Liverpool vs Qarabag Prediction and Betting Tips for this Wednesday, January 28, 2026, showdown at Anfield. Kick off is set for 20:00 GMT with live coverage on TNT Sports 2 and Paramount+ in the USA. You can Discover Champions League Predictions right here for this final group phase clash.
The Reds currently sit fourth in the standings. They need a result to avoid the playoff round entirely. Qarabag arrive at Anfield in eighteenth place following a massive win over Frankfurt. This is a historic first meeting between these two clubs in a competitive setting.
Liverpool vs Qarabag Key Facts and Stats
Liverpool have won thirteen of their seventeen European games under the management of Arne Slot.
Dominik Szoboszlai leads the Reds with four goals and seven total involvements in the competition.
The visitors previously held Chelsea to a two-two draw during matchday four of this season.
Arne Slot faces a defensive crisis with Virgil van Dijk potentially his only fit centre-back.
Qarabag have successfully earned seven points from losing positions in the Champions League this term.
Liverpool recently suffered a disappointing three-two defeat against Bournemouth in the Premier League last Saturday.
Very offensive team with a high average of 21.33 shots per match
Creates many chances with 8.33 shots on target per home game
Wins many corners with a high average of 7.33 per match
Attractive style with 67% of home matches seeing BTTS occur
- Liverpool's Weaknesses
High average of 2 goals conceded per game in home matches
Struggles to win fouls with only 9.67 won per home game
Conceding a decent number of 4 corners per match at Anfield
League Position
18
+ Qarabag's Strengths
Strong away attack with 1.83 goals scored per match on the road
Controls game well with a high average of 15.5 fouls won
Good defensive numbers with only 1.33 goals conceded per away game
Spectacular football with 83% of away games over 1.5 goals
- Qarabag's Weaknesses
Concedes many corners with an average of 5.67 per away game
Wins few corners with an average of only 4.17 per match
Weak attacking presence with just 12.83 shots per away match
Match Preview
Arne Slot has a bit of a headache heading into this one. Liverpool looked shaky at the back against Bournemouth on Saturday and they are missing several key men. Still, Anfield on a European night is a completely different beast for most visitors.
Dominik Szoboszlai has been the real star for the Reds in this competition. He is leading the charts for goals and progressive carries. If he gets space in the final third, he can be absolutely lethal for the Azerbaijani defense tonight.
The defensive situation is a concern though. With Ibrahima Konate away and Joe Gomez doubtful, Virgil van Dijk is the only senior centre back ready to start. Wataru Endo might have to drop deep into a role he is not entirely used to.
Qarabag are not here just to make up the numbers. They managed to draw two-two with Chelsea in November and that gave them a lot of confidence. They are currently in eighteenth place and desperate to stay in the knockout spots.
Camilo Duran is the man to watch for the visitors. He has already been involved in five goals during this European campaign. Manager Gurban Gurbanov rotated his entire team last weekend just to ensure they were fresh for this trip to England.
It feels like a game where Liverpool will dominate the ball but might leave themselves open on the counter. Qarabag have shown they can fight back from behind. In this guide, you can Discover Champions League Predictions for every single matchday fixture.
Liverpool manager Arne Slot has confirmed a defensive shortage for Wednesday's Champions League tie against Qarabag. With Joe Gomez sidelined and Ibrahima Konate unavailable, Slot may deploy a makeshift defense featuring midfielders or Dominik Szoboszlai at the back. Despite league pressure, Slot remains optimistic about winning silverware, provided the Reds improve their efficiency in both boxes to capitalize on their dominant build-up play.
R. Gravenberch, A. Mac Allister M. Salah, D. Szoboszlai, F. Wirtz
FW
H. Ekitiké
OUT
G. Leoni(OUT),
C. Bradley(OUT),
I. Konaté(OUT),
A. Isak(OUT),
S. Bajčetić(OUT),
F. Chiesa(OUT),
J. Gomez(OUT)
Qarabağ (4-2-3-1)
Gurban Gurbanov
GK
M. Kochalski
DF
M. Silva, B. Mustafazada, K. Medina, E. Cafarquliyev
MF
P. Bicalho, M. Janković L. Andrade, A. Zoubir, J. Montiel
FW
C. Durán
OUT
Kady Borges(OUT)
Referee
Ivan Kružliak
Prediction
Both Teams to Score @2.20
Liverpool have shown some real defensive vulnerability lately, especially in their shock 3-2 loss to Bournemouth. With key defenders like Joe Gomez and Ibrahima Konate likely unavailable, Wataru Endo might have to fill in at the back. This makes a clean sheet seem unlikely against a motivated side. The Reds currently concede 2 goals per home match, which highlights their ongoing struggles to stay tight.
On the other hand, Qarabag are incredibly efficient on the break and have already scored 1.83 goals per away match in this competition. They famously held Chelsea to a 2-2 draw earlier this season, proving they can hurt English teams. With Liverpool’s high shot average of 21.33 per game, the hosts will almost certainly score, making the both teams to score market very attractive.
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FAQ – Liverpool vs Qarabag Prediction
Who will win between Liverpool and Qarabag?
Liverpool are the heavy favorites at Anfield, but their recent defensive injuries and Qarabag’s resilience mean a surprise draw or a narrow home win are both possibilities.
Where can I watch The Liverpool vs Qarabag live?
The Liverpool vs Qarabag Champions League match will be broadcast live on TNT Sports 2 and Paramount+ .
What time does Liverpool vs Qarabag start?
Kick-off is scheduled for 20:00 (GMT) on Wednesday, January 28, 2026.
Alexandru Florin is a football betting expert, providing tips and accumulator predictions for xpertstats.com since 2022. With a strong focus on data-driven analysis, he delivers well-researched insights and reliable advice for bettors aiming for long-term profit.
