Newcastle vs Bournemouth Prediction FA Cup 10.01.2026
Newcastle vs Bournemouth Prediction FA Cup
Newcastle vs Bournemouth Prediction and Betting Tips for the FA Cup third round, scheduled for Saturday, January 10, 2026, at 15:00 GMT. The match will be broadcast live on ESPN and DAZN 2 as two Premier League rivals collide at the iconic St James’ Park. Newcastle come into this one full of adrenaline after a breathless 4-3 victory against Leeds United, where Harvey Barnes snatched a winner in the 102nd minute! It was pure chaos, but that is exactly how the Magpies have been playing lately, high risk and high reward. They are sitting pretty with a 12-match unbeaten run at home, but the FA Cup has historically been a bit of a nightmare for them, with only one trophy win way back in 1955. In this article, you’ll discover FA Cup Predictions from XpertStats tipsters.
- Newcastle United head into this tie on the back of three straight victories, including a wild 4-3 win over Leeds.
- The Magpies are currently unbeaten in their last 12 home matches across all competitions at St James’ Park.
- Bournemouth finally ended an 11-match winless streak by defeating Tottenham 3-2 in their last outing.
- The Cherries will be playing their first match without leading scorer Antoine Semenyo, who just joined Manchester City.
- Newcastle have failed to beat a Premier League side in the FA Cup third round since the 2011-12 season.
- Both teams have scored in three of the last four head-to-head meetings between these two clubs.
Eddie Howe has turned St James’ Park into a fortress, yet the cracks in the walls are starting to show. While they’ve won three on the bounce, the defensive line is currently held together by hope and duct tape after Fabian Schar was stretchered off with a nasty ankle injury. With Dan Burn and Jamaal Lascelles also sidelined, the Magpies are struggling to keep clean sheets, having conceded in most of their recent league outings. Their “Over 2.5 goals” trend is becoming a regular fixture for bettors, mostly because they simply outscore their problems. It is hard to see them changing that frantic style now, especially in a knockout setting where the crowd will be baying for blood. They have the firepower, but can they actually stop anyone from scoring? It is a gamble every time they step out lately.
Bournemouth are entering a strange new era this weekend. They finally tasted victory against Spurs, but it came at a massive cost as it was the final curtain call for Antoine Semenyo before his record-breaking move to Manchester City. Losing a 10-goal striker mid-season is a gut punch, and with Justin Kluivert also out for surgery, Andoni Iraola has a massive headache upfront. Still, the Cherries have a weirdly good record in FA Cup away games, winning their last four on the road in this competition. They are a “Both Teams to Score” (BTTS) machine, partly because their defense is just as leaky as Newcastle’s, failing to keep a clean sheet in six straight games. They held Newcastle to a 0-0 draw earlier this season, but without Semenyo’s explosiveness, they’ll need David Brooks or Adam Smith to step up in a huge way.
This cup tie feels like it has “drama” written all over it. Newcastle have the momentum of a runaway train at home, but their injury crisis in defense makes them vulnerable to any side with a bit of pace. Meanwhile, Bournemouth are the ultimate wildcards right now; they are unpredictable without their star man but desperate to prove they aren’t a one-man team. Trends suggest we should expect goals at both ends given the recent defensive records of both clubs. It is hard to say how this will end, but a cagey affair seems unlikely given how these two have been playing. This FA Cup Predictions analysis suggests that while the Magpies are the favorites, the Cherries always seem to find a way to frustrate them, making this a potentially high-scoring affair that could go right down to the wire once again.
Newcastle United manager Eddie Howe faces a defensive crisis ahead of Saturday's FA Cup clash against Bournemouth. While Fabian Schar’s ankle ligament injury is less severe than initially feared, the Magpies remain stretched with Sven Botman and Dan Burn sidelined. Despite these setbacks, Howe remains focused on the "magical competition," aiming to field a strong side at St James' Park while navigating a congested winter fixture schedule.
| GK | A. Ramsdale |
| DF | K. Trippier, S. Botman, M. Thiaw, T. Livramento |
| MF | J. Willock, S. Tonali, J. Ramsey |
| FW | J. Murphy, Y. Wissa, H. Barnes |
| OUT |
F. Schar(OUT),
J. Lascelles(OUT),
A. Elanga(OUT),
D. Burn(OUT),
W. Osula(OUT),
E. Krafth(OUT),
|
| GK | D. Petrovic |
| DF | A. Smith, B. Diakite, M. Senesi, A. Truffert |
| MF | A. Scott, L. Cook M. Tavernier, E. Kroupi, D. Brooks |
| FW | Evanilson |
| OUT |
A. Semenyo(OUT),
J. Kluivert(OUT),
B. Gannon-Doak(OUT),
T. Adams(OUT),
R. Christie(OUT),
W. Dennis(OUT),
|
The statistics for both Newcastle and Bournemouth heavily favor a "Both Teams to Score" outcome. Newcastle’s recent matches have been absolute goal-fests, highlighted by their recent 4-3 win over Leeds. While they are prolific at St James' Park, their defensive unit is currently decimated by injuries. With Fabian Schar joining Dan Burn and Jamaal Lascelles on the treatment table, Eddie Howe is forced to field a makeshift backline. This vulnerability is perfect for a Bournemouth side that, despite losing Antoine Semenyo, still plays an expansive brand of football under Andoni Iraola. Bournemouth themselves haven't kept a clean sheet in six matches, showing a consistent trend of conceding while managing to find the net. Historically, three of the last four head-to-head meetings between these sides have seen both teams score, making this a statistically sound choice for this FA Cup clash.
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FAQ – Newcastle vs Bournemouth Prediction
Who is the favorite to win between Newcastle and Bournemouth?
Newcastle are the heavy favorites due to their incredible 12-match unbeaten home run, though Bournemouth have avoided defeat in their last six games against the Magpies.
Where can I watch Newcastle vs Bournemouth live?
The Newcastle vs Bournemouth FA Cup match will be broadcast live on ESPN and DAZN 2.
What time does Newcastle vs Bournemouth start?
Kick-off is scheduled for 15:00 (GMT) on Saturday, January 10, 2026.
Will Antoine Semenyo play for Bournemouth?
No, Antoine Semenyo has officially completed his transfer to Manchester City and will not be available for this fixture.
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Alexandru Florin is a football betting expert, providing tips and accumulator predictions for xpertstats.com since 2022. With a strong focus on data-driven analysis, he delivers well-researched insights and reliable advice for bettors aiming for long-term profit.
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