likely to be decided by small details.
Forest have gone 5 matches unbeaten and scored in 7 straight away games, so backing Sunderland outright feels a touch too bold. Still, the 1X line leaves room for that pressure. Sunderland have won 3 of their last 5 matches, while BTTS has landed only twice in that spell. In a tighter contest, their defensive floor gives the safer angle.
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FAQ - Sunderland vs Nottingham Prediction
Who will win between Sunderland and Nottingham?
Sunderland look stronger at home, but Nottingham arrive unbeaten in 5 matches. The safer angle is Sunderland or draw rather than a straight home win.
Where can I watch Sunderland vs Nottingham live?
The Sunderland vs Nottingham Premier League match will be broadcast live on NBC and Peacock in the USA.
What time does Sunderland vs Nottingham start?
Kick off is scheduled for 20:00 GMT on Friday, April 24, 2026.
Why is Sunderland a tricky team to face at home?
Sunderland concede only 0.88 goals per home match, which is the 3rd best home defensive figure in the league. That gives them a very solid base.
Which players could shape this match most?
Brian Brobbey is Sunderland’s top scorer with 6 goals, while Morgan Gibbs-White leads Nottingham with 12. Their moments in the final third could decide a close game.
Alexandru Florin is a football betting expert, providing tips and accumulator predictions for xpertstats.com since 2022. With a strong focus on data-driven analysis, he delivers well-researched insights and reliable advice for bettors aiming for long-term profit.
