Atalanta vs Dortmund Prediction and Betting Tips for this crucial Champions League second leg on Wednesday, February 25 2026. Fans can find the Best Champions League Predictions here before watching live on CBS Sports from the New Balance Arena. Atalanta trails by 2 goals.
The Italian side struggled in Germany, managing only 7 shots during the entire match. They need a historic comeback to advance to the next round. Our experts provide insights for this high stakes European encounter to help you navigate the various markets available at the top sportsbooks globally today.
Atalanta vs Dortmund Key Facts and Stats
Atalanta managed only 7 shots in the first leg, showing a rare lack of offensive threat.
Dortmund holds a 2 goal lead thanks to strikes from Serhou Guirassy and Maximilian Beier.
The German club has progressed in all 10 previous UEFA ties when leading by 2 goals.
Since February, Atalanta has been in great domestic form with 8 wins and 2 draws.
Dortmund has shown defensive vulnerability away from home, conceding 4 goals in 2 different matches.
Guirassy is the main man for the visitors, having already contributed 4 goals this season.
Massive offensive pressure generated through an average of 17.5 total shots per home game.
Dominates possession at home with a high average of 13.75 fouls won per match.
Excellent tactical discipline shown by committing a low average of only 7.5 fouls per fixture.
- Atalanta's Weaknesses
Inefficient conversion rate at home with a poor average of 4 shots on target per match.
Defensive fragility in home fixtures with an average of 1.25 goals conceded in every game.
Low set piece production with an average of only 5 corners won per match.
+ Dortmund's Strengths
Highly clinical attacking unit averaging 2.25 goals scored per match on the road.
Spectacular style of football with 75% of away matches ending with over 3.5 goals.
High percentage of spectacular games with BTTS happening in 75% of away fixtures.
- Dortmund's Weaknesses
Extremely weak defensive line with a high average of 3 goals conceded per away match.
Very low offensive volume managing a poor average of only 9.25 shots per game.
Vulnerable during set pieces with an average of 4 corners conceded per away match.
Match Preview
Raffaele Palladino faces a massive challenge without Giacomo Raspadori and Charles De Ketelaere tonight. De Ketelaere is a huge miss, having created 20 chances during the league phase. Still, the squad remains mostly fit, with Ederson expected to start after resting a minor muscular issue last Sunday.
Lazar Samardzic and Gianluca Scamacca will lead the charge for the hosts. Samardzic has been efficient, scoring 2 times this season with a 1.18 goals per 90 minutes average. Scamacca also has 2 goals and will need to improve his 0.57 per 90 average in this game.
The Italian side enters this game with confidence after defeating Napoli recently. Mario Pasalic is in good form after scoring at the weekend and will be vital in midfield. They must avoid a 4th successive European loss, a negative streak they have never experienced before in history.
Niko Kovac might welcome back Nico Schlotterbeck to the starting lineup after his return to training. His presence would be vital given that Dortmund has twice conceded 4 goals on the road this season. However, they remain favorites after winning the 1st leg with a solid 2 goal lead.
Serhou Guirassy remains the most dangerous threat for the visitors with 4 goals so far. He averages 0.58 goals per 90 minutes and has been a consistent performer in Europe. Julian Brandt is also a key player, having found the net 3 times during this current season.
BVB has a perfect record when defending a 2 goal lead from the 1st leg. They will look to exploit spaces left by Atalanta as the Italians push forward. Finding the right balance will be the key for Best Champions League Predictions in this tactical battle.
Niko Kovac is preparing Borussia Dortmund for a high-stakes second leg against Atalanta Bergamo, bolstered by the return of key defenders Nico Schlotterbeck and Emre Can. Despite holding a 2-0 lead from the first leg, Kovac insists his team will not simply manage the result in a hostile away atmosphere. Emphasizing an attacking mindset, the coach maintains that playing for a goalless draw is not an option.
R. Bellanova, M. de Roon, M. Pašalić, D. Zappacosta L. Samardžić, N. Zalewski
FW
G. Scamacca
OUT
G. Raspadori(OUT),
S. Kolašinac(QUES),
C. De Ketelaere(OUT)
Borussia Dortmund (3-4-2-1)
Niko Kovač
GK
G. Kobel
DF
L. Reggiani, W. Anton, R. Bensebaini
MF
J. Ryerson, J. Bellingham, F. Nmecha, D. Svensson M. Beier, J. Brandt
FW
S. Guirassy
OUT
E. Can(OUT),
N. Schlotterbeck(OUT),
F. Mané(OUT),
N. Süle(QUES)
Referee
José María SÁNCHEZ MARTÍNEZ
Prediction
Both Teams to Score @1.60
Atalanta must attack from the first whistle to overturn the 2 0 deficit. They average 17.5 shots per match at home, proving they can create numerous chances against any opponent. With 75% of their home games seeing both teams score, it is highly likely they will find the net. Their desperation to advance will naturally leave gaps for the German visitors to exploit.
Dortmund averages 2.25 goals per away match, making them a constant threat on the counter. However, they also concede 3 goals per game on their travels, highlighting a very fragile defense. Since 75% of their away fixtures end with both teams scoring, statistics strongly support this outcome. Expect an open game where both goalkeepers will be busy throughout the 90 minutes.
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FAQ – Atalanta vs Dortmund Prediction
Who will win between Atalanta and Dortmund?
Atalanta is strong at home, but Dortmund holds a significant 2 goal advantage from the first leg which makes them favorites to progress.
Where can I watch Atalanta vs Dortmund live?
The Atalanta vs Dortmund Champions League match will be broadcast live on CBS Sports and Paramount Plus.
What time does Atalanta vs Dortmund start?
Kick off is scheduled for 17:45 (GMT) on Wednesday, February 25 2026.
Who are the key players for this match?
Keep an eye on Lazar Samardzic for Atalanta and Serhou Guirassy for Dortmund, as both have been in excellent goalscoring form lately.
What was the result of the first leg?
Dortmund won the first leg in Germany with a 2 0 scoreline thanks to goals from Guirassy and Beier.
Alexandru Florin is a football betting expert, providing tips and accumulator predictions for xpertstats.com since 2022. With a strong focus on data-driven analysis, he delivers well-researched insights and reliable advice for bettors aiming for long-term profit.
