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Brighton vs Newcastle Prediction Premier League 18.10.2025

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Brighton vs Newcastle Prediction Premier League 18.10.2025

Brighton vs Newcastle Prediction Premier League

Brighton vs Newcastle Prediction and Betting Tips ahead of Saturday’s clash at the Amex Stadium. Both teams are level on nine points after seven games, and this matchup could swing either way. The Seagulls remain unpredictable under Fabian Hurzeler, while Eddie Howe’s Magpies have looked organized but toothless away from home. For more numbers and insights, check out Barclays Premier League Stats on XpertStats.

  • Brighton remain unbeaten in eight Premier League home games against Newcastle.
  • Newcastle have failed to score in four consecutive away league matches.
  • Brighton have seen both teams score in all of their games this season.
  • Newcastle’s defense has been solid, with five clean sheets in seven games.


Brighton’s season so far has been a mix of chaos and resilience. Ten goals scored, ten conceded, and a habit of turning games around when all seems lost. That’s classic Brighton. Their 1-1 draw at Wolves before the break showed it again, late equalizer, late drama. At home, though, they’ve been a different beast: just one loss in their last 11 Premier League outings. It’s a record that keeps the Amex faithful believing. And the numbers back that up, they’ve scored in every league match this season, averaging 1.67 goals, while conceding 1.33. Not perfect, but certainly entertaining.

Still, Brighton’s defensive frailties can’t be ignored. They’ve gone 19 league matches with just one clean sheet, that’s a worrying trend. Even so, their attacking intent, combined with an incredible 100% rate of games featuring over 1.5 goals, keeps fans on edge and bettors intrigued. They win corners (three per match on average), they press hard (14 fouls committed per game), and they fight back late. You get the feeling they love making life complicated for themselves.

Newcastle, by contrast, have looked sturdy but strangely subdued in attack. They’ve kept five clean sheets in seven games, that’s elite form defensively, but haven’t found the net once away from home this season. That’s got to sting. Nick Pope’s goalkeeping heroics have been a huge part of that solidity, but going four straight road trips without scoring? That’s not the Newcastle fans were promised. Can Howe’s men really break that pattern here? Hard to say.

History isn’t kind to them either. The Magpies have never won at the Amex in eight Premier League visits, and their shot conversion rate (7.5%) tells its own story. Brighton may not be flawless, but they thrive at home and have the confidence edge. Newcastle’s away drought and Brighton’s energy suggest the smart play might just be to back the hosts to avoid defeat. For all the numbers, trends, and insights, dive deeper into the Barclays Premier League Stats section at XpertStats.

Newcastle United manager Eddie Howe addressed the media ahead of Saturday’s Premier League clash with Brighton, confirming that all players returned fit from the international break. Joelinton had a minor concern but is available, while Lewis Hall’s injury update was “positive,” with a return expected before November. Howe praised new sporting director Ross Wilson’s early impact, calling him “a really good person” who can make a big difference. Source: bbc.com.

Prediction
1X @ 1.51
Brighton have been a nightmare for visiting sides at the Amex. They’ve gone unbeaten in their last eight home Premier League meetings with Newcastle, and only lost once in 11 home league games overall. That’s not a fluke, it’s consistency. Despite conceding 1.33 goals per match, Brighton’s attacking rhythm under Hurzeler keeps them competitive, scoring an average of 1.67 per game. Newcastle, on the other hand, haven’t scored in any of their four away fixtures this season, all ending goalless. Their defensive strength (five clean sheets) is impressive, but they lack cutting edge in front of goal. Brighton’s ability to fight back from losing positions, combined with Newcastle’s away struggles, makes the “1X” (Brighton to win or draw) a logical and value-driven pick. The Magpies might hold firm early, but it’s hard to trust them to finally break their away drought here.

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Author

  • Alexandru Florin is a football betting expert, providing tips and accumulator predictions for xpertstats.com since 2022. With a strong focus on data-driven analysis, he delivers well-researched insights and reliable advice for bettors aiming for long-term profit.

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