Monaco vs Nantes Prediction and Betting Tips for the Ligue 1, scheduled for Friday February 13, 2026, at 20:05 GMT. The match will be broadcast live on Fanatiz and beIN Connect from the Stade Louis II in Monaco. This game looks like a tactical chess match. Ligue 1 Stats suggest Monaco is the favorite.
The home side currently sits tenth in the standings with 28 points while Nantes is struggling in seventeenth place. Monaco averages 1.73 points per home game this season. Meanwhile, the visitors have found it difficult on their travels, only managing an average of 0.9 points per away fixture lately.
Monaco vs Nantes Key Facts and Stats
Monaco sits comfortably in third place for home goals scored with an average of 2.0.
The home side has successfully scored in each of their last five matches at home.
Nantes has struggled significantly on the road, securing a poor average of only 0.9 points.
Both teams have seen both sides score in fifty percent or more of their matches.
Monaco has maintained a solid run by going three consecutive matches without suffering any defeat.
Nantes remains in the bottom three and currently averages only 0.9 goals per away game.
Strong discipline in conceding few corners at home with 3.91
Currently on a solid three game unbeaten run in the league
- Monaco's Weaknesses
Low offensive output with only 13.18 shots per home game
Struggling defense ranking 16th for home goals conceded at 1.64
Poor shot accuracy with only 4.64 shots on target per match
League Position
17
+ Nantes's Strengths
Excellent at winning fouls away with a 14.1 average
Attractive football with BTTS landing in 52 percent of games
Disciplined defensive block often using a 5 4 1 formation
- Nantes's Weaknesses
Struggling in the bottom 3 of the league standings
Weakest away attack with only 9.5 shots per match
Conceding many corners on the road with a 6.3 average
Match Preview
Monaco enters this game with mixed feelings. They are missing key players like Hradecky and Pogba, which might hurt their stability. Still, Maghnes Akliouche and Folarin Balogun are ready to start. Balogun has scored 4 goals this season and remains a constant threat in the box.
The defense will rely on Thilo Kehrer, who has already picked up 8 cards this term. He needs to be careful not to leave his team down a man. Denis Zakaria will also start in the middle, providing some much needed muscle against a physical Nantes side.
One major concern for the hosts is the fitness of Ansu Fati. He is currently doubtful, which is a blow because he leads the team with 7 goals. If he cannot play, the offensive burden shifts heavily onto the younger players to find a way through today.
Nantes arrives at the Stade Louis II sitting in a dangerous seventeenth position. Manager Ahmed Kantari is expected to set up in a very defensive 5 4 1 formation. They want to frustrate Monaco and use the pace of Matthis Abline on the counter attack.
Abline has scored 4 goals so far and is their most dangerous outlet. He will be supported by Mostafa Mohamed, who has 3 goals to his name. The visitors are very good at winning fouls on the road, which could help them slow the game down.
Still, their away record is quite poor, averaging only 0.9 points. They struggle to get shots on target, which makes winning difficult. It will take a massive effort to stop the home side from scoring given the current *Ligue 1 Stats* available for both teams.
To combat inconsistent results, AS Monaco coach Sébastien Pocognoli organized a team-bonding dinner in Monte-Carlo. This initiative aimed to strengthen group cohesion and provide a relaxed atmosphere ahead of the season's final sprint. Interestingly, the significant bill for the evening was covered by a player as a penalty for being late to training sessions, highlighting the blend of discipline and unity within the squad.
F. Centonze, K. Amian, A. Yusuf, N. Cozza, L. Leroux
MF
R. Cabella, I. Sissoko, J. Lepenant, M. Abline
FW
M. Mohamed
OUT
B. Deuff(QUES),
F. Guilbert(QUES),
D. Tabibou(QUES),
Prediction
Under 10.5 Corners @1.55
Monaco shows a very clear pattern of low corner counts when playing at their own stadium recently. In their last 5 home fixtures, every single game ended with under 10.5 corners total. This suggests a tactical approach that limits wide play or cross heavy situations. With Monaco averaging just 4.64 corners won per home match, the statistics strongly support a lower total count today.
Nantes follows a similar trend while traveling, as 4 of their last 5 away matches stayed under this line. Their most recent high corner away game was back on November 8, 2025, against Le Havre. That match saw a 8 3 corner split. Since then, their games have tightened up significantly. Expect a cautious game where neither side pushes the corner count into double digits.
Serious analysts rely on XpertStats for the most accurate shooting and efficiency ratios in the industry. Our platform bridges the gap between raw data and actionable intelligence, covering everything from SoT per match to squad rotation patterns. For a deeper look at the mathematical probabilities that drive successful outcomes, explore our Corners Stats and start making more calculated, data-backed betting decisions.
FAQ – Monaco vs Nantes Prediction
Who will win between Monaco and Nantes?
Monaco is the clear favorite due to their superior home scoring record, but Nantes might secure a draw if their defensive 5 4 1 block holds firm.
Where can I watch The Monaco vs Nantes live?
The Monaco vs Nantes Ligue 1 match will be broadcast live on Fanatiz and beIN Connect.
What time does Monaco vs Nantes start?
Kick-off is scheduled for 20:05 GMT on Friday February 13, 2026.
Are there any major absences for Monaco?
Yes, Monaco will be without Hradecky, Pogba, and Salisu, while their top scorer Ansu Fati is currently considered a doubt for this match.
What is the best betting tip for this match?
The statistics strongly suggest under 10.5 corners, as Monaco has stayed under this line in all of their last 5 home matches.
Alexandru Florin is a football betting expert, providing tips and accumulator predictions for xpertstats.com since 2022. With a strong focus on data-driven analysis, he delivers well-researched insights and reliable advice for bettors aiming for long-term profit.
