Alaves vs Villarreal Prediction and Betting Tips for the match taking place this Friday, March 13, 2026, at 20:00 GMT. The game will be held at the Estadio Mendizorrotza and broadcast live on ESPN and Fubo Sports Network. Quique Sanchez Flores leads the hosts against Marcelino’s high flying visitors.
The home side desperately needs a turnaround after failing to win in their last five outings. Meanwhile, the Yellow Submarine arrives with a scoring streak of seven consecutive games. In this detailed match preview, you will discover LaLiga Predictions from our xpertstats.com analysts.
Alaves vs Villarreal Key Facts and Stats
Alaves has not secured a victory in their last 5 league matches, earning 2 points.
Villarreal has found the back of the net in 7 consecutive domestic league games recently.
The last 7 matches for Alaves have all featured 2 or more goals being scored.
Villarreal averages a solid 1.8 points per game over their previous 5 competitive league fixtures.
Both teams have scored in 56% of the matches involving these two clubs this season.
Marcelino is currently one victory away from his 100th league win with the Yellow Submarine.
Decent corner production with 5.85 corners won per match
Lucas Boye is in form with 9 goals this season
- Alaves's Weaknesses
Poor current form with no wins in last 5 games
Struggling attack that failed to score in 37% of games
Low overall points per match average of only 1.00
League Position
4
+ Villarreal's Strengths
Ranked 3rd in the league for away goals scored
Consistent scoring threat with 7 consecutive games netting
Strong away form sitting 4th in the away standings
Alberto Moleiro leads the attack with 9 league goals
- Villarreal's Weaknesses
High average of 1.54 goals conceded in away matches
High aggression with 3.23 cards received per match
Match Preview
Alaves enters this clash under a cloud of uncertainty. The Vitoria based club has struggled to find any consistency lately. Still, the appointment of Quique Sanchez Flores has brought a structural change to the team. They have shifted to a 3-5-2 system to tighten their defensive lines.
Missing key men like Jon Pacheco and Ander Guevara due to suspension is a massive blow for the hosts. However, Lucas Boye remains their primary weapon in attack. He has netted 9 times this season and averages 0.5 goals per 90 minutes. His physical presence will be vital.
Carlos Vicente Robles and Toni Martinez will likely support Boye in the forward positions. The team needs to improve their efficiency, as they have fired blanks in 37% of their matches. A home result is mandatory to keep them away from the dangerous relegation zone this month.
Villarreal is enjoying a fantastic campaign and currently occupies the 4th spot in the table. Marcelino has transformed them into a clinical unit that scores for fun. They have found the net in seven straight games. Their confidence is sky high heading into this difficult away trip.
Alberto Moleiro and Georges Mikautadze are the duo to watch. Moleiro has 9 goals, while Mikautadze has added 8. They provide a constant threat on the counter attack. Even so, the defense remains a concern, conceding 1.54 goals per match on their travels during this season.
The visitors are missing Juan Foyth but may welcome back Kambwala to the matchday squad. Marcelino knows that winning in Vitoria is never easy. Still, with their attacking power, they are favorites. This match is a crucial piece of our latest LaLiga Predictions for all the football fans.
Villarreal manager Marcelino Garcia Toral faces a challenging trip to Mendizorroza as he nears a historic milestone. Ahead of Friday's clash against Alavés, the coach could secure his 100th top-flight victory with the Yellow Submarine. While welcoming back Willy Kambwala from long-term injury, Marcelino expects a tactical battle against Quique’s newly structured side. Breaking a winless streak in Vitoria remains the primary goal for the Champions League-chasing squad.
A. Pérez, P. Ibáñez, A. Blanco, C. Aleñá, Y. Lekhedim
FW
T. Martínez, L. Boyé
OUT
J. Pacheco(SUSPENDED),
C. Benavídez(QUES),
A. Guevara(SUSPENDED)
Villarreal (4-4-2)
Marcelino
GK
L. Júnior
DF
S. Mouriño, P. Navarro, R. Marín, S. Cardona
MF
S. Comesaña, P. Gueye T. Buchanan, A. Moleiro
FW
N. Pépé, G. Mikautadze
OUT
J. Foyth(OUT),
P. Cabanes(OUT),
A. Pérez(QUES),
P. Navarro(QUES),
W. Kambwala(QUES),
L. Costa(QUES)
Prediction
Over 25.5 Fouls @1.51
This match promises to be a very physical encounter at the Mendizorroza stadium this Friday. Alaves currently averages 15.69 fouls per home game, which is one of the highest in the league. They play with high intensity to compensate for their lack of possession. This aggressive defensive style often leads to frequent whistles from the referee, especially when they are protecting a result.
On the other side, Villarreal commits 13 fouls per away game, contributing to a high match total. When these two teams meet, the combined average reaches 28.69 fouls per match. Given that Alaves also wins 14.69 fouls at home, the game will be stopped frequently. Expect a stop start match that should easily surpass the 25.5 line set by most bookmakers today.
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FAQ – Alaves vs Villarreal Prediction
Who is the favorite to win between Alaves and Villarreal?
Villarreal is the favorite due to their 4th place ranking and 7 game scoring streak, though Alaves is tough at home.
Where can I watch Alaves vs Villarreal live?
The Alaves vs Villarreal LaLiga match will be broadcast live on ESPN and Fubo Sports Network.
What time does the Alaves vs Villarreal match start?
Kick-off is scheduled for 20:00 (GMT) on Friday, March 13, 2026.
Which players are missing for Alaves and Villarreal?
Alaves is missing Pacheco and Guevara through suspension. Villarreal is without Foyth and Cabanes, while Ayoze is a major doubt.
Who is the top scorer for each team?
Lucas Boye leads Alaves with 9 goals, while Alberto Moleiro is the top scorer for Villarreal with 9 goals as well.
Alexandru Florin is a football betting expert, providing tips and accumulator predictions for xpertstats.com since 2022. With a strong focus on data-driven analysis, he delivers well-researched insights and reliable advice for bettors aiming for long-term profit.
