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Aston Villa vs Nottingham Prediction, Team News, Lineups, Stats 07.05.2026

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Alexandru Florin 06.05.2026 19:25Last updated: 01/06/2026 21:22
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Aston Villa vs Nottingham Prediction, Team News, Lineups, Stats 07.05.2026

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Prediction and Betting Tips, scheduled for Thursday, May 7, 2026, at 20:00 GMT. The Europa League semi final second leg takes place at Villa Park in Birmingham, with Glenn Nyberg appointed referee. In this article, you’ll discover Europa League Predictions from XpertStats tipsters.

Nottingham arrive with a 1-0 first leg lead after Chris Wood’s second half penalty, but Villa Park changes the mood. Unai Emery’s side must chase the tie, and Forest, under Vitor Pereira, know one careless spell could flip everything. Isn’t that exactly why Europe feels alive?

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Prediction

Aston Villa to Qualify
Odds: 2.10 Confidence: Medium

Villa’s home profile gives this pick real weight. They average 2.33 goals scored at home while conceding only 0.5, which is the kind of balance you want when a team must overturn a narrow deficit. Forest’s away scoring figure is healthy, but their away defensive average leaves the door open. Villa don’t need chaos, just pressure, tempo and one clean attacking spell. The context also leans toward a Villa response. Emery’s side have won their last 6 home games and scored in every home match this season, while Forest protect a slim lead rather than chase the game. That can be dangerous. With Watkins, Sancho and Rogers likely involved, Villa have enough shot volume and European know-how to turn the tie around.

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Correct Score

Aston Villa
2-0
Nottingham

A 2-0 Villa win fits the numbers and the likely rhythm. Villa create enough at home to force Forest into long defensive spells, and their clean sheet record recently supports a controlled match rather than a wild shootout. Nottingham can threaten through Igor Jesus and Chris Wood, but missing Morgan Gibbs-White removes a useful creative layer in transition. The shot profile also points toward Villa producing the clearer chances. Forest do take attempts away from home, but Villa’s home shots on target rate and better conversion balance suggest they can turn pressure into goals more efficiently. If Emery’s side score first, the stadium changes fast. Forest may then have to open up, giving Villa the second goal they need.

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Stats

  • Aston Villa have won their last 6 home matches, building serious Villa Park momentum.
  • Villa have scored in all home games this season, keeping attacking confidence very high.
  • Nottingham are unbeaten in 3 away matches, so this tie is far from settled.
  • Forest have lost just 1 of their last 5 games, with confidence clearly growing.
  • Villa kept 3 clean sheets in their last 5, conceding only 2 goals.
  • The first leg ended 1-0 to Nottingham after Chris Wood converted a penalty.
Aston Villa vs Nottingham Prediction, Team News, Lineups, Stats 07.05.2026-Stats
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Aston Villa vs Nottingham Match Preview

Aston Villa come into this second leg with a strange mix of pressure and belief. The Premier League wobble is real, yes, but Villa Park has been a different animal in Europe. Emery’s side usually push high, feed the wide areas, and try to make opponents defend facing their own goal.

Nottingham will not arrive just to admire the lights. Pereira has given this group bite, structure and belief, and the first leg lead gives them something tangible to protect. Still, defending a narrow advantage away from home can feel like holding water in your hands. One mistake, one set piece, one Watkins run, and the whole mood shifts.

The likely rhythm is clear enough. Villa should have more territorial control, while Forest look for quick exits through their front pairing and wide runners. Cards and fouls could matter because both midfields have edge. It feels like a match where patience matters, but so does nerve. Villa may need both.

Aston Villa vs Nottingham TEAM STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES
Aston Villa Logo
Nottingham Logo

+ Aston Villa's Strengths

  • Strong home attack, averaging 2.33 goals scored per home match.
  • Excellent home defensive record, conceding only 0.5 goals per home match.
  • Creates danger regularly, averaging 6.5 shots on target at home.
  • Controls wide pressure well, winning 5.17 corners per home match.

- Aston Villa's Weaknesses

  • Only 33% of home matches have seen both teams score.
  • Home matches reach over 10.5 corners in just 17% of games.
  • Low cards profile, with 0.83 cards received per home match.

+ Nottingham's Strengths

  • Away attack carries threat, averaging 1.43 goals scored per away match.
  • High shot volume away from home, averaging 15 shots per match.
  • Strong corner pressure away, winning 5.14 corners per match.
  • Attractive away profile, with BTTS landing in 57% of matches.

- Nottingham's Weaknesses

  • Away defence allows 0.86 goals conceded per match.
  • Discipline can bite, with 1.71 cards received per away match.
  • They concede 3.57 corners per away match, inviting pressure in wide areas.

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Team News

Aston Villa are expected to stay close to a 4-2-3-1 under Unai Emery, with Emiliano Martinez behind a back line featuring Matty Cash, Ezri Konsa and Pau Torres. Ollie Watkins should lead the attack, and that matters because he is Villa’s top shots on target player with 12 in the current player data.

John McGinn is doubtful with a hamstring issue, which is worth watching because he has 3 goals and 2 cards in the supplied season player tables. Boubacar Kamara is injured, while Alysson and Amadou Onana are also doubtful. That could slightly thin Emery’s midfield options on a night where duels may decide everything.

Forest should line up in a 4-4-2 for Vitor Pereira, with Igor Jesus and Chris Wood likely central to their attacking plan. Igor Jesus looks especially important after producing 34 shots and 17 on target in the player stats. Callum Hudson-Odoi and Morgan Gibbs-White are injured, removing two major creative options from Pereira’s selection picture.

Unai Emery says Aston Villa remain confident ahead of their Europa League semi-final second leg against Nottingham Forest, despite losing Amadou Onana to a calf injury. John McGinn has returned to training and should be available, offering a timely boost. Emery admitted rotation has affected recent results, but stressed Villa’s progress, motivation, and belief as they chase a place in the Europa League final at Villa Park.

Source: bbc.com

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Lineups

Here are the predicted lineups for Aston Villa vs Forest, including formations, managers, injured players and doubtful players.
Aston Villa (4-2-3-1)
Unai Emery
GK E. Martinez
DF M. Cash, L. Bogarde, E. Konsa, P. Torres
MF Y. Tielemans, L. Digne
J. Sancho, M. Rogers, E. Buendia
FW O. Watkins
OUT
B. Kamara(OUT),
Alysson(QUES),
A. Onana(QUES),
J. McGinn(QUES)
Forest (4-4-2)
Vitor Pereira
GK S. Ortega
DF Jair, N. Milenkovic, Morato, N. Williams
MF O. Hutchinson, N. Dominguez, E. Anderson, D. Bakwa
FW I. Jesus, C. Wood
OUT
C. Hudson Odoi(OUT),
J. Victor(OUT),
M. Gibbs-White(OUT),
N. Savona(OUT),
W. Boly(OUT),
Z. Abbott(OUT),
D. Ndoye(QUES),
I. Sangare(QUES),
Murillo(QUES),
O. Aina(QUES)
Referee
Glenn NYBERG
Aston Villa vs Nottingham Prediction, Team News, Lineups, Stats 07.05.2026
Aston Villa vs Nottingham Prediction, Team News, Lineups, Stats 07.05.2026
Aston Villa vs Nottingham Prediction, Team News, Lineups, Stats 07.05.2026

Watch Aston Villa vs Nottingham Last Match Highlights

More Predictions:

For sharper pre-match research, explore the complete XpertStats catalog and turn raw football data into clearer betting insight. From xG, goal trends, corners, cards, referee profiles, team form, and efficiency rankings, every metric supports smarter analysis. Start with Shots on Target Predictions and discover how data-driven signals can help you assess attacking quality before kick-off.

Aston Villa vs Nottingham FAQ

Who will win between Aston Villa and Nottingham?

Aston Villa look slightly better placed to win on the night because of their home form, but Nottingham’s first leg lead keeps the tie very tense.

What is the best prediction for Aston Villa vs Nottingham?

The main prediction is Aston Villa to qualify at 2.10, based on Villa’s home strength, attacking pressure and European experience under Unai Emery.

What was the first leg score between Nottingham and Aston Villa?

Nottingham won the first leg 1-0, with Chris Wood scoring from the penalty spot after a Lucas Digne handball.

What time does Aston Villa vs Nottingham start?

Kick-off is scheduled for 20:00 GMT on Thursday, May 7, 2026.

Where is Aston Villa vs Nottingham played?

The match is played at Villa Park in Birmingham, where Aston Villa have built a strong European home record.

Who is the referee for Aston Villa vs Nottingham?

Glenn Nyberg is listed as the referee for this Europa League semi final second leg.

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