Metz vs Lille Prediction and Betting Tips for the clash at Stade Saint Symphorien on Friday, February 6, 2026, at 19:45 GMT. Catch it live on Fanatiz and beIN Connect. It is a big night for the hosts fighting survival. Find a French Ligue 1 Prediction here.
Metz sit at the bottom of the table with only 12 points after 20 matches. They have lost eight of their last ten games. Meanwhile, Lille occupy fifth place with 32 points. Both teams are looking for their first league victory since the start of 2026 in France.
Metz vs Lille Key Facts and Stats
Metz has lost 14 matches this season, which is the highest number in the entire league.
The home side has the worst defensive record in Ligue 1 having conceded 46 goals already.
Lille remains unbeaten in their previous 10 top flight meetings against this struggling Lorraine based club.
Les Dogues have won all three matches against newly promoted sides while scoring 17 goals combined.
Metz has earned eight of their total 12 points this season playing at their home stadium.
Lille is currently on a four game losing streak in the league since the new year.
Both teams scored in 44% of their home league fixtures.
Average of 11.11 fouls won per match shows they compete hard.
Managed 2 home wins so far including a victory over Nice.
- Metz's Weaknesses
Worst defense in the league with an average of 1.67 goals conceded home.
Poor attack at home with an average of only 1 goal scored per game.
Very low shot accuracy with only 3.44 shots on target per home match.
League Position
5
+ Lille's Strengths
Top 3 in the league for corners won away with 6 per match.
High attacking threat with an average of 1.7 goals scored in away games.
Excellent discipline away with 13.7 fouls won per game showing high possession control.
Strong historical record being unbeaten in their last 10 games against Metz.
- Lille's Weaknesses
Defense has struggled lately conceding at least 2 goals in 5 recent games.
Currently on a four game losing streak since the start of January 2026.
Match Preview
Metz is entering this game in a very desperate situation. They have failed to find the back of the net in their most recent league outing against Angers. Benoit Tavenot needs to fix the defensive holes immediately if they want to stay in the top flight division.
The suspension of Jean-Philippe Gbamin is a massive blow for the home team. He received a straight red card last week. Without his presence in the midfield, they might struggle to contain the creative players of Lille. They really miss a leader in the center.
Gauthier Hein remains the most dangerous player for the hosts with 6 goals this season. He averages 0.36 goals per 90 minutes. If Metz is to get anything from this game, Hein must find space between the lines to create or finish scoring chances.
Lille has been going through a rough patch lately. Bruno Genesio is feeling the pressure after four consecutive defeats. However, the squad quality is still high. They are just one point ahead of Rennes and need a win to stay in the European spots.
Olivier Giroud continues to be a target man for the visitors at age 39. He scored a late winner in Europe recently. His experience is vital for a young team. He averages 0.28 goals per 90 minutes and remains a massive aerial threat.
Facing the worst defense is the perfect chance for Igmane Hamza to shine. He has 5 goals this season. Success here depends on how well they control the midfield. We expect an interesting French Ligue 1 Prediction to unfold as the game begins tonight.
Gaëtan Perrin’s return to Ligue 1 took a dramatic turn during the winter transfer window. Although AJ Auxerre appeared to have secured a deal with FK Krasnodar for the midfielder's return, Lille successfully hijacked the transfer at the final hour. Perrin opted for LOSC, drawn by the prospect of competing in the Europa League and a long-term contract until 2028, leaving his former club Auxerre empty-handed.
A. Bouaddi, B. André F. Correia, H. Haraldsson, M. Fernandez
FW
O. Giroud
OUT
H. Igamane(OUT),
O. Sahraoui(OUT),
N. Bentaleb(OUT),
M. Caillard(OUT),
T. Meunier(OUT),
E. Mbappé(OUT),
A. Gomes(OUT),
O. Touré(OUT)
Referee
Guillaume Paradis
Prediction
Lille to Win @1.70
Lille enters this match with a massive historical advantage over Metz. They are currently unbeaten in their last 10 meetings against the hosts. Furthermore, they have a perfect record against newly promoted sides this season. Even though they lost 4 consecutive games, their quality is much higher than a Metz side that has lost 14 matches already this campaign. Lille remains favorites.
Metz has the worst defense in the league with 46 goals conceded. They average 1.67 goals conceded in home matches. Lille scores 1.7 goals per 90 minutes in away games. This defensive fragility will likely be exploited by players like Olivier Giroud and Igmane Hamza. Since Metz has lost 8 of their last 10 games, an away victory is the logical choice.
Ready to take your analysis to the next level? Explore our comprehensive catalog to uncover deep-dive performance metrics and xG data. From goal intervals to referee profiling, we provide the edge you need for every match. Dive into the most reliable football statistics and predictions available online today and transform your strategy with our professional, data-driven insights across all global leagues.
FAQ – Metz vs Lille Prediction
Who will win between Metz and Lille?
Lille are heavy favorites to win despite their recent poor form, given that Metz has the worst defensive record in the league and sits at the bottom of the table.
Where can I watch Metz vs Lille live?
The Metz vs Lille Ligue 1 match will be broadcast live on Fanatiz and beIN Connect.
What time does Metz vs Lille start?
Kick-off is scheduled for 19:45 (GMT) on Friday, February 6, 2026.
What is the recent form of Metz?
Metz has struggled significantly, losing eight of their last 10 games and picking up only 1 point from their last five league matches.
Who is the top scorer for Metz?
Gauthier Hein is currently the leading scorer for Metz with 6 goals scored so far this season.
Alexandru Florin is a football betting expert, providing tips and accumulator predictions for xpertstats.com since 2022. With a strong focus on data-driven analysis, he delivers well-researched insights and reliable advice for bettors aiming for long-term profit.
