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Tottenham vs Leeds Prediction, Team News, Lineups, Stats 11.05.2026

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Alexandru Florin 10.05.2026 11:20Last updated: 28/05/2026 09:23
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Tottenham vs Leeds Prediction, Team News, Lineups, Stats 11.05.2026

Tottenham vs Leeds Prediction and Betting Tips, scheduled for Monday, May 11, 2026, at 20:00 GMT, takes place at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London. Jarred Gillett will referee a tense Premier League night. For deeper context, Check Out Premier League Stats before kick-off.

Tottenham sit 17th after a shaky season, yet Roberto De Zerbi’s side have steadied themselves lately. Leeds, 14th under Daniel Farke, arrive with real momentum and survival almost within touching distance. Could this become one of those messy, emotional May games? Very possibly.

Tottenham vs Leeds Prediction

Both Teams to Score
Odds: 1.70 Confidence: Medium-High

Tottenham’s home matches have leaned toward open football, with 4 of their last 5 at this ground seeing both sides score. That matters here because Spurs still look fragile when defending their own box, but they also have enough forward runners to hurt Leeds. The pressure is heavy, sure, yet that can create mistakes at both ends rather than control. Leeds bring the same kind of betting angle on the road, with 4 of their last 5 away fixtures also landing BTTS. Farke’s team are confident, direct and not shy about attacking spaces, especially with Dominic Calvert-Lewin leading the line. Tottenham need points, Leeds smell safety, and that mix points toward chances rather than a cagey chess match.

Tottenham vs Leeds Correct Score

Tottenham
1 - 1
Leeds

A 1-1 result feels like the most realistic scoreline because Tottenham’s home attack is productive enough to find one big moment, but not consistent enough to assume domination. Leeds concede chances away, yet they also arrive with belief and a forward structure that can punish transitions. Spurs missing creative and attacking options also trims the ceiling slightly. Leeds have enough punch to score, especially through Dominic Calvert-Lewin, while Noah Okafor and Anton Stach add support from deeper areas. Still, their away record is not exactly ruthless, and many of their road performances have drifted into draws. With Tottenham nervous at home and Leeds close to safety, the rhythm points toward balance rather than chaos.

Tottenham vs Leeds Stats

  • Tottenham have 37 points from 35 league matches and remain close to serious danger.
  • Leeds have collected 43 points from 35 games, giving them a stronger survival cushion.
  • Tottenham home matches average 2.94 total goals, matching the combined game expectation here.
  • Leeds away fixtures show 65% BTTS, keeping both attacks firmly in the conversation.
  • Tottenham average 5.71 home corners, showing pressure even when results have been patchy.
  • Leeds average 3.59 away shots on target, enough to worry a vulnerable Spurs defence.
Tottenham vs Leeds Prediction, Team News, Lineups, Stats 11.05.2026-Stats
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Tottenham vs Leeds Match Preview

This has the feel of a survival match with a weird twist. Tottenham are the bigger club, the home side, the one expected to dictate the ball. Still, their season has been scratchy enough that nobody inside the stadium will feel comfortable if Leeds start fast.

De Zerbi’s team want to recover high and attack quickly, which should create pressure around the Leeds box. The flip side? Space. Lots of it. Leeds have been sharper lately, and Farke’s 3-4-2-1 can turn second balls into immediate forward runs.

Corners, cards and transition chances could all shape the rhythm. Tottenham push bodies forward, Leeds can answer with direct breaks, and both defences have given opponents encouragement. It may not be elegant football all night, but it should have a pulse.

Tottenham vs Leeds TEAM STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES
Tottenham Logo
Leeds Logo
Tottenham League Position
17th

+ Tottenham's Strengths

  • Strong home corner output, averaging 5.71 corners won per match.
  • Home games are lively, with 71% going over 2.5 goals.
  • BTTS has landed in 71% of Tottenham home league matches.
  • Richarlison offers end product, leading Spurs with 10 league goals.

- Tottenham's Weaknesses

  • Very poor home form, sitting 19th in the home standings.
  • Weak home defence, conceding 1.76 goals per match.
  • Aggressive profile, averaging 3.12 cards received at home.
Leeds League Position
14th

+ Leeds's Strengths

  • Unbeaten in 6 league games, giving them strong late-season momentum.
  • Dominic Calvert-Lewin is the main threat, scoring 12 league goals.
  • Away matches are entertaining, with 41% going over 3.5 goals.
  • Leeds have scored in each of their last 4 league matches.

- Leeds's Weaknesses

  • Struggle for away wins, ranking 18th in the away standings.
  • Limited away corner threat, averaging only 3.29 corners won.
  • Away defence remains open, conceding 1.82 goals per match.

Tottenham vs Leeds Team News

Tottenham are expected to use a 4-2-3-1 under Roberto De Zerbi, but the absences are not small. Ben Davies, Dejan Kulusevski, Dominic Solanke, Guglielmo Vicario, Mohammed Kudus and Xavi Simons are all listed out, which removes depth, creativity and some useful attacking variety.

Richarlison should carry the central threat, and his movement matters even more with Solanke unavailable. Cristian Romero and Mickey van de Ven bring defensive authority, though both have also appeared heavily in the card data, so discipline could be a quiet subplot if Leeds force repeated duels.

Leeds are set up in Daniel Farke’s 3-4-2-1, with Gabriel Gudmundsson and Ilia Gruev absent. Dominic Calvert-Lewin leads the line, supported by Noah Okafor and Anton Stach, two players who have contributed important goal threat this season. One last look before kick-off? Check Out Premier League Stats.

Roberto De Zerbi said Tottenham head into Monday’s Premier League meeting with Leeds United in good shape, with no fresh injury concerns, although Guglielmo Vicario is still unavailable. The Spurs head coach praised Leeds for their clear style, organisation and quality, but stressed his side must stay humble, focused and confident after recent improved performances, while also highlighting Joao Palhinha’s value and Conor Gallagher’s growing influence.

Source: tottenhamhotspur.com

Tottenham vs Leeds Lineups

Here are the predicted lineups for Tottenham vs Leeds, including formations, managers, injured players and doubtful players.
Tottenham (4-2-3-1)
Roberto De Zerbi
GK A. Kinský
DF P. Porro, K. Danso, M. van de Ven, D. Udogie
MF R. Bentancur, J. Palhinha
R. Kolo Muani, C. Gallagher, M. Tel
FW Richarlison
OUT
B. Davies(OUT),
D. Kulusevski(OUT),
D. Solanke(OUT),
G. Vicario(OUT),
M. Kudus(OUT),
X. Simons(OUT)
Leeds (3-4-2-1)
Daniel Farke
GK K. Darlow
DF J. Rodon, J. Bijol, P. Struijk
MF J. Bogle, E. Ampadu, A. Tanaka, J. Justin
A. Stach, N. Okafor
FW D. Calvert-Lewin
OUT
G. Gudmundsson(OUT),
I. Gruev(OUT)
Referee
Jarred GILLETT
Tottenham vs Leeds Prediction, Team News, Lineups, Stats 11.05.2026
Tottenham vs Leeds Prediction, Team News, Lineups, Stats 11.05.2026
Tottenham vs Leeds Prediction, Team News, Lineups, Stats 11.05.2026

Watch Tottenham vs Leeds Last Match Highlights

More Predictions:

For anyone researching the BTTS market, XpertStats provides the depth needed to analyze fixtures properly. The platform combines scoring averages, conceded goals, xG, half-time trends, recent BTTS results, H2H archives, and probability versus odds comparisons. Explore Both Teams to Score Predictions and unlock a broader catalog of football statistics built for smarter match evaluation.

Tottenham vs Leeds FAQ

Who will win between Tottenham and Leeds?

Tottenham have home advantage, but Leeds arrive in better form. A draw looks a realistic outcome if both sides score.

What is the best prediction for Tottenham vs Leeds?

The main prediction is Both Teams to Score, because both teams have shown enough attacking threat and defensive vulnerability.

What is the correct score prediction for Tottenham vs Leeds?

The correct score prediction is 1-1, with both teams likely to create chances but neither clearly dominant.

What time does Tottenham vs Leeds start?

Kick-off is scheduled for 20:00 GMT on Monday, May 11, 2026.

Where is Tottenham vs Leeds played?

The match is played at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London.

Who is the referee for Tottenham vs Leeds?

Jarred Gillett is listed as the referee for Tottenham vs Leeds.

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