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Derby vs Leeds Prediction FA Cup 11.01.2026

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Last updated: 01/06/2026 21:56
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Derby vs Leeds Prediction FA Cup 11.01.2026

Derby vs Leeds Prediction FA Cup

Derby vs Leeds Prediction and Betting Tips for the FA Cup third round, scheduled for Sunday, January 11, 2026, at 12:00 GMT. The match will be broadcast live on Discovery+ and TNT Sports 2. This historic clash takes place at Pride Park, where the Rams are desperate to prove they can still hang with the big boys. If you are looking for the best edge, you can check out Soccer Stats for more deep dives into the numbers. It is a classic cup tie between two sides with massive fanbases but very different recent trajectories.

  • Derby County currently occupies 13th place in the Championship after a very inconsistent season start.
  • The Rams have struggled significantly at Pride Park, winning only once in their last six home matches.
  • Leeds United sits 16th in the Premier League, eight points clear of the current relegation zone.
  • The visitors have won the last three head to head meetings against Derby in all competitions.
  • Derby will be without top scorer Carlton Morris and key midfielder David Ozoh due to injuries.
  • Leeds scored three goals against Newcastle midweek but conceded two late goals in a dramatic defeat.

Leeds United manager Daniel Farke has prioritized Premier League survival ahead of Sunday's FA Cup clash against Derby County. While honoring the legacy of the late Terry Yorath, Farke confirmed Karl Darlow will start in goal. Despite back concerns for Sam Byram and injury risks regarding Jayden Bogle, the boss remains committed to the competition's tradition while carefully managing his squad after a grueling festive period.

Source: bbc.com
Derby vs Leeds Predicted Lineups
Derby County (3-4-3)
GK Widell Zetterstrom
DF Langas, Sanderson, Clarke
MF Ward, Thompson, Clark, Elder
FW Brereton Diaz, Agyemang, Brewster
OUT
M. Johnston(OUT),
O. Beck(OUT),
C. Morris(OUT),
D. Ozoh(OUT)
Leeds United (3-5-2)
GK Darlow
DF Rodon, Bornauw, Struijk
MF Justin, Tanaka, Ampadu, Gruev, Gudmundsson
FW Okafor, Nmecha
OUT
S. Byram(QUES),
J. Bogle(QUES),
D. James(OUT)
Prediction
Leeds to Win @1.78
Leeds United may have struggled on the road this season, but the gap in pure technical quality between the Premier League and the Championship is often the deciding factor in the FA Cup. Daniel Farke has his side playing an expansive, attacking brand of football that recently saw them put four past Crystal Palace and three past Chelsea. While the heartbreaking late loss to Newcastle showed some defensive lapses, the offensive output from players like Okafor and Nmecha is significantly higher than what Derby faces weekly. Derby has been surprisingly poor at Pride Park lately, winning just once in their last six home games. Given Leeds have beaten the Rams in their last three meetings, the psychological edge sits firmly with the visitors. Expect Leeds to control possession and eventually break down a Derby defense that has already conceded 35 goals this term.

Watch Derby vs Leeds Last Match Highlights

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FAQ – Derby vs Leeds Prediction

Who is the favorite to win between Derby and Leeds?

Leeds United enters as the favorite due to their Premier League status and strong recent scoring record, despite their struggles on the road.

Where can I watch Derby vs Leeds live?

The Derby vs Leeds FA Cup match will be broadcast live on Discovery+ and TNT Sports 2.

What time does Derby vs Leeds start?

Kick-off is scheduled for 12:00 (GMT) on Sunday, January 11, 2026.

Are there any major injuries for Derby County?

Yes, Derby will be missing their top scorer Carlton Morris and midfielder David Ozoh, which could impact their attacking threat.

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