Liverpool vs Newcastle Prediction and Betting Tips
Liverpool vs Newcastle Prediction and Betting Tips, set for Saturday, January 31, 2026, at 20:00 GMT. You can catch the action live on TNT Sports 1 or Peacock. Anfield is the stage for this massive clash as both sides chase Champions League football in a high stakes winter battle.
The Reds are currently struggling to find their rhythm in the domestic league after a tough run. However, our Top Rated Premier League Predictions suggest this could be a turning point. Newcastle arrives with defensive stability but has found goals extremely hard to come by on their travels recently.
Liverpool vs Newcastle Key Facts and Stats
Liverpool remains unbeaten in their last 18 Premier League games against Newcastle United since December 2015.
Newcastle failed to score in six Premier League away games, a record only beaten by two teams.
Mohamed Salah has nineteen goal involvements against the Magpies, more than against any other top flight side.
Arne Slot recently achieved his biggest winning margin as Reds boss with a six goal European victory.
The visitors have only managed to win three matches on the road during the current league campaign.
Dominik Szoboszlai has recorded thirty three shots from outside the box, the most in the current season.
High offensive volume with 18.27 average shots per match during home games.
Excellent set piece generation with 5.82 corners won per match at Anfield.
Solid home defense conceding only 1.0 goals per game on average.
Mohamed Salah provides elite clinical finishing with 4 goals this season.
- Liverpool's Weaknesses
Currently on a five match winless run in the domestic league.
Significant injury concerns in defense including Jeremie Frimpong and Conor Bradley.
Conceded late winners in three separate Premier League matches this term.
League Position
8
+ Newcastle's Strengths
Third best defense in the league away from home conceding only 1.09 goals.
Bruno Guimaraes back in the squad providing 35 defensive line breaking passes.
Resilient away form with three straight road matches without suffering a defeat.
High defensive work rate with 9.09 average fouls won per match.
- Newcastle's Weaknesses
Poor offensive output away with an average of only 0.91 goals scored.
Low attacking threat with just 11.64 average shots per away match.
Match Preview
Liverpool enters this match following a sensational 6:0 win against Qarabag in Europe. Arne Slot described it as his biggest victory since taking over from Jurgen Klopp. Still, the league form is worrying with five games without a win. The Reds need a quick response to stay in the top four.
Injury problems continue to haunt the Anfield dressing room this winter. Jeremie Frimpong is the latest casualty after a groin issue against Qarabag. He joins Alexander Isak and Conor Bradley on the sidelines. Wataru Endo or Calvin Ramsay might have to step in to cover the defensive gaps.
Despite the recent slump, Mohamed Salah remains the primary threat for the hosts. He has nineteen goal involvements against Newcastle in his career. If he gets an assist on Saturday, he becomes the first player to reach double figures in both goals and assists against a single opponent.
Newcastle United travels to Merseyside with a mixed bag of results recently. They earned a gutsy 1:1 draw against Paris Saint-Germain but lost 2:0 to Aston Villa. Eddie Howe knows his team must improve their away scoring record. They have only managed seven goals in eleven away games.
The return of Bruno Guimarães is a massive boost for the Magpies. He missed the Villa game but was on the bench in Paris. Guimarães has completed 35 line breaking passes this season, more than any other midfielder. His vision will be vital if Newcastle wants to exploit Liverpool's makeshift defense.
Defensively, the visitors are one of the best road teams in the country. They concede only 1.09 goals per match away from St James' Park. This suggests they will be difficult to break down at Anfield. Our Top Rated Premier League Predictions indicate a very tight tactical battle.
Liverpool manager Arne Slot has confirmed a mixed injury update ahead of Saturday's crucial Premier League clash with Newcastle. While Jeremie Frimpong faces a few weeks out, the Reds welcome back Ibrahima Konate and Curtis Jones. Slot emphasized that with the top-four race intensifying, there is no longer room for mistakes, labeling the fixture at Anfield a vital test for both sides' European ambitions.
R. Gravenberch, A. Mac Allister M. Salah, F. Wirtz, C. Gakpo
FW
H. Ekitiké
OUT
A. Isak(OUT),
S. Bajčetić(OUT),
C. Bradley(OUT),
G. Leoni(OUT),
J. Gomez(OUT),
J. Frimpong(OUT)
Newcastle (4-3-3)
Eddie Howe
GK
N. Pope
DF
K. Trippier, M. Thiaw, S. Botman, L. Hall
MF
B. Guimarães, S. Tonali, L. Miley
FW
H. Barnes, Y. Wissa, A. Gordon
OUT
E. Krafth(OUT),
A. Murphy(OUT),
V. Livramento(OUT),
F. Schär(OUT),
J. Murphy(QUES),
B. Guimarães(QUES),
Joelinton(OUT),
W. Osula(QUES)
Referee
Simon Hooper
Prediction
Under 3.5 Goals @1.52
Newcastle United possesses the third best defensive record away from home in the Premier League. They only concede an average of 1.09 goals per game when playing on their travels this season. This defensive structure is designed to frustrate elite opponents like Liverpool. Eddie Howe will likely set up a very compact block to prevent the Reds from finding spaces in the final third.
Liverpool has struggled for goals in domestic competition recently despite their European success. They have drawn four of their last five league matches and look tired in the final third. With key creative players like Jeremie Frimpong out injured, the Reds might lack the necessary width to break down Newcastle. Expect a low scoring affair with both teams prioritizing defensive stability over risks.
Watch Liverpool vs Newcastle Last Match Highlights
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FAQ – Liverpool vs Newcastle Prediction
Who is the favorite to win between Liverpool and Newcastle?
Liverpool remains the favorite at Anfield due to their historical dominance, but their winless league run in 2026 makes this a very open contest.
Where can I watch the Liverpool vs Newcastle live?
The Liverpool vs Newcastle (Premier League) match will be broadcast live on TNT Sport 1 and Peacock in your local region.
What time does Liverpool vs Newcastle start?
Kick-off is scheduled for 20:00 (GMT) on Saturday, January 31, 2026.
Which key players are missing for Liverpool?
The Reds are without Jeremie Frimpong, Alexander Isak, and Conor Bradley due to various injury concerns identified after the mid-week fixtures.
Is Bruno Guimarães available for Newcastle?
Yes, the Brazilian midfielder is available for selection and is expected to start after being named as a substitute in the European clash.
Alexandru Florin is a football betting expert, providing tips and accumulator predictions for xpertstats.com since 2022. With a strong focus on data-driven analysis, he delivers well-researched insights and reliable advice for bettors aiming for long-term profit.
