Al Ahli vs Al Najma Prediction and Betting Tips for the Saudi Professional League encounter on Thursday, February 19, 2026, at 19:00 GMT. The match is held at the King Abdullah Sports City in Jeddah. Fans in the USA can follow the action live on Fox and Paramount+ networks.
The home side enters this fixture in third place, while the visitors are currently rooted to the bottom of the table. It is a classic battle between David and Goliath. For more insights, explore our Saudi Professional League Predictions from the expert tipsters at XpertStats.
Al Ahli vs Al Najma Key Facts and Stats
Al Ahli has been perfect lately, securing seven straight victories in front of their home supporters.
The defensive unit for the hosts has kept four clean sheets across their last five matches.
Ivan Toney remains a massive threat, currently averaging 1.08 goals for every 90 minutes played.
Al Najma has found life difficult on the road, picking up only 0.18 points per game.
Both teams have scored in 67% of matches involving the visitors during this current campaign.
Matthias Jaissle’s men have managed to score at least once in every home game this season.
Powerful attack averaging 2.27 goals per home match
Dominant home form with 2.45 points per game
Excellent accuracy with 5.82 shots on target per game
Solid defense conceding only 0.91 goals at home
- Al Ahli's Weaknesses
Aggressive play with 14.73 fouls committed per match
Disciplinary issues with 3.09 cards received per game
League Position
18
+ Al Najma's Strengths
Disciplined approach with only 9.82 fouls committed
Spectacular style with 64% of away games over 2.5 goals
- Al Najma's Weaknesses
Extremely poor away record with 0.18 points per game
Weak defense conceding 2.00 goals per away match
Vulnerable to set pieces conceding 7.82 corners away
Match Preview
Al Ahli enters this clash in sensational form, currently sitting third in the standings. They have turned their home ground into a fortress, winning their last seven matches in Jeddah. With 50 points already, the title race remains very much alive for the Green Lions.
Ivan Toney has been the standout performer, netting 20 goals so far. His clinical nature in the box is why the team averages 2.27 goals at home. Expect him to lead the line alongside Riyad Mahrez, who provides that extra bit of creative spark.
Defensively, they are just as impressive, keeping clean sheets in 12 different matches. Even without Merih Demiral, who stays sidelined with a hamstring issue, Ibanez should keep things tight. Their momentum is undeniable after going 11 games without a single loss in league play.
Al Najma faces a mountain to climb as they sit at the very bottom of the table. With only eight points from 21 games, survival looks like a distant dream. Mario Silva needs a miracle to stop the rot after 15 losses this season.
Lázaro Vinicius is one of the few bright spots, having scored four goals for the struggling side. However, missing Mohammed Al-Kunaydiri due to a long term knee injury makes their defensive task even harder. They have conceded an average of 2.00 goals during away trips.
It is tough to see them getting anything from this trip to Jeddah given their poor form. Still, they might try to catch the hosts on the break if the favorites become complacent. We have reflected these concerns in our Saudi Professional League Predictions for this encounter.
Al Ahli vs Al Najma Predicted Lineups
Al Ahli (4-2-3-1)
Matthias Jaissle
GK
Al-Sanbi
DF
Majrashi, Hamed, Ibanez, Al Hawsawi
MF
Edoa, Aljohani Mahrez, Millot, Galeno
FW
Al-Buraikan
OUT
M. Demiral(OUT)
Al Najma (4-4-2)
Mario Silva
GK
Braga
DF
Al Hawsawi, Al-Haleel, Caetano, Al-Subaie
MF
Dunga, Guga Boutobba, Tijanic
FW
Lázaro, Cardoso
OUT
M. Al-Kunaydiri(OUT)
Prediction
Over 3.5 Goals @1.90
Al Ahli is currently an offensive powerhouse when playing in Jeddah, averaging 2.27 goals per home match this season. With Ivan Toney scoring 1.08 goals for every 90 minutes, the hosts are expected to dominate the scoreboard. They have found the net in 100% of their home fixtures, making a high scoring affair very likely as they push for a top two league finish.
The visitors have struggled significantly on the road, conceding an average of 2.00 goals per away game. Statistical data shows that 64% of Al Najma matches on their travels have exceeded the 2.5 goal line already. Given their defensive vulnerabilities and Al Ahli's clinical finishing, we expect the total count to reach at least 4 goals by the final whistle in this clash.
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FAQ – Al Ahli vs Al Najma Prediction
Who will win between Al Ahli and Al Najma?
Al Ahli are the clear favorites due to their seven match home winning streak and superior league position.
Where can I watch Al Ahli vs Al Najma live?
The Al Ahli vs Al Najma Saudi Professional League match will be broadcast live on Fox and Paramount+.
What time does Al Ahli vs Al Najma start?
Kick-off is scheduled for 19:00 (GMT) on Thursday, February 19, 2026.
Is Ivan Toney expected to play?
Yes, the striker is fit and remains the primary goal threat for the home side this season.
What is the recommended betting tip?
Based on the high scoring averages of the hosts, Over 3.5 Goals is a strong statistical pick.
Alexandru Florin is a football betting expert, providing tips and accumulator predictions for xpertstats.com since 2022. With a strong focus on data-driven analysis, he delivers well-researched insights and reliable advice for bettors aiming for long-term profit.
