Aston Villa vs Newcastle Prediction and Betting Tips
Aston Villa vs Newcastle Prediction and Betting Tips for this massive FA Cup fourth round clash on Saturday February 14, 2026, at 17:45 GMT. You can Explore the Best FA Cup Predictions while the game airs on BBC Sport from Villa Park. This meeting carries a lot of historic weight.
History says that when these two meet in this tournament, one usually reaches the final. Villa are flying high in 3rd place after beating Brighton, while Newcastle just grabbed a huge win against Spurs. Both squads are dealing with major injury issues in their midfield departments lately.
Aston Villa vs Newcastle Key Facts and Stats
Villa have knocked Newcastle out of the FA Cup on 4 previous occasions in history.
Newcastle have lost 10 of their last 13 away games against Premier League cup opponents.
Morgan Rogers has been involved in 4 goals in 5 FA Cup starts for Aston Villa.
Six of the last 7 competitive games for Villa have produced under 2.5 total goals.
Newcastle ended a 5 game winless run with their recent 2 1 victory over Tottenham Hotspur.
Villa are unbeaten in their last 3 meetings against the Magpies across all various competitions.
Unbeaten in their last 3 matches against Newcastle scoring 6 goals.
Strong domestic form sitting in the top 3 of the standings.
Morgan Rogers in clinical form with 4 goal involvements in 5 starts.
- Aston Villa Weaknesses
Missing important players in midfield like John McGinn and Boubacar Kamara.
Lack of clean sheets in recent high pressure cup encounters.
Defensive depth tested with Matty Cash officially ruled out.
+ Newcastle Strengths
Won 6 of their last 11 away ties in this competition.
Momentum from a 2 1 win at Spurs ending a winless run.
Jacob Ramsey is in goalscoring form against top flight opposition.
- Newcastle Weaknesses
Lost 10 of their last 13 away games against Premier League teams.
Failed to score in 8 of their last 9 away cup games.
Missing important player Joelinton and several key defensive starters.
Match Preview
Unai Emery has turned Villa Park into a fortress, but the squad is looking a bit thin right now. Missing John McGinn and Youri Tielemans hurts their creativity. Still, the late win against Brighton showed they have the grit to win even when not at their best.
Morgan Rogers loves this competition. He already has 3 goals and an assist in limited starts. With Ollie Watkins leading the line, Villa possess enough clinical finishing to exploit a Newcastle defense that has looked shaky. They will surely look to dominate possession from the start.
The backline will see Lamare Bogarde fill in for the injured Matty Cash again. Pau Torres and Lucas Digne bring the experience needed for a high stakes cup tie. If they can keep it tight early on, their superior league form should eventually make the difference.
Eddie Howe got a massive boost by beating Spurs, especially with ex Villa man Jacob Ramsey getting the winner. It was only their 3rd away win in 13 league games, which is a worry. Still, that victory might have shifted the momentum back in their favor recently.
The injury list is honestly a nightmare for the Magpies. Losing Fabian Schar and Joelinton takes away their physical edge. If Bruno Guimaraes fails his late fitness test, the midfield battle becomes incredibly difficult against an Emery coached side that excels at controlling the center area.
Explore the Best FA Cup Predictions suggests this will be a tight affair. Newcastle have struggled to score in away cup ties against top flight opposition lately. They need Anthony Gordon to be at his electric best if they want to cause an upset at Villa Park.
Newcastle United manager Eddie Howe faces a challenging selection puzzle ahead of their FA Cup fourth-round clash against Aston Villa. With Bruno Guimarães and Lewis Miley sidelined by injuries, the Magpies are monitoring fitness levels "day-by-day" while searching for consistency following their recent victory over Tottenham. Despite these hurdles, Howe remains focused on a deep cup run, emphasizing the squad's hunger for success at Villa Park.
A. Onana, D. Luiz L. Bailey, M. Rogers, E. Buendía
FW
T. Abraham
OUT
J. McGinn(OUT),
Y. Tielemans(OUT),
B. Kamara(OUT),
A. García(OUT)
Newcastle (4-3-3)
Eddie Howe
GK
A. Ramsdale
DF
K. Trippier, M. Thiaw, D. Burn, L. Hall
MF
B. Guimarães, S. Tonali, J. Ramsey
FW
H. Barnes, N. Woltemade, A. Gordon
OUT
F. Schär(OUT),
E. Krafth(OUT),
Joelinton(OUT),
V. Livramento(OUT)
Referee
Chris Kavanagh
Prediction
Aston Villa to Qualify @1.68
Villa enter this fixture as strong favorites given their league standing and home form. They currently occupy 3rd place in the table and have shown great resilience at Villa Park. With 4 wins against Newcastle in previous FA Cup meetings, history favors the hosts. Even with midfield injuries, Unai Emery has tactical depth to manage a cup tie effectively against a struggling away side.
Newcastle have a documented struggle on the road against Premier League opponents in this competition. They lost 10 of their last 13 such matches and failed to score in 8 of their last 9. Given that Villa are unbeaten in 3 games against the Magpies, scoring 6 goals in that span, the home side has a clear psychological and tactical advantage here.
Watch Aston Villa vs Newcastle Last Match Highlights
Historical context and head-to-head archives are the backbone of any reliable football forecast. By combining historical results with current personnel data, XpertStats offers a 360-degree view of upcoming fixtures. We invite you to explore our comprehensive Yellow Cards Stats and discover why thousands of analysts rely on our league-wide benchmarking and automated trend reports to find value.
FAQ – Aston Villa vs Newcastle Prediction
Who is the favorite to win between Aston Villa and Newcastle?
Aston Villa are the favorites due to their 3rd place position in the league and strong home record at Villa Park.
Where can I watch Aston Villa vs Newcastle live?
The Aston Villa vs Newcastle FA Cup match will be broadcast live on BBC Sport and ESPN.
What time does Aston Villa vs Newcastle start?
Kick off is scheduled for 17:45 GMT on Saturday February 14, 2026.
Which key players are missing for Aston Villa?
Villa will be without important players John McGinn, Boubacar Kamara, and Youri Tielemans due to various injuries.
How many times has Villa knocked Newcastle out of the FA Cup?
History shows that Aston Villa have eliminated Newcastle from this competition on 4 separate occasions.
Alexandru Florin is a football betting expert, providing tips and accumulator predictions for xpertstats.com since 2022. With a strong focus on data-driven analysis, he delivers well-researched insights and reliable advice for bettors aiming for long-term profit.
