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Brazil vs Norway Prediction, Team News, Lineups, Stats 05.07.2026

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Last updated: 04/07/2026 15:15
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Brazil vs Norway Prediction, Team News, Lineups, Stats 05.07.2026

Brazil vs Norway Prediction and Betting Tips for the World Cup lands on Sunday, July 05, 2026, at 21:00 GMT, with MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford hosting this tense knockout tie. Fox (USA) and Peacock (USA) broadcast it, Ismail Elfath referees, and World Cup Stats frame the debate.

Brazil needed a late comeback against Japan, while Norway also survived Ivory Coast through Haaland’s decisive finish. Both Ancelotti and Solbakken are expected to use 4-3-3 shapes, so the midfield gaps, wide duels and transition moments could decide a very fine-margin night.

Brazil vs Norway Prediction

Both Teams to Score
Odds: 1.68 XpertStats Model Probability: 64%

Both Teams to Score still feels like the strongest betting route because the game sets up as a tactical squeeze rather than a one-sided Brazil show. Ancelotti’s team have enough individual quality to punish Norway, but their rhythm has not always been clean. With Raphinha and Lucas Paquetá missing, the Selecao may need moments rather than constant attacking flow. Norway, meanwhile, have the kind of forward line that can survive quiet spells and still strike. Haaland gives them a brutal reference point, while Ødegaard’s passing can turn a half-open lane into danger. Brazil may control possession for longer periods, but Norway’s direct threat and Brazil’s recent defensive unease make one goal each a very believable scenario.

Brazil vs Norway Correct Score

Brazil
1-1
Norway

A 1-1 draw fits the balance of this match better than a comfortable Brazil win. Brazil average 2.25 goals scored and 0.50 conceded, but those numbers meet a Norway attack that has looked brave, quick and hard to contain. With Raphinha and Lucas Paquetá unavailable, Brazil may still create quality chances, yet their attacking rhythm could lose some natural width and invention. Norway’s profile also pushes the score toward both sides finding the net. Solbakken’s team average 2.50 goals scored and 2.00 conceded, which suggests danger at both ends, not defensive control. Haaland can turn limited service into a goal, while Brazil’s technical edge should produce at least one clear breakthrough. The likely pattern feels tense, competitive and difficult to separate.

Brazil vs Norway Stats

  • Brazil have progressed from 9 of their previous 10 World Cup last-16 matches overall.
  • Norway remain unbeaten in 4 historical meetings with Brazil, winning 2 and drawing 2.
  • Haaland has scored 5 World Cup goals, half of Norway’s tournament total so far.
  • Brazil average 15.0 shots per match, but their chance quality has looked sharper lately.
  • Vinícius Jr. has 5 direct goal involvements, giving Brazil needed edge in transition moments.
  • Ødegaard already has 3 assists, feeding Haaland and stretching compact defensive blocks often.

Brazil vs Norway Match Preview

Brazil arrive with the reputation, the shirts, the history and the weight of expectation. Still, reputation does not always clear a knockout hurdle. Ancelotti’s side have shown control in spells, but they have also needed patience, late pressure and individual quality to escape awkward situations.

Norway will not look at this like a free hit, even if many outside the camp might frame it that way. With Haaland leading the line and Ødegaard setting the tempo, Solbakken has a team capable of turning small openings into serious problems. That makes Brazil’s defensive concentration absolutely vital.

The tactical picture feels nicely balanced. Brazil should want clean possession, width from Vinícius Jr. and controlled progression through Bruno Guimarães. Norway may be happier when the match becomes broken, with runners attacking space and Brazil forced to defend while facing their own goal.

That is why a draw after regular time makes sense. Brazil have more technical control, but Norway have enough punch to resist long spells of pressure and answer back. Corners, loose clearances and quick counters could all matter because neither side looks built to simply sit and suffer.

Team news also leans into a narrower contest. Brazil miss important creative pieces, while Norway lose a defensive option, so both managers have a few uncomfortable choices. This feels like a game of momentum swings rather than dominance, and World Cup Stats point toward a tense 1-1 type of night.

Brazil vs Norway TEAM STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES
Brazil Logo
Norway Logo

+ Brazil's Strengths

  • Finished top of Group C with 7 points, showing strong tournament control overall.
  • Back-to-back 3-0 wins over Haiti and Scotland showed their attacking ceiling.
  • Bruno Guimarães has 4 assists, giving Brazil elite midfield creativity in this tournament.
  • Their 0.16 xG per shot suggests the quality of chances remains very high.

- Brazil's Weaknesses

  • Brazil have lost their last 6 World Cup knockout ties against European opponents.
  • The attack has not always clicked smoothly, especially when compact opponents close central lanes.
  • Raphinha and Lucas Paquetá are absent, reducing their creative and wide rotation options.

+ Norway's Strengths

  • Norway have scored 10 tournament goals, giving them one of the liveliest attacks here.
  • Haaland has scored in 13 straight competitive internationals, netting 25 goals in that run.
  • The Ivory Coast victory was Norway’s first-ever World Cup knockout win, lifting belief.
  • Half of Norway’s major tournament wins have come in 2026, underlining their current momentum.

- Norway's Weaknesses

  • They have conceded 8 goals at this World Cup, leaving defensive questions before Brazil.
  • The 4-1 defeat to France showed how quickly elite opposition can punish their shape.
  • Julian Ryerson is out with a thigh injury, weakening defensive depth on the flank.

Brazil vs Norway Team News

Brazil are managed by Carlo Ancelotti and are expected to keep their 4-3-3 structure, with Alisson behind a defensive line led by Marquinhos and Gabriel Magalhães. Casemiro remains doubtful because of a groin issue, which could affect how much protection Brazil have between midfield and defence.

Raphinha and Lucas Paquetá are both unavailable with hamstring injuries, and that matters for a game where Brazil may need patience rather than pure pace. Danilo Santos could gain a more important midfield role, while Vinícius Jr. and Matheus Cunha are still expected to carry much of the attacking threat.

Norway should stay with Ståle Solbakken’s familiar 4-3-3 approach. Julian Ryerson is ruled out with a thigh injury, which removes a useful defensive option against Brazil’s wide players. Further forward, Ødegaard’s creativity and Haaland’s finishing make Norway dangerous even if they spend long periods without full control.

Carlo Ancelotti has hit back at criticism of Brazil’s cautious World Cup approach, insisting his experience speaks for itself after more than 1,400 matches in management. The Brazil boss said only Sir Alex Ferguson is truly qualified to advise him, while also receiving strong backing from Endrick ahead of Sunday’s last-16 clash with Norway, where Brazil will need a more convincing display.

Source: goal.com

Brazil vs Norway Lineups

Here are the predicted lineups for Brazil vs Norway, including formations, managers, injured players and doubtful players.
Brazil (4-3-3)
Carlo Ancelotti
GK Alisson
DF Danilo, Marquinhos, G. Magalhães, D. Santos
MF B. Guimarães, Casemiro, D. Santos
FW Rayan, M. Cunha, Vinícius Jr.
OUT
Casemiro(QUES),
L. Paquetá(OUT),
Raphinha(OUT)
Norway (4-3-3)
Ståle Solbakken
GK Ø. Nyland
DF M. Pedersen, K. Ajer, T. Heggem, D. M. Wolfe
MF M. Ødegaard, P. Berg, S. Berge
FW A. Sørloth, E. Haaland, A. Nusa
OUT
J. Ryerson(OUT)
Referee
Ismail Elfath

When evaluating Both Teams to Score Predictions, XpertStats gives you the wider context behind every match. Explore goal averages, BTTS trends, xG, home and away form, head-to-head records, corner probabilities, cards, shots on target, and automated betting insights to build a clearer, data-led view of upcoming football fixtures.

Brazil vs Norway FAQ

Who will win between Brazil and Norway?

Brazil have more depth and experience, but Norway’s attacking quality makes this very tight. A 1-1 draw after regular time looks realistic.

What is the best Brazil vs Norway prediction?

The best betting angle is Both Teams to Score, as Brazil have enough attacking quality while Norway carry major threat through Haaland and Ødegaard.

What time does Brazil vs Norway start?

Kick-off is scheduled for 21:00 GMT on Sunday, July 05, 2026, at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford.

What is the correct score prediction for Brazil vs Norway?

The correct score prediction is Brazil 1-1 Norway, with both sides expected to create chances but neither fully pulling away.

Who is the referee for Brazil vs Norway?

Ismail Elfath is listed as the referee for this World Cup knockout match between Brazil and Norway.

Are there important absentees for Brazil vs Norway?

Brazil are without Raphinha and Lucas Paquetá, while Casemiro is doubtful. Norway are missing Julian Ryerson because of a thigh injury.

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