Southampton vs Arsenal Prediction and Betting Tips
Southampton vs Arsenal Prediction and Betting Tips for this FA Cup quarter-final on Saturday, April 4, 2026, at 20:00 GMT. The match is set for St Mary's Stadium and will be broadcast on TNT Sports 1. Explore Best FA Cup Stats for more insights.
Southampton come into this match in spectacular form, currently enjoying an unbeaten run that has lasted 14 games. Arsenal are the Premier League leaders, but they are licking their wounds after a cup final loss. This clash at St Mary's promises high intensity and plenty of drama.
Southampton vs Arsenal Key Facts and Stats
Southampton are currently enjoying a brilliant 14 match unbeaten run across all football competitions.
The Saints have managed to find the back of the net in 15 consecutive games.
Arsenal have not lost a single match in their last 14 outings away from home.
The Gunners have successfully kept clean sheets in 45% of their total matches this season.
In their most recent encounter, Arsenal secured a hard fought 2-1 victory against the Saints.
Southampton have only suffered a single defeat in their last 15 matches in the league.
Best home defense in the league with 0.2 goals conceded per match.
High scoring threat with an average of 2.0 goals per home game.
Strong offensive pressure winning an average of 5.6 corners per match.
Currently on a massive 14 game unbeaten run across all competitions.
- Southampton's Weaknesses
Low percentage of matches over 2.5 goals at just 20%.
Only 20% of home matches result in both teams scoring.
+ Arsenal's Strengths
Ranked 1st in the Premier League and lead the title race.
Incredible away form with 14 consecutive matches unbeaten on the road.
High scoring consistency averaging 1.8 goals per away match.
High percentage of matches with over 1.5 goals at 80%.
- Arsenal's Weaknesses
Aggressive playstyle resulting in 3.0 cards received on average per game.
Low corner production winning only 3.6 corners per away match.
Match Preview
Southampton are flying in the Championship right now. They occupy 6th place and look like serious playoff contenders. Tonda Eckert has turned them into a scoring machine, netting in 15 straight games. The atmosphere at St Mary's will be absolutely massive for this quarter-final tie.
Defensively, the Saints are like a brick wall at home. They only concede 0.2 goals per match on average. That is a crazy stat when you think about it. However, they will miss Flynn Downes and Kuryu Matsuki through suspension, which might hurt their rhythm.
The run they are on is nothing short of legendary. Unbeaten in 14 games is no small feat. They already knocked out Fulham, so they know how to handle top-flight opposition. If they stay disciplined, an upset is not off the table for Saturday's massive clash.
Arsenal lead the Premier League but arrive after a tough loss. Falling to Manchester City in the EFL Cup final was a bitter pill to swallow. Still, Mikel Arteta's men have been incredible on the road, staying unbeaten in 14 consecutive away matches recently.
Injury news is a bit of a nightmare for the Gunners. Max Dowman might start because Noni Madueke and Bukayo Saka are major doubts. Without Eberechi Eze and Martin Odegaard, the creative spark might be missing. Arteta needs others to step up in midfield tonight.
Despite the injuries, the Gunners are favorites for a reason. They keep clean sheets in nearly half their games. Their efficiency in front of goal is high, even when missing key stars. They want that historic treble, so expect a professional performance. Explore Best FA Cup Stats
Mikel Arteta faces a selection dilemma ahead of Arsenal’s FA Cup quarter-final clash with Southampton. While Martin Odegaard and Jurrien Timber are in contention to return, the Gunners will be without Piero Hincapie and Eberechi Eze. With a crucial Champions League fixture looming in Portugal, Arteta may look toward youngsters like Max Dowman as he navigates a squad currently managing fitness concerns for twelve first-team players.
J. Bree, T. Harwood-Bellis, J. Stephens, R. Manning
MF
F. Downes, S. Charles T. Fellows, F. Azaz, C. Archer
FW
C. Larin
OUT
L. Scienza(OUT),
A. McCarthy(OUT),
M. Roerslev(OUT),
Welington(OUT),
J. Robinson(QUES)
Arsenal (4-2-3-1)
Mikel Arteta
GK
K. Arrizabalaga
DF
B. White, W. Saliba, C. Mosquera, P. Hincapié
MF
M. Zubimendi, D. Rice B. Saka, K. Havertz, L. Trossard
FW
V. Gyökeres
OUT
E. Eze(OUT),
N. Madueke(OUT),
P. Hincapié(OUT),
M. Merino(OUT),
D. Rice(QUES),
B. Saka(QUES),
M. Zubimendi(QUES),
G. Magalhães(QUES),
W. Saliba(QUES),
L. Trossard(QUES)
Prediction
Both Teams to Score @1.87
Southampton enter this match with a scoring streak that spans 15 consecutive games. They have managed to score in 95% of their matches this season. Even against top flight teams like Fulham, they found the net. Arsenal have a strong attack but are missing several defensive starters. This creates a perfect environment for both sides to score at least once during the 90 minutes.
Arsenal are currently averaging 1.8 goals per match when playing away from home. They have scored in both halves in 48% of their matches this campaign. However, the Gunners have also conceded in recent games, including the EFL Cup final. Given the Saints' home form and Arsenal's high pressure style, we expect goals at both ends of the pitch on Saturday night.
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FAQ – Southampton vs Arsenal Prediction
Who is the favorite to win this FA Cup tie?
Arsenal are the favorites due to their Premier League status, but Southampton's 14 match unbeaten run makes them a serious threat at home.
Where can I watch the Southampton vs Arsenal live?
The Southampton vs Arsenal FA Cup match will be broadcast live on TNT Sports 1 and ESPN (USA).
What time does Southampton vs Arsenal start?
Kick-off is scheduled for 20:00 (GMT) on Saturday, April 4, 2026.
Are there any major injuries for Arsenal?
Yes, Arsenal are missing several players including Noni Madueke and Eberechi Eze, while Bukayo Saka and Martin Odegaard remain doubtful.
Who are Southampton missing for this match?
The Saints will be without Flynn Downes and Kuryu Matsuki due to suspension, along with several injured defenders like Mads Roerslev.
Alexandru Florin is a football betting expert, providing tips and accumulator predictions for xpertstats.com since 2022. With a strong focus on data-driven analysis, he delivers well-researched insights and reliable advice for bettors aiming for long-term profit.