Dortmund vs Mainz Prediction and Betting Tips for this Friday night clash on February 13, 2026, kicking off at 19:30 GMT. Fans can catch the action live on ESPN or BBC Sport from the iconic Signal Iduna Park. It is a huge night for these Bundesliga Predictions enthusiasts.
Dortmund enters this match as heavy favorites, sitting comfortably in second place after an incredible run of form. Meanwhile, Mainz is battling near the bottom, desperately needing points to avoid the drop. The tactical battle between managers Niko Kovac and Urs Fischer should be a fascinating spectacle for everyone.
Dortmund vs Mainz Key Facts and Stats
Borussia Dortmund has remarkably secured fifteen points from their last five league matches played recently.
The home side remains unbeaten at Signal Iduna Park in their last ten competitive matches.
Mainz 05 has managed to pick up twelve points during their previous five league encounters.
Both teams have scored in four of the last five matches involving the visiting side.
Dortmund has successfully found the back of the net in twenty one consecutive league games.
The visitors have failed to score in thirty eight percent of their games this season.
Best home record in the league with an average of 2.6 points per game
Strongest home defense in the division conceding only 0.8 goals per match
Top ranked team for corners won at home with an average of 7.2
High attacking efficiency scoring 2.2 goals per match at Signal Iduna Park
- Dortmund's Weaknesses
Missing key defender Nico Schlotterbeck who is currently suspended for this match
Without captain Emre Can who is sidelined with a painful adductor injury
Only 50 percent of matches played at home have gone over 2.5 goals
League Position
14
+ Mainz's Strengths
High 70 percent frequency of spectacular matches where both teams score away
Excellent recent momentum with 12 points secured from the last 15 available
Nadiem Amiri is in top form with 9 goals this season already
Attacking threat has improved recently with 10 goals in the last 5 games
- Mainz's Weaknesses
Poor away performance averaging only 0.9 points per match this season
Defensive struggles on the road conceding an average of 2 goals per game
Weakest attacking output away from home with only 9.2 shots per match
Match Preview
Dortmund is flying high right now. Guirassy is the main man with 9 goals already. With an average of 0.52 goals per 90 minutes, he is a constant threat. The home fans are treated to goals every single week at the Signal Iduna Park.
Still, it is not all perfect for Kovac. There is a big blow for the hosts. Nico Schlotterbeck is suspended, which is a massive loss for the defense. Also, Emre Can is out with an adductor injury. Kovac will have to shuffle his pack.
Julian Brandt and Maximilian Beier have both netted six times this season. Their creativity is vital, especially since Dortmund averages 14.4 shots per match at home. If they maintain this pressure, it is hard to see them dropping points against the strugglers today.
Mainz is showing some real grit lately. Picking up 12 points from 15 is impressive for a team in 14th place. Nadiem Amiri is their standout performer, boasting 9 goals this term. He averages 0.55 goals per 90 minutes, making him their primary danger.
Even so, Mainz is a tough nut to crack lately. Urs Fischer has some injury headaches though. Robin Zentner is out, so Batz will start in goal. Missing their regular keeper is never ideal when visiting a stadium as intimidating as Signal Iduna Park.
Despite their recent wins, Mainz struggles on the road. They concede an average of 2 goals per away game. It will be a massive challenge for their defense to hold out. These Bundesliga Predictions suggest a difficult evening for the visitors today.
Niko Kovac is prioritizing defensive alertness as Borussia Dortmund prepares to face Mainz 05. Praising Urs Fischer’s organized setup, Kovac warns of Mainz’s quick transitions and balls played behind the defensive line. The BVB coach stresses that "milliseconds" will determine success, requiring his team to act proactively rather than reactively. Maintaining focus is essential to overcome a resilient opponent fighting for their sporting survival.
J. Ryerson, J. Bellingham, F. Nmecha, D. Svensson M. Beier, F. Silva
FW
S. Guirassy
OUT
E. Can(OUT),
F. Mané(OUT),
N. Schlotterbeck(OUT)
1. FSV Mainz 05 (3-5-2)
Urs Fischer
GK
D. Batz
DF
S. Posch, S. Bell, D. Kohr
MF
D. Costa, K. Sano, S. Widmer J. Lee, N. Amiri
FW
Silas, P. Tietz
OUT
K. Bos(OUT),
A. Caci(OUT),
B. Hollerbach(OUT),
Maloney(OUT),
R. Zentner(OUT)
Prediction
Dortmund to Win @1.56
Dortmund is currently in elite form at home, having won their last five matches at Signal Iduna Park. They boast the best home record in the league with a 2.6 points per game average. Their defense is also the tightest at home, conceding just 0.8 goals per match. This dominance makes them overwhelming favorites to secure another vital victory in front of their fans.
On the other hand, Mainz 05 continues to struggle when playing away from their home ground. They average only 0.9 points per game on their travels while conceding 2 goals per match. Despite their decent overall form recently, facing a Dortmund side that has not lost in fourteen games is a different level. The gap in quality and home advantage should be decisive here.
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FAQ – Dortmund vs Mainz Prediction
Who is the favorite to win between Dortmund and Mainz?
Borussia Dortmund are the heavy favorites due to their incredible home form and second place position in the league standings.
Where can I watch Dortmund vs Mainz live?
The Dortmund vs Mainz (Bundesliga) match will be broadcast live on ESPN (USA) and BBC Sport.
What time does Dortmund vs Mainz start?
Kick-off is scheduled for 19:30(GMT) on Friday February 13, 2026.
Are there any key players missing for Dortmund?
Yes, Dortmund will be without key defender Nico Schlotterbeck due to suspension and captain Emre Can who has an injury.
What is the recent form of Mainz 05?
Mainz has been in good form lately, picking up 12 points from their last five matches, though they still struggle away from home.
Alexandru Florin is a football betting expert, providing tips and accumulator predictions for xpertstats.com since 2022. With a strong focus on data-driven analysis, he delivers well-researched insights and reliable advice for bettors aiming for long-term profit.
