St Pauli vs Union Berlin Prediction and Betting Tips for the Bundesliga match scheduled for Sunday, November 23, 2025, at 16:30 GMT. The match will be broadcast live on Amazon Prime and Sky Go Germany from the Millerntor-Stadion in Hamburg. St Pauli are desperate to end a run of seven straight league defeats, while Union Berlin hope to consolidate mid-table stability. In this article, you’ll discover fresh insights and data-powered angles from Bundesliga Stats available at XpertStats.com.

• St Pauli enter this clash on a seven-match losing streak in the Bundesliga.
• Union Berlin sit 11th but remain inconsistent, alternating wins and draws in recent weeks.
• St Pauli have conceded 2.6 goals per game this season, the third-worst defensive record.
• Union’s last match ended 2-2 against Bayern Munich, with Doekhi scoring twice.

There’s no hiding from it: St Pauli are in a crisis. Seven defeats in a row, 16th in the standings, and a leaky backline conceding an average of 2.6 goals per game. The mood around the Millerntor is tense, and fans are growing restless. Coach Alexander Blessin’s side struggle to convert chances despite averaging 1.2 goals per match, they create, but they don’t finish. Injuries in defense (Nemeth, Dzwigala, Saliakas) haven’t helped either, and with confidence fading, it’s hard to predict a clean turnaround overnight. Still, football loves a redemption story and maybe this is where one begins.

Union Berlin, on the other hand, arrive in Hamburg with a touch more optimism. They’ve drawn 2-2 with Bayern Munich, a massive result that reminded fans of their potential. Center-back Danilho Doekhi was the hero that day, scoring both goals and keeping Union’s spirit alive. Yet, Union’s issues are far from over. They concede 2.25 goals per match and have kept just one clean sheet all season. Baumgart’s men sit 11th with 12 points, neither soaring nor sinking. Consistency remains their biggest challenge. Can they finally string together back-to-back wins? It’s hard to say.

Historically, this matchup rarely disappoints. In four of their last five meetings, at least three goals were scored and both sides found the net more often than not. St Pauli’s 3-0 victory back in January still lingers in memory, but Union’s recent dominance in this fixture (three wins from four) gives them an edge. The data from Bundesliga Stats shows both teams average over 3.2 total goals per match this season, so we could be in for another open affair, unless nerves tighten things up early on.

Given both sides’ foul averages (St Pauli 23.4 per game, Union 21.25), expect physical play but not chaos. Under 25.5 fouls seems a reasonable betting angle here, especially considering neither team typically plays overly aggressive football. This could be a cagey battle early on, with tactical discipline taking precedence over rash challenges. For St Pauli, it’s about survival; for Union, it’s about composure. Either way, it’s bound to be tense, unpredictable, and absolutely worth watching.