Iraq enter this opener as the underdog, and not in that lazy, throwaway sense either. Their story is one of grit, managerial change and survival instincts. Arnold has given them structure, but this Group I start asks a very uncomfortable question: can they live without the ball?
Norway look like the more complete football team on paper. They have power through the middle, speed in wide zones and a captain who can turn possession into chances with one clever pass. That said, tournament football can make even confident teams look human for spells.
The match rhythm should be fairly clear early. Iraq are likely to defend in a compact block, protect the centre and hope Aymen Hussein gives them a release point. Norway, meanwhile, should try to stretch the pitch, pull defenders sideways and attack the gaps that open after repeated pressure.
Foxborough being neutral territory probably suits Norway more than Iraq. The European side’s game travels well because it is built on transition speed, final-third variety and individual quality. Iraq’s best hope is not glamour. It is patience, fouls in safe areas, second balls and a few nervy Norwegian moments.
Still, the emotional angle matters too. Norway are back on this stage with a golden generation, while Iraq are trying to turn a tough draw into a proud night. For readers tracking wider tournament markets, Check Out World Cup Predictions before kick-off and watch how this group starts to breathe.