Arsenal vs Chelsea Prediction and Betting Tips for this crucial encounter on Tuesday, February 3, 2026, at 20:00 GMT. Fans can watch the action live on ITV 1 from the Emirates Stadium. This second leg clash is a major highlight in our EFL Cup Predictions report.
The Gunners hold a slim 3-2 advantage after a wild night at Stamford Bridge. Mikel Arteta wants another final, but Liam Rosenior has transformed the Blues lately. Statistics suggest plenty of goals when these London giants meet. It is all to play for under the lights.
Arsenal vs Chelsea Key Facts and Stats
Arsenal recorded a massive 4-0 win against Leeds United to maintain their current momentum lately.
The Blues managed to recover from a 2-0 deficit to beat West Ham last weekend.
Viktor Gyokeres remains the main threat for the hosts after his clinical first leg goal contribution.
Alejandro Garnacho enters this match in red hot form following his recent double against the Gunners.
Arsenal have managed to stay unbeaten in their last ten matches against their London rivals.
Chelsea have struggled at the Emirates recently with three consecutive losses at this specific venue.
Best attack in the league with an average of 2.1 goals scored per match.
High shot volume with an average of 15.2 shots taken in every game.
Top 3 for corners won per match with 6.5 per 90 minutes.
- Arsenal's Weaknesses
Average goals conceded has increased to 1.1 per match in recent cup weeks.
Low average points per game when key defensive players are missing from action.
+ Chelsea's Strengths
High percentage of matches over 2.5 goals at 75 percent this season.
High average of fouls won at 14.1 per match in the current campaign.
Top 4 for points gained from losing positions in all domestic competitions.
- Chelsea's Weaknesses
Weak defense with an average of 1.6 goals conceded in away games lately.
Poor away record in London derbies over the course of the last year.
Match Preview
Arteta has his side playing wonderful football right now as they push for multiple trophies. That victory at Leeds showed exactly why they are so hard to beat. They looked sharp and professional throughout the 90 minutes. The balance in the midfield provides a solid platform.
However, the manager faces some difficult fitness calls regarding Bukayo Saka and William Saliba. Losing those two would certainly change the dynamic of the backline tonight. Still, the squad depth looks much better than last season. Players like Noni Madueke are ready to step up.
The atmosphere at the Emirates Stadium will be incredible as they seek a final spot. Protecting a one goal lead is never easy in a derby. They need to manage the game with intelligence. A fast start could settle the nerves among the home fans quickly.
Liam Rosenior has unified a dressing room that looked very lost just a few months ago. Winning six out of seven games is an impressive feat in any competition. The tactical shift has allowed attacking players more freedom. They play with a spirit that is refreshing.
The absence of Moises Caicedo due to suspension is a massive blow for the visitors. He is the engine in that midfield area. Enzo Fernandez will have to carry a much heavier load tonight. If they control the center, they might overturn the aggregate deficit soon.
Garnacho is the man Arsenal fear most after his exploits in the first leg. His pace on the counter is a weapon that can hurt any team. If he stays clinical, we might see a surprise result. Our latest EFL Cup Predictions suggest a thrilling night.
Mikel Arteta faces a busy Transfer Deadline Day as Arsenal prepares for their League Cup semi-final second leg against Chelsea. Following a foot fracture for Mikel Merino and injury concerns regarding Bukayo Saka, the Gunners are actively exploring late market opportunities. Despite these setbacks, Arteta remains focused on securing a final berth, emphasizing the importance of home advantage and squad depth to maintain their competitive edge.
M. Zubimendi, D. Rice N. Madueke, M. Ødegaard, L. Trossard
FW
V. Gyökeres
OUT
J. Timber(QUES),
B. Saka(OUT),
M. Merino(OUT),
M. Dowman(OUT)
Chelsea (4-1-4-1)
Liam Rosenior
GK
R. Sánchez
DF
J. Acheampong, T. Chalobah, W. Fofana, M. Cucurella
MF
M. Caicedo Estêvão, C. Palmer, E. Fernández, P. Neto
FW
J. Pedro
OUT
J. Gittens(QUES),
T. Adarabioyo(OUT),
R. Lavia(OUT),
L. Colwill(OUT),
D. Essugo(OUT)
Prediction
Both Teams to Score @1.72
Arsenal display an incredible attacking rhythm right now, having scored 3 times in the first leg. They consistently create high quality chances, averaging over 15.2 shots per match. With Viktor Gyokeres leading the line, the home side should find the net easily. Their offensive efficiency remains a core reason why they dominate games. Expect them to score in front of fans.
Chelsea have shown defensive vulnerabilities but possess an attack that can punish anyone. Alejandro Garnacho has been involved in 8 goals recently, highlighting their threat on the break. They scored twice in the opening leg despite having lower possession. Given the Blues must chase the game, gaps will appear. Both teams have the quality to get on the score sheet tonight.
Understanding team form within the context of league-wide rankings is essential for accuracy. XpertStats offers a complete standings suite, including home-only and away-only efficiency metrics. By integrating these rankings into our Both Teams to Score Predictions, we offer a superior level of match-level intelligence. Visit the XpertStats catalog today to explore our goal charts and discovery tools designed to help you stay ahead of the curve.
FAQ – Arsenal vs Chelsea Prediction
Who will win between Arsenal and Chelsea?
Arsenal are favorites to reach the final after winning the first leg, but Chelsea are in their best form of the year.
Where can I watch Arsenal vs Chelsea live?
The Arsenal vs Chelsea EFL Cup match will be broadcast live on ITV 1 and Paramount Plus.
What time does Arsenal vs Chelsea start?
Kick-off is scheduled for 20:00(GMT) on Tuesday, February 3, 2026.
Are there many injuries for this cup match?
Yes, Arsenal might miss Bukayo Saka and William Saliba, while Chelsea are without the suspended Moises Caicedo.
What was the score in the first leg?
Arsenal won 3-2 at Stamford Bridge, giving them a narrow advantage heading into this second leg clash.
Alexandru Florin is a football betting expert, providing tips and accumulator predictions for xpertstats.com since 2022. With a strong focus on data-driven analysis, he delivers well-researched insights and reliable advice for bettors aiming for long-term profit.
