Monaco vs Lorient Prediction Ligue 1 16.01.2026
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Monaco vs Lorient Prediction Ligue 1
Monaco vs Lorient Prediction and Betting Tips for Matchday 18 of the French Ligue 1, scheduled for January 16, 2026, at 18:00 GMT. The match will be broadcast live on Ligue 1+ (Fra) and beIn Connect (Can). The action unfolds at the Stade Louis II, where the hosts find themselves in a bit of a rut after starting the new year with a 3-1 loss to Lyon. Despite their recent wobbles, Monaco is looking to secure a victory to climb back toward the European spots. In this article, you’ll discover Ligue 1 Predictions from XpertStats tipsters.
- Monaco has struggled recently, losing three straight league matches and conceding eight goals at home.
- The hosts currently sit ninth in Ligue 1, holding a slim four-point lead over Lorient.
- Lorient enters this match on an impressive eight game unbeaten run across all major competitions.
- The visitors have drawn seven games this season, the highest tally in the entire French league.
- Monaco remains unbeaten in their last six home encounters against Lorient dating back to 2023.
- Historical data shows the last five meetings between these two sides produced over 2.5 goals.
AS Monaco manager Sébastien Pocognoli faces a mixed selection outlook ahead of Friday’s clash with FC Lorient. While a circulating virus has recently sidelined Aladji Bamba, Stanis Idumbo, and Lucas Michal, the squad is bolstered by the return of Ansu Fati and Maghnes Akliouche to full training. Additionally, new arrival Wout Faes joins the group, though a decision on Paul Pogba’s involvement is deferred until next week.
| GK | Köhn |
| DF | Teze, Faes, Dier, C. Henrique |
| MF | Akliouche, Zakaria, Golovin, K. Ouattara |
| FW | Biereth, Balogun |
| OUT |
L. Camara(OUT),
K. Diatta(OUT),
Kehrer(OUT),
M. Coulibaly(OUT),
Idumbo(OUT),
Minamino(OUT),
Hradecky(OUT),
Mawissa(OUT),
Pogba(OUT),
Cabral(OUT),
Vanderson(OUT),
A. Bamba(QUES),
Michal(QUES)
|
| GK | Mvogo |
| DF | I. Silva, Talbi, B. Meïté |
| MF | T. Le Bris, Abergel, Avom, A. Kouassi |
| FW | Makengo, B. Dieng, Pagis |
| OUT |
Avom(QUES),
Tosin(OUT),
Faye(OUT),
Yongwa(OUT),
Soumanou(OUT)
|
The reasoning for selecting Under 9.5 Shots on Target lies in the recent offensive struggles of both sides. Monaco has failed to score in two of their last three league outings, showing a significant dip in clinical finishing. Their average shots on target per match sits at a modest 4.22. On the other side, Lorient has been even more conservative on their travels. The visitors average just 2.63 shots on target per away match. When you combine these figures, the statistical average comes to roughly 6.85, well below the 9.5 threshold. Monaco is missing key creators like Minamino and Fati, which limits their ability to test the keeper frequently. Lorient tends to set up defensively away from home, aiming to frustrate opponents rather than engaging in a shootout. Expect a tactical battle where clear cut chances are at a premium and goalkeepers are not overly busy.
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FAQ – Monaco vs Lorient Prediction
Who is the favorite to win between Monaco and Lorient?
Monaco is the historical favorite at home, but Lorient's current eight game unbeaten streak makes them a very dangerous underdog.
Where can I watch Monaco vs Lorient live?
The Monaco vs Lorient Ligue 1 match will be broadcast live on Ligue 1+ (Fra) and beIn Connect (Can).
What time does Monaco vs Lorient start?
Kick-off is scheduled for 18:00 (GMT) on Friday, January 16, 2026.
