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Burnley vs Aston Villa Prediction, Team News, Lineups, Stats 10.05.2026

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Alexandru Florin 09.05.2026 11:13Last updated: 28/05/2026 09:24
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Burnley vs Aston Villa Prediction, Team News, Lineups, Stats 10.05.2026

Burnley vs Aston Villa Prediction and Betting Tips, scheduled for Sunday, May 10, 2026, at 14:00 GMT, comes from Turf Moor in Burnley. Anthony Taylor is the referee, and this Premier League meeting feels tense already. You can Discover Premier League Stats before kick-off.

Burnley arrive in rough shape, with five straight defeats and only three recent goals. Aston Villa, meanwhile, have taken seven points from their last five and scored eight times. Is this the sort of away day Unai Emery’s side simply have to take?

Burnley vs Aston Villa Prediction

Aston Villa to Win
Odds: 1.66 Confidence: Medium

Villa look the more stable side, both emotionally and structurally. Burnley’s recent run has drained belief, and their home numbers do not really shout resilience. Michael Jackson’s 5-4-1 can keep games narrow for spells, but if they fall behind, the whole plan starts to creak. Aston Villa are not perfect away from home, not by any stretch, but they carry more attacking variety and better league motivation. With Morgan Rogers and Tammy Abraham expected to lead the front line, Emery has enough routes to goal. This feels like Villa’s game to manage, not chase.

Burnley vs Aston Villa Correct Score

Burnley
1 - 2
Aston Villa

Burnley’s home attack has struggled for rhythm, averaging 0.88 goals scored, while Aston Villa’s away defence allows 1.41 goals conceded. That opens the door for a home goal, probably through pressure or a set-piece moment, but not enough to tilt the match. Villa’s attacking profile is more reliable, especially with stronger individual output in the final third. Aston Villa average 1.18 goals scored away, and their shot volume suggests they should create enough to edge this. Burnley concede 1.53 goals at Turf Moor, which fits a narrow Villa win rather than a rout. With Alysson and Amadou Onana doubtful, Villa may not dominate physically, but the cleaner attacking patterns still point toward 1-2.

Burnley vs Aston Villa Stats

  • Burnley have lost their last five matches, scoring only three goals across that bleak run.
  • Aston Villa collected seven points from five games, showing steadier rhythm under Unai Emery.
  • Burnley sit 19th overall, while Villa remain 5th and chasing European qualification places.
  • Burnley have failed to score in 13 league matches, a major concern before kick-off.
  • Villa’s recent matches have seen both teams score in three of their last five outings.
  • Burnley’s home corner output remains low, giving Villa territory control if pressure builds early.
Burnley vs Aston Villa Prediction, Team News, Lineups, Stats 10.05.2026-Stats
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Burnley vs Aston Villa Match Preview

Burnley’s season has the look of a side running on fumes. They sit deep, try to stay compact, and hope the first big chance falls their way. Still, when confidence is this fragile, even a quiet spell of Villa possession can start to feel like a storm rolling in.

Aston Villa should have more control through midfield, especially with their 4-2-3-1 giving them a better structure between the lines. Emery’s team are not always ruthless on the road, but they carry more punch, more calm, and more players who can shift a game quickly.

The rhythm may be cagey early, with Burnley protecting the centre and Villa probing wide before accelerating. Cards and corners could build if the hosts spend long spells defending. That said, Villa’s stronger league position and cleaner attacking connections make the away win angle hard to ignore.

Burnley vs Aston Villa TEAM STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES
Burnley Logo
Aston Villa Logo
Burnley League Position
19th

+ Burnley's Strengths

  • Low card average at home, with just 1.29 cards received per match.
  • Their matches still reach 2.41 total goals on average, giving them comeback potential.
  • Zian Flemming remains a threat, leading the team scoring list with 9 goals.
  • Anthony and Flemming provide the main shot volume when Burnley break forward.

- Burnley's Weaknesses

  • Bottom-ranked home attack, averaging only 0.88 goals scored at Turf Moor.
  • Bottom-ranked home PPG, with 0.65 points per match in Burnley.
  • Very low home corner production, averaging only 3.65 corners won per match.
Aston Villa League Position
5th

+ Aston Villa's Strengths

  • Strong league position, sitting 5th with 58 points from 35 matches.
  • Ollie Watkins leads the scoring chart for Villa with 11 league goals.
  • Away matches bring good attacking involvement, with BTTS landing in 59 percent.
  • Villa win 4.82 away corners per match, giving them steady set-piece pressure.

- Aston Villa's Weaknesses

  • Away defence is mid-table, conceding 24 goals across 17 road matches.
  • Villa receive 1.88 cards away per match, so discipline can wobble under pressure.
  • Their away goal difference is negative, showing some vulnerability outside Birmingham.

Burnley vs Aston Villa Team News

Michael Jackson is expected to keep Burnley in a 5-4-1 shape, with Martin Dúbravka behind a packed back line. Connor Roberts is out with a strain and Jordan Beyer is missing with a knee issue, so the defensive options are thinner than ideal.

Zian Flemming should lead the line, and that matters because he is Burnley’s most productive finisher and also one of their busiest shooters. Jaidon Anthony is another important outlet on the left, while Hannibal Mejbri’s intensity can help, though it does bring card risk too.

Unai Emery’s Aston Villa are set up in a 4-2-3-1, with Morgan Rogers expected to support Tammy Abraham. Alysson and Amadou Onana are doubtful, so their availability is uncertain. Even so, Rogers’ shot output and Matty Cash’s wide energy give Villa useful attacking balance. For deeper reading, Discover Premier League Stats.

Burnley interim boss Mike Jackson says the Clarets are focused on finishing strongly despite relegation, with Sunday’s Premier League clash against Aston Villa offering a chance to restore energy and identity at Turf Moor. Jackson confirmed only long-term absentees Enock Agyei, Josh Cullen and Connor Roberts remain unavailable, while also praising Villa’s quality, coaching and confidence after their recent European success.

Source: bbc.com

Burnley vs Aston Villa Lineups

Here are the predicted lineups for Burnley vs Aston Villa, including formations, managers, injured players and doubtful players.
Burnley (5-4-1)
Michael Jackson
GK M. Dúbravka
DF K. Walker, M. Estève, H. Ekdal, B. Humphreys, Q. Hartman
MF L. Tchaouna, J. Ward-Prowse, H. Mejbri, J. Anthony
FW Z. Flemming
OUT
C. Roberts(OUT),
J. Beyer(OUT)
Aston Villa (4-2-3-1)
Unai Emery
GK E. Martínez
DF M. Cash, V. Lindelöf, T. Mings, I. Maatsen
MF L. Bogarde, Y. Tielemans
J. Sancho, R. Barkley, M. Rogers
FW T. Abraham
OUT
Alysson(QUES),
A. Onana(QUES)
Referee
Anthony TAYLOR
Burnley vs Aston Villa Prediction, Team News, Lineups, Stats 10.05.2026
Burnley vs Aston Villa Prediction, Team News, Lineups, Stats 10.05.2026
Burnley vs Aston Villa Prediction, Team News, Lineups, Stats 10.05.2026

Watch Burnley vs Aston Villa Last Match Highlights

More Predictions:

For bettors who want more than simple predictions, XpertStats offers a complete catalog of football stats, charts, and market-focused insights. Analyze daily fixtures, goal probabilities, BTTS performance, corner and card lines, shots on target, form trends, referee data, and league tables before choosing your selections. Explore the platform now for smarter Betting Tips Accumulators.

Burnley vs Aston Villa FAQ

Who will win between Burnley and Aston Villa?

Aston Villa are the preferred pick because their recent form, attacking quality, and league position look stronger than Burnley’s.

What is the best prediction for Burnley vs Aston Villa?

The main prediction is Aston Villa to win, with the visitors carrying more attacking threat and better momentum.

What time does Burnley vs Aston Villa start?

Kick-off is scheduled for 14:00 GMT on Sunday, May 10, 2026.

Where is Burnley vs Aston Villa played?

The Premier League match is played at Turf Moor in Burnley.

Who is the referee for Burnley vs Aston Villa?

Anthony Taylor has been listed as the referee for this fixture.

What correct score is predicted for Burnley vs Aston Villa?

The correct score prediction is Burnley 1-2 Aston Villa.

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