Parma vs Cagliari Prediction and Betting Tips for the Serie A clash on Friday, February 27, 2026, at 19:45 GMT. The game takes place at the Stadio Ennio Tardini and features referee Luca Massimi. Fans can watch the match live on DAZN or Paramount+ for the local broadcast details.
Both teams sit in the bottom half of the table with Parma holding a slight three point advantage. The hosts are currently enjoying a three game unbeaten streak while the visitors have failed to score recently. Here are the best Serie A Predictions for today.
Parma vs Cagliari Key Facts and Stats
Parma has managed to collect 9 points from their previous 5 matches in the league.
The home side has successfully found the back of the net in 4 consecutive games.
Cagliari currently struggles with a scoring drought after failing to score in their last 3.
Over 1.5 goals have been scored in 85% of Cagliari matches played away from home.
Both teams together average 4.27 cards per match based on the statistics from this season.
Parma averages 12.69 shots per home match as they look to pressure the opposition defense.
High average of fouls won with 14.54 per home match
Top team scorer Mateo Pellegrino has 7 goals this season
Currently on a 3 game unbeaten streak in the league
Averages 12.69 shots per match in front of home fans
- Parma's Weaknesses
One of the bottom 3 home attacks with 0.77 goals
Fired blanks in 46% of their matches this season
Low average of points per home match with only 1
League Position
13
+ Cagliari's Strengths
High percentage of away matches over 1.5 goals at 85%
Aggressive style with 15.31 fouls committed per away game
Semih Kilicsoy has a high 0.45 goals per 90 minutes
High percentage of away matches with BTTS at 62%
- Cagliari's Weaknesses
Bottom 3 in corners won away with only 3 per match
Failed to score any goals in their last 3 matches
Concedes 1.54 goals per match on average when away
Match Preview
Carlos Cuesta has Parma playing with a bit more confidence lately. They have found the net in four consecutive games which is a step in the right direction. Mateo Pellegrino will lead the line having scored 7 goals this season. His presence is vital for their attacking output.
Still, the lack of clinical finishing has haunted them at the Tardini where they only average 0.77 goals. Missing players like Abdoulaye Ndiaye and Matija Frigan certainly does not help. They will need Adrian Bernabe to control the midfield tempo to keep the pressure on Cagliari.
The defense will likely feature Mariano Troilo who has one goal to his name this season. Parma averages 1.38 goals conceded at home so they must stay compact. If Zion Suzuki is unable to start in goal, the pressure on the back three will only increase.
Fabio Pisacane has some serious injury headaches ahead of this trip. Missing Andrea Belotti and Gennaro Borrelli is a massive blow to their attacking options. Semih Kilicsoy becomes the primary threat now. He has 4 goals and will need to break their three match scoring drought.
Defensively, Cagliari struggles on the road allowing 1.54 goals per match on average. Yerry Mina is suspended which leaves a huge gap in the center of their defense. They must be disciplined as they concede quite a few corners and fouls when playing away from home.
It is hard to see many goals here given the recent form of both attacks. Cagliari might focus on a defensive setup to secure a point. Even so, this Serie A Predictions piece leans toward a tight game. We expect a low scoring tactical battle at the Tardini.
citat
Parma vs Cagliari Predicted Lineups
Parma (3-5-2)
Carlos Cuesta
GK
E. Corvi
DF
E. Del Prato, M. Troilo, L. Valenti
MF
S. Britschgi, A. Bernabé, M. Keita, C. Ordoñez, E. Valeri
FW
M. Pellegrino, G. Strefezza
OUT
Z. Suzuki(QUES),
M. Frigan(OUT),
P. Almqvist(OUT),
A. Ndiaye(OUT),
Cagliari (4-4-2)
Fabio Pisacane
GK
E. Caprile
DF
M. Palestra, Z. Pedro, A. Dossena, A. Obert
MF
M. N. Adopo, J. Rodríguez, I. Sulemana, R. Idrissi
FW
S. Kilicsoy, S. Esposito
OUT
A. Belotti(OUT),
M. Felici(OUT),
A. Deiola(OUT),
G. Gaetano(OUT),
Y. Mina(OUT),
L. Mazzitelli(OUT),
G. Borrelli(OUT),
Referee
Luca MASSIMI
Prediction
Under 10.5 Corners @1.47
Both teams show very low corner statistics throughout the current season. Parma only manages 4.31 corners per match at the Stadio Ennio Tardini while Cagliari sits at the bottom of the rankings with only 3 corners won per away game. These combined numbers suggest a very low probability of the match reaching double digits in this specific statistical category during the 90 minutes.
Tactical approaches also support a low corner count. Cagliari often plays a more reserved style on the road which results in fewer attacking opportunities. Furthermore, the absence of key target men like Andrea Belotti means they are less likely to force defensive clearances over the goal line. Expect a match played mostly in the middle third where corner producing situations remain quite rare overall.
Data is the foundation of every successful prediction. At XpertStats, we provide a massive catalog of metrics, including corner analytics, discipline stats, and player-specific data. If you are looking for high-probability outcomes, our Both Teams to Score Tips are backed by detailed H2H archives and recent form tracking. Navigate our home and away standings or use our intensity charts to identify the strongest betting opportunities across all major leagues worldwide.
FAQ – Parma vs Cagliari Prediction
Who will win between Parma and Cagliari?
Parma are slight favorites due to their home advantage and 3 match unbeaten run, but Cagliari's defensive grit could lead to a draw.
Where can I watch Parma vs Cagliari live?
The Parma vs Cagliari Serie A match will be broadcast live on DAZN and Paramount+ (USA).
What time does Parma vs Cagliari start?
Kick-off is scheduled for 19:45 (GMT) on Friday, February 27, 2026.
Which players are missing for Cagliari?
Cagliari is missing several key players including Andrea Belotti, Gennaro Borrelli, and the suspended Yerry Mina.
What is the predicted score for this match?
Given the low scoring averages of both sides at home and away, a tight 1-0 or 1-1 result is highly likely.
Alexandru Florin is a football betting expert, providing tips and accumulator predictions for xpertstats.com since 2022. With a strong focus on data-driven analysis, he delivers well-researched insights and reliable advice for bettors aiming for long-term profit.
