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Nottingham vs Newcastle Prediction, Team News, Lineups, Stats 10.05.2026

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Alexandru Florin 09.05.2026 12:08Last updated: 28/05/2026 09:24
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Nottingham vs Newcastle Prediction, Team News, Lineups, Stats 10.05.2026

Nottingham vs Newcastle Prediction and Betting Tips comes from the City Ground on Sunday, May 10, 2026, at 14:00 GMT. Paul Tierney is the referee, with live commentary on BBC Radio 5 Live. For sharper angles, Get accurate Premier League Stats from XpertStats.

Forest arrive with momentum, belief and a slightly bruised squad after Europe, while Newcastle travel with poorer rhythm but enough individual quality to hurt anyone. Can the home crowd drag Pereira’s side over the line? This feels tense, tactical and maybe not too chaotic.

Nottingham vs Newcastle Prediction

Under 4.5 Cards
Odds: 1.58 Confidence: Medium-High

This pick leans on the match profile rather than emotion. Nottingham home games average 3.06 cards, while Newcastle away fixtures sit at 3.76, giving a combined cards average of 3.41. That is a useful cushion below the line, especially with only 24% of their combined match sample clearing +4.5 cards. Paul Tierney can manage games firmly, but the provided foul numbers do not scream chaos. Nottingham commit 9.94 fouls at home, Newcastle commit 9.53 away, and neither side looks like a reckless card magnet in this setup. With Forest needing points and Newcastle short of rhythm, control may matter more than wild tackles.

Nottingham vs Newcastle Correct Score

Nottingham
1-1
Newcastle

Nottingham score 1.06 goals at home and concede 1.24, so a narrow attacking ceiling is baked into the data. Newcastle’s away attack is hardly flying either, with 0.94 goals scored on the road. Forest’s recent scoring run gives them a route to goal, but the doubtful status of Morgan Gibbs-White slightly trims their creative edge. Newcastle have enough threat through Anthony Gordon, Harvey Barnes and Bruno Guimarães, yet their away rhythm has been patchy. Their shots and shots on target numbers suggest pressure in spells rather than dominance. With Forest unbeaten recently and the visitors still capable of nicking one, 1-1 feels like the most realistic football scoreline.

Nottingham vs Newcastle Stats

  • Nottingham have collected 13 points from their last 5 matches, winning 4 during that run.
  • Newcastle have taken only 3 points from their last 5 matches, a worrying away backdrop.
  • Forest have scored 16 goals across their last 5 fixtures, suddenly finding serious attacking rhythm.
  • Newcastle’s last 5 matches produced BTTS in 4 games, showing both threat and vulnerability.
  • Nottingham average 14.88 shots at home, giving them a healthy attacking platform at City Ground.
  • Newcastle average 11.59 shots away, enough to compete but not always to control matches.
Nottingham vs Newcastle Prediction, Team News, Lineups, Stats 10.05.2026-Stats
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Nottingham vs Newcastle Match Preview

Nottingham are not exactly strolling through the campaign, sitting in the lower reaches of the Premier League, but their recent surge has changed the mood. The City Ground has felt alive again. Still, the table keeps everyone honest, and Pereira knows this is the kind of match that can settle nerves.

Newcastle sit higher, though their away form has been uneven and a little frustrating. Eddie Howe’s side can still carry danger through quick wide attacks and late midfield runners, but the numbers point toward a team that often competes without fully taking control. That is a tricky balance.

The rhythm could be stop-start rather than frantic. Forest may lean into energy, second balls and territory, while Newcastle try to use their midfield experience to slow the noise. Corners may arrive naturally, but cards look less certain. It feels like a game decided by patience, not panic.

Nottingham vs Newcastle TEAM STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES
Nottingham Logo
Newcastle Logo
Nottingham League Position
16

+ Nottingham's Strengths

  • Strong corner production at home, ranking 4th with 6.24 corners won per match.
  • Controlled defensive corner profile, conceding only 4.12 corners per home match.
  • Calm discipline record, averaging just 1.35 cards received at home.
  • Good shooting volume at home, averaging 14.88 shots per match.

- Nottingham's Weaknesses

  • Weak home scoring output, ranking 17th with 1.06 goals scored per match.
  • Low home points return, sitting 17th in the home table with 1.06 PPG.
  • Limited accuracy, producing only 3.82 shots on target per home match.
Newcastle League Position
13

+ Newcastle's Strengths

  • Strong away corner threat, ranking 4th with 5.59 corners won per match.
  • Reliable away defensive record, ranking 4th with 1.29 goals conceded per match.
  • Matches can be entertaining, with BTTS landing in 53% of away fixtures.
  • Cards remain manageable away from home, averaging 2 cards received per match.

- Newcastle's Weaknesses

  • Poor away scoring return, ranking 17th with 0.94 goals scored per match.
  • Road results remain modest, sitting 15th in away standings with 0.94 PPG.
  • Limited attacking volume on the road, averaging only 11.59 shots per match.

Nottingham vs Newcastle Team News

Vitor Pereira is expected to set Nottingham up in a 4-4-2, but his selection picture is messy. Callum Hudson-Odoi is ruled out with a muscle injury, while Ola Aina is also unavailable. Morgan Gibbs-White remains doubtful, and that matters because he is Forest’s leading scorer this season.

Eddie Howe should keep Newcastle in a 4-5-1 shape, with midfield control a clear priority. Fabian Schär, Lewis Miley and Tino Livramento are out, which limits defensive rotation. Bruno Guimarães is expected to be central again, and his goal contribution from midfield keeps Newcastle dangerous even in tight games.

Forest need freshness after their European disappointment, and Pereira’s own words suggested a squad running close to the edge. Newcastle, meanwhile, may lean on Osula as a mobile focal point. For readers tracking the wider data picture, Get accurate Premier League Stats before jumping into any market.

Nottingham Forest head coach Vitor Pereira says Sunday’s Premier League clash with Newcastle is crucial in the club’s relegation battle, as injuries continue to disrupt his squad. Callum Hudson-Odoi will miss the rest of the season, while Forest are still waiting on updates for Ola Aina, Murillo and Morgan Gibbs-White. Pereira urged his side to respond strongly at home after their recent Europa League disappointment.

Source: bbc.com

Nottingham vs Newcastle Lineups

Here are the predicted lineups for Forest vs Newcastle, including formations, managers, injured players and doubtful players.
Forest (4-4-2)
Vitor Pereira
GK M. Sels
DF N. Williams, Jair, Morato, L. Netz
MF D. Bakwa, N. Dominguez, R. Yates, J. McAtee
FW I. Jesus, T. Awoniyi
OUT
M. Gibbs-White(QUES),
Z. Abbott(QUES),
C. Hudson Odoi(OUT),
O. Aina(OUT),
Newcastle (4-5-1)
Eddie Howe
GK N. Pope
DF K. Trippier, M. Thiaw, S. Botman, D. Burn
MF J. Murphy, J. Willock, S. Tonali, B. Guimarães, Joelinton
FW W. Osula
OUT
F. Schär(OUT),
L. Miley(OUT),
T. Livramento(OUT),
Referee
Paul Tierney
Nottingham vs Newcastle Prediction, Team News, Lineups, Stats 10.05.2026
Nottingham vs Newcastle Prediction, Team News, Lineups, Stats 10.05.2026
Nottingham vs Newcastle Prediction, Team News, Lineups, Stats 10.05.2026

Watch Nottingham vs Newcastle Last Match Highlights

More Predictions:

When card trends matter, Yellow Cards Stats from XpertStats help you analyze fixtures with confidence. The platform combines discipline data with referee averages, fouls committed and won, Over 3.5 to Over 5.5 card probabilities, and team performance rankings. Browse the complete XpertStats catalog to uncover meaningful football patterns and strengthen your match research.

Nottingham vs Newcastle FAQ

Who will win between Nottingham and Newcastle?

This looks tight. Nottingham have stronger recent momentum, but Newcastle still have enough midfield quality to avoid being pushed aside easily.

What is the best prediction for Nottingham vs Newcastle?

The main betting prediction is Under 4.5 Cards, based on the match discipline profile and moderate foul trends.

What is the correct score prediction for Nottingham vs Newcastle?

The correct score prediction is Nottingham 1-1 Newcastle, with both sides likely to create moments without fully dominating.

What time does Nottingham vs Newcastle start?

Kick-off is scheduled for 14:00 GMT on Sunday, May 10, 2026.

Where is Nottingham vs Newcastle played?

The match is played at the City Ground in Nottingham.

Who is the referee for Nottingham vs Newcastle?

Paul Tierney is listed as the referee for this Premier League fixture.

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