Morocco vs Mali Prediction Africa Cup of Nations 26.12.2025
Morocco vs Mali Prediction Africa Cup of Nations
Morocco vs Mali Prediction and Betting Tips for Matchday 2 of the Africa Cup of Nations, scheduled for Friday, December 26, 2025, at 20:00 GMT. The match will be broadcast live on Channel 4 and 4Seven. The clash takes place at the Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah in Rabat, with the hosts looking to build on their clinical 2-0 opening win over Comoros. Mali, meanwhile, arrives with a chip on their shoulder after a late lapse saw them draw 1-1 with Zambia. In this article, you’ll discover African Cup of Nations Predictions Today from XpertStats tipsters.
- Morocco currently enjoys a massive 18-match unbeaten streak in international football.
- Mali has been incredibly disciplined, conceding one goal or fewer in their last 18 outings.
- The Atlas Lions have won nine straight home matches without conceding a single goal.
- Each of Morocco’s last four AFCON fixtures has resulted in Under 2.5 goals.
- Mali remains a tough nut to crack, losing only one of their previous six tournament games.
- Historically, Morocco dominates this fixture with four wins and five clean sheets in seven meetings.
Morocco enters this fixture with the weight of expectation that comes with being pre-tournament favorites. Their form is nothing short of relentless, having avoided defeat for over a calendar year. At home, they are a defensive fortress, recently recording nine consecutive wins at the Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah without picking the ball out of their own net. While Soufiane Rahimi’s missed penalty against Comoros showed a hint of nerves, Ayoub El Kaabi’s spectacular overhead kick proved they have the individual quality to unlock any backline. They balance flair with a pragmatic structure that rarely offers opponents a sniff.
Mali will feel they have a point to prove after letting three points slip away against Zambia in the dying seconds. Under Tom Saintfiet, the Eagles have become a side defined by defensive resilience, rarely allowing more than a single goal in a match over the last year and a half. Their away form is a bit more suspect, with only one win in their last six games outside their own borders, but they remain dangerous on the counter through Lassine Sinayoko. They won’t fear the atmosphere in Rabat, but they must find a way to stay focused beyond the 75th minute to avoid another late heartbreak.
This matchup feels like a classic tactical battle between a side that loves to dictate play and one that thrives on being difficult to beat. Morocco’s trend of low-scoring AFCON affairs suggests a tight contest where a single moment of magic could decide the points. Still, the hosts’ incredible defensive record on home soil makes it hard to see Mali finding much joy in the final third. It is hard to say how this will end if Mali manages to sit deep and frustrate, but the historical edge certainly favors the Atlas Lions. Keep an eye on the African Cup of Nations Predictions Today for evolving trends as the group stage intensifies.
Morocco secured a vital 2–0 victory over Comoros to open their home AFCON campaign, yet the win was marred by a serious injury to captain Romain Saïss. The veteran defender exited the pitch in the first half with a knee concern, leaving head coach Walid Regragui to manage growing defensive uncertainties. Despite the setback, the Atlas Lions lead Group A following a clinical second-half performance.
The statistical evidence for a low-scoring affair between Morocco and Mali is overwhelming. Morocco has seen Under 2.5 goals land in each of their last four Africa Cup of Nations matches, reflecting a tournament style that prioritizes defensive solidity over expansive risk-taking. Furthermore, the Atlas Lions have been impenetrable at home, keeping nine straight clean sheets in Rabat. Mali is equally conservative; they have not conceded more than a single goal in any of their last 18 matches. This disciplined defensive structure from the Eagles makes it very difficult for even top-tier teams to run away with the scoreline. When two teams with such elite defensive records meet, the game often transforms into a midfield stalemate where clear-cut chances are at a premium. Expect both managers to prioritize not losing over a wide-open attacking display, making the Under 2.5 goals market the most logical choice.
Watch Morocco vs Mali Last Match Highlights
FAQ – Morocco vs Mali Prediction
Who is the favorite to win between Morocco and Mali?
Morocco enters the match as the heavy favorite due to their 18-match unbeaten run and home-field advantage in Rabat.
Where can I watch Morocco vs Mali live?
The Morocco vs Mali Africa Cup of Nations match will be broadcast live on Channel 4 and 4Seven.
What time does Morocco vs Mali start?
Kick-off is scheduled for 20:00 (GMT) on Friday, December 26, 2025.
Has Mali ever beaten Morocco in recent years?
Mali has only won one of the last seven meetings, with Morocco winning four and two matches ending in a draw.
Author
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Alexandru Florin is a football betting expert, providing tips and accumulator predictions for xpertstats.com since 2022. With a strong focus on data-driven analysis, he delivers well-researched insights and reliable advice for bettors aiming for long-term profit.
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