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Paraguay vs Australia Prediction, Team News, Lineups, Stats 26.06.2026

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Last updated: 24/06/2026 19:22
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Paraguay vs Australia Prediction, Team News, Lineups, Stats 26.06.2026

Paraguay vs Australia Prediction and Betting Tips, scheduled for Friday, June 26, 2026, at 03:00 GMT, comes from Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara. Fox and Peacock carry the game in the USA, with Clement Turpin appointed referee. For more context, see Best World Cup Predictions.

Both sides enter the final Group D round on three points, with Australia ahead on goal difference and needing only a draw. Paraguay, stung early by the USA but lifted by that gritty Turkey win, must push harder without suspended Miguel Almiron. Tense? Very likely.

Paraguay vs Australia Prediction

Draw
Odds: 2.27 XpertStats Model Probability: 48%

Draw is the logical risk play here because the table gives Australia a clear incentive to manage rather than chase. They sit ahead on goal difference, while Paraguay need to force the issue without Miguel Almiron. That usually creates a cautious middle spell, especially in a final group match where one mistake can change everything and third place still offers a small safety net. The odds imply roughly 44% before context. XpertStats nudges that to 48% because both sides have shown they can survive pressure, but neither arrives with a fully convincing attacking picture. Australia struggled to create against the USA, while Paraguay’s best route may be patience, set pieces and Enciso’s delivery rather than a wide open shootout.

Paraguay vs Australia Correct Score

Paraguay
1-1
Australia

A 1-1 scoreline fits the shape of the game more than a clean home win. Paraguay have to step forward eventually, but Almiron's suspension removes a major right-sided outlet and forces more responsibility onto Enciso. Australia, meanwhile, can live with longer defensive phases, yet their recent attacking output at World Cup level does not scream control or comfort at all. The likely rhythm points to Paraguay having bursts and Australia protecting central spaces through their back five. If Popovic’s side score, they will probably retreat quickly. If Paraguay score first, the Socceroos still have enough set-piece presence to respond. It feels like a match where pressure builds, chances arrive in waves, and neither team fully escapes the other by full-time.

Paraguay vs Australia Stats

  • Australia are unbeaten in five previous Paraguay meetings, winning two and drawing three friendlies.
  • The Socceroos have never beaten CONMEBOL opposition at a World Cup across five attempts.
  • Paraguay beat Turkey 1-0 despite playing more than half the match with ten men.
  • Matias Galarza scored after 64 seconds, delivering the earliest winning goal at World Cup finals.
  • Australia averaged only 6.7 shots per game across the last two World Cup editions.
  • Paraguay have avoided defeat in their final group match across six consecutive World Cup campaigns.

Paraguay vs Australia Match Preview

Paraguay arrive in that awkward space between belief and urgency. Gustavo Alfaro’s team showed real steel after their opening setback, but they still need a result that changes the table. That should push them forward, though probably not recklessly from the first whistle.

Australia can approach this with a slightly cooler head. Tony Popovic’s side know the scoreboard elsewhere matters less if they handle their own business, and that could mean a compact block, controlled risk, and long spells of patient defending.

Stylistically, this could become a tug of war rather than a flowing attacking showcase. Paraguay may try to overload wide areas and hunt second balls, while Australia’s back line will likely stay narrow and invite pressure before looking for quick, direct releases.

The emotional rhythm matters, too. Paraguay’s recent World Cup story has swung from painful defending to stubborn survival, while Australia’s campaign has mixed discipline with a lack of attacking sharpness. That blend usually creates tension, not chaos, at least until the final stretch.

Corners, cards and set pieces may quietly shape this game. Paraguay need territory and pressure, but Australia are built to absorb and reset. It would be no surprise if the match feels cagey early, then turns nervous once benches and qualification maths enter the picture.

Paraguay vs Australia TEAM STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES
Paraguay Logo
Australia Logo
Paraguay League Position
3rd in Group D

+ Paraguay`s Strengths

  • Beat Turkey despite a red card, showing strong game management under heavy pressure.
  • Have won five of their last seven fixtures, bringing useful momentum into this decider.
  • Ten of their past twelve victories came by one goal, showing comfort in tight matches.
  • Julio Enciso has provided decisive World Cup creativity, especially in transition and final-third delivery.

- Paraguay's Weaknesses

  • Need a win to guarantee automatic progression, increasing the pressure on their attacking decisions.
  • Conceded heavily against the USA, raising doubts about defensive stability against direct transitions.
  • Miguel Almiron is suspended, removing their squad's leading scorer from the right side.
Australia League Position
2nd in Group D

+ Australia's Strengths

  • Hold the goal-difference edge, meaning a controlled draw is enough for second place.
  • Tony Popovic’s recent run includes three wins, one draw and two defeats.
  • Scored nine and conceded five across Popovic’s last six games in charge.
  • Their 5-4-1 shape gives them strong central cover and defensive numbers.

- Australia's Weaknesses

  • Recent World Cup attacking volume has been low, making sustained pressure harder to build.
  • Lost their last match to the USA, with the contest effectively slipping away before halftime.
  • Mathew Leckie is doubtful, leaving uncertainty around width, pace and attacking rotation.

Paraguay vs Australia Team News

Paraguay are expected to stay close to Gustavo Alfaro’s 4-4-2 structure, but the absence of Miguel Almiron is a real blow. He is suspended after his red card against Turkey, and that removes the squad’s current top scorer, with 10 international goals.

Diego Gomez was a fitness concern after coming off against Turkey, though the latest indication from the supplied team news is that he has shaken off the discomfort. Julio Enciso should remain central to Paraguay’s attacking plan, especially after becoming a repeated assist provider at this World Cup.

Australia should again lean on Tony Popovic’s 5-4-1 setup, with Alessandro Circati, Harry Souttar and Cameron Burgess expected to keep their places in defence. Mathew Leckie is doubtful because of physical discomfort, so Cristian Volpato may be the safer option if Popovic wants fresh legs in wide areas.

Australia head into their decisive World Cup Group D clash with Paraguay facing a major selection dilemma, as Tony Popovic weighs whether to start Nestory Irankunda after strong public calls for his inclusion. Assistant coach Paul Okon confirmed changes are likely, while injuries, tactical balance and looming suspension risks for several defenders add further complexity to the Socceroos’ team selection ahead of a must-avoid defeat.

Paraguay vs Australia Lineups

Here are the predicted lineups for Paraguay vs Australia, including formations, managers, injured players and doubtful players.
Paraguay (4-4-2)
Gustavo Alfaro
GK O. Gill
DF J. Caceres, G. Gomez, O. Alderete, J. Alonso
MF D. Bobadilla, A. Cubas, D. Gomez, M. Galarza
FW J. Enciso, I. Pitta
OUT
M. Almiron(OUT),
Australia (5-4-1)
Tony Popovic
GK J. Bos
DF N. Irankunda, C. Burgess, H. Souttar, A. Circati, P. Beach
MF P. Okon-Engstler, A. O'Neill, C. Metcalfe, J. Italiano
FW T. Yengi
OUT
M. Leckie(QUES),
Referee
Clement Turpin

To strengthen your football research, continue your analysis with XpertStats, where predictive intelligence meets detailed performance data. From home and away favorites to xG, odds comparison, goal intervals, corners, cards, shots on target, H2H history, league tables, and player stats, the platform helps you turn raw football numbers into clearer match insights.

Paraguay vs Australia FAQ

Who will win between Paraguay and Australia?

This looks very tight, but the preferred prediction is a draw because Australia can qualify with one point and Paraguay are missing Miguel Almiron.

What is the best prediction for Paraguay vs Australia?

The main betting prediction is Draw at 2.27, with the match context pointing toward caution, pressure and a controlled rhythm.

What time does Paraguay vs Australia start?

Kick-off is scheduled for 03:00 GMT on Friday, June 26, 2026.

Where is Paraguay vs Australia played?

The match is scheduled to take place at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara.

What is the predicted correct score for Paraguay vs Australia?

The predicted correct score is Paraguay 1-1 Australia, based on the likely cautious game state and both teams’ tournament incentives.

Is Miguel Almiron available for Paraguay vs Australia?

No. Miguel Almiron is suspended after receiving a red card against Turkey, which is a notable attacking blow for Paraguay.

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