Napoli vs Fiorentina Prediction and Betting Tips for this Saturday, January 31, 2026. This Serie A clash kicks off at 17:00 GMT at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona. You can catch the action live on TNT Sports 1 or stream it via Paramount+ if you are in the USA.
The home side sits in 4th place but leads the home standings with a 2.4 point average. Meanwhile, Fiorentina is struggling in 18th, though they have scored in their last 5 outings. In this guide, you will Discover Italy Serie A Predictions from our expert team.
Napoli vs Fiorentina Key Facts and Stats
Napoli remains unbeaten in 10 consecutive matches when playing at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona.
Fiorentina has scored at least one goal in each of their previous 5 league fixtures.
The home team has won 24 out of the last 45 meetings against the Viola.
Both teams scored in 68% of matches involving Fiorentina during the current league campaign.
Napoli holds the best corner defense at home, conceding only 2.3 per game on average.
The visitors are currently sitting in the relegation zone after picking up 17 total points.
Best home PPG in the league with an average of 2.4 points
Best corner defense at home conceding only 2.3 per match
Top 3 for corners won at home with 6.2 per game
Ranked 4th for goals scored at home with 1.7 average
- Napoli's Weaknesses
Low percentage of high corner games with +9.5 only at 20%
Only 1 win from their last 5 league matches
Failed to score in 2 of their last 5 fixtures
League Position
18
+ Fiorentina's Strengths
High average of fouls won away with 15.0 per match
Consistent scoring record with goals in the last 5 games
Unbeaten in their previous 2 away fixtures in Serie A
High BTTS percentage of 68% for the entire season
- Fiorentina's Weaknesses
Bottom 3 for away standings with 0.73 points per game
Worst accuracy away with only 2.73 shots on target
Weak defense on the road conceding 1.55 goals per match
Match Preview
Antonio Conte is dealing with some mixed results lately after losing the last 2 games. Despite that, the team is still very strong at the Maradona. They have 13 wins this season and stay within reach of the top spots despite recent European disappointment.
Historically, Napoli has dominated this fixture with 24 wins in 45 games. Their home form is the best in Italy right now, averaging 2.4 points per match. Keeping 10 games unbeaten at home is no small feat, especially with a defense that is disciplined.
Rasmus Hojlund leads the line with 6 goals, while Scott McTominay has added 5 from midfield. Kevin De Bruyne remains a massive threat, scoring 0.63 goals per 90 minutes. They need these stars to step up if they want to reclaim a top spot soon.
Paolo Vanoli has a tough job keeping the Viola in the top flight this year. They are currently 18th and have only won 3 games all season. However, they are showing some grit lately, picking up 8 points from the last 5 matches played.
Even though they are in the bottom 3, Fiorentina finds the net regularly. They have netted 7 times in their last 5 matches. Moise Kean and Rolando Mandragora are the main outlets, but the team lacks the clinical edge needed to win away.
Their away form is a major concern, ranking 18th with only 0.73 points per game. They commit 13.73 fouls per match, which often puts them under pressure. It is vital to Discover Italy Serie A Predictions before backing a team that struggles so much.
Antonio Vergara is emerging as Napoli’s new symbol, drawing comparisons to club icon Lorenzo Insigne. Both homegrown talents followed similar paths through the lower leagues before shining at the Stadio Maradona. Despite widespread transfer interest this January, Antonio Conte has integrated the versatile midfielder into his starting eleven. Following a spectacular goal against Chelsea, Vergara has solidified his status as an untouchable asset for the Partenopei's future.
M. Gutiérrez, S. Lobotka, S. McTominay, L. Spinazzola
FW
A. Vergara, R. Højlund, E. Elmas
OUT
A. Rrahmani(QUES),
M. Politano(OUT),
D. Neres(OUT),
F. Anguissa(OUT),
B. Gilmour(OUT),
K. De Bruyne(OUT),
P. Mazzocchi(QUES),
V. Milinković-Savić(QUES)
Fiorentina (4-3-3)
Paolo Vanoli
GK
D. De Gea
DF
Dodô, P. Comuzzo, M. Pongračić, R. Gosens
MF
R. Mandragora, N. Fagioli, C. Ndour
FW
M. Solomon, M. Kean, A. Guðmundsson
OUT
T. Lamptey(QUES),
A. Sabiri(OUT),
R. Piccoli(QUES),
F. Parisi(QUES)
Referee
Federico La Penna
Prediction
Napoli to Win @1.88
Napoli is the strongest home team in Italy right now. They possess an incredible average of 2.4 points per match at the Maradona. With 10 games unbeaten on their own turf, they should dominate a struggling side. Their defense is solid at home, conceding only 0.8 goals per game. This defensive stability provides a perfect platform for their attackers to secure a vital win this Saturday.
Fiorentina is having a nightmare on the road this season. They sit 18th in the away standings with a poor 0.73 points per game. Facing a Napoli side that wins 6.2 corners per home match will be overwhelming for them. The visitors also average the worst shots on target away with only 2.73. Napoli has the quality and the home crowd to win comfortably.
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FAQ – Napoli vs Fiorentina Prediction
Who is the favorite in the Napoli vs Fiorentina match?
Napoli enters as the heavy favorite due to their league leading home form, currently sitting 1st in the home standings with 2.4 points per game.
Where can I watch Napoli vs Fiorentina live?
The Napoli vs Fiorentina match will be broadcast live on TNT Sports 1 and Paramount+.
What is the current position of Fiorentina in Serie A?
Fiorentina is currently struggling in the relegation zone, occupying 18th place in the overall standings with only 3 wins this season.
What time does Napoli vs Fiorentina start?
Kick-off is scheduled for 17:00 (GMT) on Saturday, January 31, 2026.
How have these teams performed in recent head to head meetings?
Napoli has a strong record, winning 24 of the last 45 encounters. They are also unbeaten in their last 5 games against the Viola.
Alexandru Florin is a football betting expert, providing tips and accumulator predictions for xpertstats.com since 2022. With a strong focus on data-driven analysis, he delivers well-researched insights and reliable advice for bettors aiming for long-term profit.
