Newcastle vs Everton Prediction and Betting Tips. Newcastle hosts the Toffees at St. James' Park on Saturday, February 28, 2026. Kick-off is scheduled for 15:00 GMT, with live coverage on NBC and Peacock. Referee Stuart Attwell is in charge. Read Free Premier League Predictions for this match.
The Magpies are currently 11th, while Everton sits in 9th place. Newcastle scores frequently at home but struggles defensively. Everton is incredibly tough on the road lately, remaining unbeaten in five games. Both sides have seen BTTS land in four of their last five matches, ensuring high drama.
Newcastle vs Everton Key Facts and Stats
Newcastle averages 7.46 corners per home game, the highest mark in the entire Premier League.
Everton has been incredibly resilient recently, remaining unbeaten in their previous five matches away from home.
St. James' Park sees plenty of action with Newcastle home games averaging 3.38 total goals scored.
The visiting side struggles to win corners on the road, managing only 3.46 per 90 minutes.
Both teams have high BTTS rates lately, with four of their last five games seeing goals.
Newcastle will be without Bruno Guimarães today, which is a massive blow to their midfield control.
Most dangerous team for set pieces with a league high 7.46 corners won per home match.
Powerful offensive unit ranking 4th in the Premier League with 1.85 goals scored per game.
High pressure attacking style resulting in 14.38 shots per match at St. James' Park.
Attractive football with a high percentage of matches over 2.5 goals and BTTS.
- Newcastle's Weaknesses
Significant defensive vulnerability at home conceding an average of 1.54 goals per match.
Missing the influence of key playmaker Bruno Guimarães who is out for this fixture.
Disciplinary issues for key defenders like Dan Burn who has already received 8 cards.
League Position
9
+ Everton's Strengths
Elite defensive organization on the road conceding only 0.92 goals per away match.
Impressive resilience away from home with a current 5 match unbeaten streak.
Disciplined defensive approach receiving only 2.0 cards per match on their travels.
Excellent tactical shape ranking among the top 5 for goals conceded away.
- Everton's Weaknesses
Lack of creative threat from set pieces winning only 3.46 corners per away game.
Limited offensive output on the road with an average of exactly 1.0 goal scored.
Match Preview
Eddie Howe has some serious thinking to do with his squad selection. Missing Bruno Guimarães is a huge loss for the Magpies. He has been their engine, contributing 9 goals this season. Without him, the midfield balance at St. James' Park might feel a bit off.
Nick Woltemade leads the line and his stats are quite impressive. He is scoring 0.48 goals per 90 minutes. Alongside him, Anthony Gordon remains a constant threat on the wing. Gordon has 3 goals and will look to exploit any space left by Everton's backline.
Defensively, Newcastle has been a bit leaky at home. They have conceded 20 goals in 13 home matches. Dan Burn and Joelinton will need to be careful. Burn has already picked up 8 cards this season, and Joelinton is right behind him with 7 cards.
David Moyes has Everton playing with real grit on their travels. Their defensive record away from home is the second best in the league. They only concede 0.92 goals per match. That defensive solidity is exactly why they have gone 5 games unbeaten on the road.
Jack Grealish is a big miss for the Toffees today. He is confirmed out, which removes some of their creative spark. However, Thiemo Barry and Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall both have 5 goals each. Barry averages 0.28 goals per 90 minutes, making him a dangerous outlet.
Iliman Ndiaye is another key figure for the visitors. He has 5 goals and works hard in that 4-2-3-1 system. Everton will likely sit deep and try to frustrate Newcastle. For more insights, check our Free Premier League Predictions before the match starts at 15:00.
Newcastle United manager Eddie Howe provided crucial injury updates ahead of the Premier League clash with Everton. While Jacob Ramsey could return, Tino Livramento remains out until March. Howe emphasized a cautious approach for Lewis Miley and Bruno Guimaraes to avoid long-term setbacks. Despite ongoing transfer rumors surrounding Anthony Gordon, the Magpies remain focused on breaking down a disciplined Everton defense following their recent Champions League draw.
J. O'Brien, J. Tarkowski, M. Keane, J. Branthwaite
MF
J. Garner, I. Gueye I. Ndiaye, K. Dewsbury-Hall, H. Armstrong
FW
T. Barry
OUT
J. Grealish(OUT),
C. Alcaraz(OUT),
M. Travers(QUES),
Referee
Stuart ATTWELL
Prediction
Over 9.5 Corners @1.62
Newcastle is a corner machine when playing at St. James' Park. They currently lead the league with an average of 7.46 corners won per home match. Their attacking style under Eddie Howe focuses on wide play and frequent crosses. This approach consistently forces opposing defenders to clear the ball behind the goal line, leading to high corner counts in almost every home fixture.
Everton's defensive setup also contributes to this trend. In away games, they concede an average of 5.77 corners to their opponents. Since Newcastle pushes high up the pitch, we expect them to dominate the corner count. Combined with Everton's ability to win 3.46 corners themselves, the total should easily surpass the 9.5 threshold given the tactical match-up and recent statistical data.
The key to consistent success lies in the details, from shots on target to foul intensity. XpertStats provides a complete catalog of features designed to uncover hidden value in every fixture. To get the edge with data-led Both Teams to Score Tips, browse our extensive rankings and historical H2H archives. Explore the XpertStats site today to access our proprietary predictive models and elite-level benchmarking for leagues around the world.
FAQ – Newcastle vs Everton Prediction
Who is the favorite to win between Newcastle and Everton?
Newcastle is strong at home, but Everton's current 5 match unbeaten run away makes them a very difficult opponent to break down.
Where can I watch Newcastle vs Everton live?
The Newcastle vs Everton Premier League match will be broadcast live on NBC and Peacock.
What time does Newcastle vs Everton start?
Kick-off is scheduled for 15:00(GMT) on Saturday, February 28, 2026.
Who is the referee for this match?
Officiating duties for this clash at St. James' Park have been assigned to Stuart Attwell.
Which key players are missing for Newcastle?
The Magpies are missing several players, most notably Bruno Guimarães and Fabian Schär, due to injury and suspension.
Alexandru Florin is a football betting expert, providing tips and accumulator predictions for xpertstats.com since 2022. With a strong focus on data-driven analysis, he delivers well-researched insights and reliable advice for bettors aiming for long-term profit.
