Birmingham vs Leeds Prediction and Betting Tips for the FA Cup fourth round clash on Sunday, February 15, 2026. This high stakes match kicks off at 12:00 GMT at St. Andrew's Stadium. You can catch the action live on TNT Sports 3 or via ESPN if you are in the USA.
The hosts are currently enjoying a brilliant eight game unbeaten streak across all competitions. It is a massive test for Chris Davies's side against Premier League opposition. If you want more insights, check out Today's FA Cup Predictions from our expert analysts here at XpertStats.
Birmingham vs Leeds Key Facts and Stats
Birmingham City have not tasted defeat at St. Andrew's in their last eleven home matches.
Leeds United recently fought back from behind to earn a gritty draw against Chelsea away.
The Blues booked their spot in this round after a tight win over Cambridge United.
Daniel Farke's men have lost only one of their last six games in all competitions.
Influential Birmingham midfielder Paik Seung-ho is sidelined with a shoulder injury for this cup tie.
Striker Dominic Calvert-Lewin remains a doubt for the visitors due to a recent bout of illness.
Strong offensive form with 1.85 average goals at home
Excellent recent momentum with a 7 match league unbeaten run
- Birmingham's Weaknesses
Missing key midfielder Paik Seung-ho due to shoulder injury
Long term defensive absences including Ethan Laird and Alex Cochrane
Lower division status compared to Premier League visitors
+ Leeds's Strengths
Premier League quality attack with Nmecha and Okafor scoring
Strong recovery powers shown in recent draw at Chelsea
Only one defeat in their last six matches overall
- Leeds's Weaknesses
Main striker Dominic Calvert-Lewin is a major doubt
Key defender Pascal Struijk sidelined with a hip problem
Poor historical record at St. Andrew's in recent years
Match Preview
Davies has transformed the Blues into a resilient unit since the Watford defeat. They have been climbing the Championship ladder effectively recently. With five wins in eight games, the confidence levels in the dressing room are through the roof. Can they carry that momentum into Sunday?
Demarai Gray is back in contention after recovering from a calf problem. Being a lifelong fan, he will be desperate to make an impact. However, the loss of Paik Seung-ho is a blow. He was the heartbeat of the engine room before his shoulder gave out.
Defensively, they look much sharper than earlier in the campaign. Only conceding a few goals during this unbeaten run shows real discipline. Wagner already proved he can find the net from the back. They will need that same clinical edge to upset a top flight opponent.
Farke seems to have steadied the ship after some shaky results in early January. The 2-2 draw at Chelsea showed plenty of character. Nmecha and Okafor are proving to be reliable threats in the final third. They definitely have the quality to hurt any Championship side easily.
The big question is whether Calvert-Lewin will be fit enough to lead the line. He has 10 goals this term but missed the midweek trip. If he stays out, the pressure falls on Nmecha to produce. Losing Struijk at the back is also a huge concern.
Still, their recent form against Championship sides is encouraging. They handled Derby quite well in the previous round. In the final paragraph of our analysis, we look at Today's FA Cup Predictions to see if a giant killing is actually on the cards for us.
Leeds United manager Daniel Farke is prioritizing league survival ahead of Sunday's FA Cup clash against Birmingham City. While Dominic Calvert-Lewin returns from illness, Anton Stach and Pascal Struijk remain sidelined. Farke emphasized that he won't risk players despite his respect for the competition. He also praised Birmingham's recent eight-game unbeaten run, acknowledging the quality and promotion potential within their squad as they prepare for the fourth-round tie.
Birmingham have found the net in almost every home game this season. Their 11 match unbeaten run at St. Andrew's is built on consistent scoring. Leeds are a Premier League side with superior individual quality, as seen in their 2 goals against Chelsea. Both teams have defensive injuries with Struijk and Paik missing. This creates gaps that clinical strikers will certainly exploit on Sunday.
Leeds have scored 10 goals in their last 5 matches, showing significant offensive improvement lately. While Birmingham are in a lower division, they have home field advantage and high confidence. The Blues have seen over 2.5 goals in many recent cup fixtures. With Calvert-Lewin doubtful, Leeds might be more vulnerable on the break. Expect both teams to find the back of the net at least once.
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FAQ – Birmingham vs Leeds Prediction
Who is the favorite in the Birmingham vs Leeds match?
Leeds United are the technical favorites as the Premier League side, but Birmingham's 11 match unbeaten home run makes them dangerous underdogs.
Where can I watch Birmingham vs Leeds live?
The Birmingham vs Leeds FA Cup match will be broadcast live on TNT Sports 3 and ESPN for viewers in the United States.
What time does Birmingham vs Leeds start?
Kick off is scheduled for 12:00 (GMT) on Sunday February 15, 2026.
Are there any major injuries for Birmingham?
Yes, the hosts are missing Paik Seung-ho with a shoulder injury, along with long term absentees like Ethan Laird and Alex Cochrane.
Will Dominic Calvert-Lewin play for Leeds?
The Leeds striker is currently a doubt for the match at St. Andrew's after missing their last game due to a bout of illness.
Alexandru Florin is a football betting expert, providing tips and accumulator predictions for xpertstats.com since 2022. With a strong focus on data-driven analysis, he delivers well-researched insights and reliable advice for bettors aiming for long-term profit.
