Girona vs Mallorca Prediction and Betting Tips for Friday, May 1, 2026, at 20:00 GMT, comes from Estadio Municipal de Montilivi in Girona. Francisco Maeso is the referee, and this match already feels like one of those nervous spring evenings.
Girona sit 15th with 38 points, while Mallorca are 17th on 35, so this is not background noise. It’s a survival-flavoured scrap. Girona have scored in 7 straight home games, but Mallorca arrive after scoring 8 goals in their last 5 fixtures.
Girona vs Mallorca Key Facts and Stats
Girona have scored in 7 consecutive home games, despite uneven league form lately.
Mallorca have taken 7 points from their last 5 matches in all settings.
Girona average 2.56 cards received at home, adding bite to this contest.
Mallorca away matches average 5 total cards, a strong signal for discipline markets.
Girona are missing Vladyslav Vanat, their leading scorer with 9 league goals.
Vedat Muriqi remains doubtful for Mallorca, a major attacking uncertainty before kickoff.
Scored in 7 straight home games, showing useful Montilivi attacking consistency.
Average 4.88 corners won at home, enough to create steady pressure.
Average 13.38 fouls won at home, close to the high-pressure threshold.
BTTS lands in 50% of Girona home matches, keeping games open.
- Girona's Weaknesses
Concede 1.5 goals per home match, ranking 19th in home defensive average.
Score only 1.19 goals per home match, ranking 18th for home attack.
Produce just 3.94 shots on target per home match, not a dominant attacking number.
League Position
17
+ Mallorca's Strengths
Away matches hit over 2.5 goals in 75%, making them lively travellers.
BTTS lands in 63% of away matches, a strong sign of open games.
Average away cards total reaches 5 per match, useful for card markets.
Have scored 8 goals in their last 5 fixtures, showing improved rhythm.
- Mallorca's Weaknesses
Worst away PPG in the league with only 0.38 points per match.
Concede 1.94 goals away per match, ranking 18th for road defending.
Match Preview
Girona’s season has been a bit of a tug-of-war, hasn’t it? Michel’s side are 15th, not buried, but not comfortable either. Their home form is respectable enough at 1.38 points per match, though conceding 1.5 goals per home game keeps them sweating.
The Vanat absence hurts, no sugar-coating that. He has 9 goals at 0.41 per 90, so Girona lose their clearest finisher. Still, Viktor Tsygankov has 6 goals and Azzedine Ounahi has 5, while Ounahi’s 7 cards also hint at midfield fire.
Girona’s card profile matters here. They average 2.56 cards received at home, with Vitor Reis on 8 cards and Arnau Martinez on 6. Against a Mallorca side fighting for breath near the drop zone, this could get edgy. Why wouldn’t it?
Mallorca travel with a strange mix of hope and warning signs. Recent form is better, with 7 points from 5 games and 8 goals scored. Even so, their away table tells a harsher story: 1 win, 3 draws, 12 defeats, and just 0.38 points per match.
Martín Demichelis has headaches up front. Mateo Joseph is out, while Vedat Muriqi is doubtful, and that’s no small thing after 21 goals at 0.7 per 90. Samú Costa starts as a key battler, but his 9 cards show the risk attached.
This feels like a match where control may come and go in messy little waves. Mallorca’s away games average 5 cards, while Girona’s home matches average 4.69. For LaLiga Predictions, the card line looks more convincing than picking a winner.
Girona coach Míchel insisted the clash with Mallorca is important but not decisive, stressing that his side is in a better position than a year ago despite several absences. He highlighted Mallorca’s tactical changes under the current setup, while warning that their crossing threat and Vedat Muriqi’s presence remain key dangers. Míchel also called on Girona to play with aggression, pride, and their usual attacking identity.
I. Martín, A. Witsel V. Tsygankov, T. Lemar, A. Ounahi
FW
C. Echeverri
OUT
A. Moreno(OUT),
A. Ruíz(OUT),
J. Carlos(OUT),
M. Ter Stegen(OUT),
V. Vanat(OUT),
D. van de Beek(QUES),
Mallorca (4-2-3-1)
Martín Demichelis
GK
L. Román
DF
P. Maffeo, D. López, M. Valjent, J. Mojica
MF
O. Mascarell, S. Costa S. Darder, P. Torre, J. Virgili
FW
T. Asano
OUT
M. Joseph(OUT),
M. Kumbulla(QUES),
V. Muriqi(QUES),
Referee
Francisco MAESO
Prediction
Prediction: Over 3.5 Cards @1.54
Over 3.5 Cards @1.54 makes sense because both sides arrive with pressure stitched into the fixture. Girona average 2.56 cards received at home, while Mallorca away matches average 5 total cards. That is already above the required line, and with Francisco Maeso in charge, a tight relegation-edge contest could easily become stop-start and emotional.
The player data supports the angle too. Girona have Vitor Reis on 8 cards, Azzedine Ounahi on 7, and Arnau Martinez on 6. Mallorca bring Samú Costa with 9 cards, Pablo Maffeo with 8, and Martin Valjent with 6. When both teams carry that many regular offenders, 4 cards is hardly asking for fireworks.
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FAQ – Girona vs Mallorca Prediction
Who will win between Girona and Mallorca?
Girona have home advantage, but Mallorca’s recent scoring form makes this awkward. A narrow, tense match looks more likely than a comfortable win.
What is the best betting tip for Girona vs Mallorca?
The highlighted betting tip is Over 3.5 Cards @1.54, supported by both teams’ card averages and the pressure around the standings.
Where is Girona vs Mallorca played?
The LaLiga match is played at Estadio Municipal de Montilivi in Girona.
What time does Girona vs Mallorca start?
Kick-off is scheduled for 20:00 GMT on Friday, May 1, 2026.
Who is the referee for Girona vs Mallorca?
Francisco Maeso is listed as the referee for Girona vs Mallorca.
Alexandru Florin is a football betting expert, providing tips and accumulator predictions for xpertstats.com since 2022. With a strong focus on data-driven analysis, he delivers well-researched insights and reliable advice for bettors aiming for long-term profit.