Villarreal to Win @1.74 makes sense because the home profile is strong, not just pretty on paper. Marcelino’s side average 2.25 goals at Estadio de la Ceramica, rank 3rd for home scoring, and have won their last 5 home games. Levante have improved recently, sure, but their away record still sits at just 0.81 points per match.
The matchup also leans toward Villarreal in attacking volume. The hosts average 14.75 shots and 5.69 shots on target at home, while Levante manage only 9.75 shots and 3.38 on target away. With Gerard Moreno and Georges Mikautadze both on 9 goals, Villarreal have more reliable final-third weapons. Levante can scrap, but sustaining pressure here looks difficult.
Villarreal vs Levante Prediction and Betting Tips comes on Saturday, May 2, 2026, at 13:00 GMT, staged at Estadio de la Ceramica in Villarreal. For sharper La Liga Stats, this match offers plenty of betting angles.
Villarreal are 3rd with 65 points after 33 matches, while Levante sit 19th with 33. Marcelino’s men have won 5 straight at home, yet Levante bring 10 points from their last 5 games. That makes this one lively, not automatic.
Villarreal enter this one looking like a team that knows exactly what is at stake. Third place is not just a nice table position, it is a platform. Their home numbers back it up too, with 36 goals scored and only 14 conceded.
Marcelino is expected to use a flat 4-4-2, and honestly, it suits this group. Gerard Moreno and Georges Mikautadze, both on 9 goals, should give Levante plenty to think about. Add Nicolas Pépé wide, and it starts to feel heavy.
The doubts are not irrelevant, though. Pau Cabanes is out with a cruciate ligament injury, while Santiago Mouriño and Tajon Buchanan are uncertain. Buchanan has 8 cards this season, so Villarreal may miss some edge, pace and bite if he fails fitness checks.
Levante arrive with more resistance than their league position suggests. Luís Castro’s side have taken 10 points from the last 5 games, and 3 clean sheets in that run tell a story. Still, travelling to this stadium is a different type of exam.
The 4-1-4-1 setup should put plenty on Carlos Espí, who leads Levante with 8 goals and a sharp 0.81 goals per 90. But the service has to be there. Away from home, Levante average only 3.38 shots on target, which is thin.
Team news also bites. Adrián de la Fuente is ruled out, while Unai Elgezabal and Unai Vencedor remain doubtful. So, can Levante survive long enough? Maybe for spells. Even so, La Liga Stats point toward Villarreal’s home strength making the difference.
Villarreal head into Saturday’s clash with Levante aiming to complete a perfect record in this season’s Valencian derbies. Marcelino’s side have already beaten Valencia, Elche, and Levante both home and away where applicable, collecting 15 points from 15 so far. If they win again, Villarreal will become the first team in La Liga history to achieve a clean sweep in a season featuring four clubs from the Valencia region.
| GK | A. Tenas |
| DF | A. Freeman, R. Marín, R. Veiga, A. Pedraza |
| MF | N. Pépé, P. Gueye, S. Comesaña, A. Moleiro |
| FW | G. Moreno, G. Mikautadze |
| OUT |
P. Cabanes(OUT),
S. Mouriño(QUES),
T. Buchanan(QUES),
|
| GK | M. Ryan |
| DF | J. Toljan, A. Matturro, M. Moreno, M. Sánchez |
| MF | U. Raghouber V. García, J. A. Olasagasti, P. Martínez, P. Cortés |
| FW | C. Espí |
| OUT |
Adrián de la Fuente(OUT),
A. Primo(OUT),
K. Tunde(QUES),
U. Elgezabal(QUES),
U. Vencedor(QUES),
|
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Villarreal are the stronger pick because of their home form, attacking numbers, and 3rd-place league position.
Kick-off is scheduled for 13:00 GMT on Saturday, May 2, 2026.
The match is played at Estadio de la Ceramica in Villarreal.
The preferred betting tip is Villarreal to Win @1.74, supported by strong home form and attacking output.
Gerard Moreno, Georges Mikautadze and Carlos Espí stand out, based on their goal returns this season.
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