Leeds vs Tottenham Prediction Premier League 04.10.2025
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Leeds vs Tottenham Prediction Premier League
Leeds vs Tottenham Prediction and Betting Tips for Saturday’s Premier League lunchtime kick-off at Elland Road. Leeds enter with confidence after stretching their unbeaten home run to 23 league matches, while Spurs aim to bounce back from consecutive draws. You can find full Premier League Predictions at XpertStats, including detailed previews, betting angles, and team news analysis.
- Leeds are unbeaten at Elland Road in league play for over a year, a run spanning 23 matches.
- Tottenham have won their last four Premier League meetings with Leeds, scoring 13 goals in that stretch.
- Daniel Farke’s side have shown set-piece strength, but also vulnerability, conceding six from dead-ball situations this season.
- Thomas Frank’s Spurs are unbeaten in September, but have drawn three of their last four across all competitions.
Leeds head coach Daniel Farke has quietly built a resilient outfit since guiding them back to the top flight. The Whites battled to a 2-2 draw against Bournemouth last weekend, undone only by a 93rd-minute equaliser that left Elland Road frustrated. Still, their unbeaten streak at home remains intact, stretching all the way back to September 2024. Can they really keep this fortress standing against Spurs? That’s the question. Leeds’ midfield engine Sean Longstaff has been key, topping the league charts for tackles (19, tied with Spurs’ Palhinha) while also creating eight chances, third-most in the competition.
Yet, Farke has headaches too. Set-pieces have been both blessing and curse. Leeds have already scored four goals from dead-ball situations this campaign, but they’ve also leaked six at the other end. Against Tottenham’s physical threats, that imbalance could prove costly. Injuries to Daniel James and Willy Gnonto don’t help, limiting Leeds’ attacking options on the flanks. Still, the home fans have been their twelfth man all year, and Elland Road will roar again on Saturday.
Tottenham, meanwhile, have developed a knack for late drama. Tuesday’s 2-2 Champions League draw at Bodo/Glimt was rescued by an 89th-minute own goal, extending Thomas Frank’s unbeaten September. But three draws in their last four tell a different story: Spurs aren’t killing games off. Richarlison is chasing his 250th Premier League appearance, though Frank might rotate, with Mathys Tel pushing for a start. Cristian Romero should return in defence, giving Spurs much-needed stability after recent wobbles.
History leans Tottenham’s way. They’ve beaten Leeds nine times in their last 11 league clashes, including four in a row. Their last two visits to Elland Road? Both emphatic wins, 4-0 and 4-1. That said, no side has ever scored four goals in three straight away matches at Leeds. Could Spurs really make that slice of history? It’s hard to say. What’s certain is that this match has the hallmarks of a tense, high-energy clash where one mistake could flip the script. Expect a fight and maybe a few goals too.
As betting value goes, this looks like one of the standout fixtures of the weekend. Both sides have reasons to believe, but something’s got to give. For more analysis, check out our full slate of Premier League Predictions here on XpertStats.
Tottenham Hotspur face significant injury setbacks ahead of their Premier League clash with Leeds United at Elland Road. Thomas Frank confirmed that key players including James Maddison, Dejan Kulusevski, Radu Dragusin and Dominic Solanke are sidelined, with several undergoing surgery or long-term rehabilitation. Spurs remain without Yves Bissouma and Kota Takai as well, leaving the squad stretched during a crucial run of fixtures. Source: leeds-live.co.uk.
Backing Tottenham on the double chance market makes sense given the recent head-to-head dominance. Spurs have won nine of their last 11 Premier League meetings with Leeds, including the last four straight. Even when they haven’t been at their sharpest, like the recent 2-2 draw at Wolves, they’ve shown resilience to salvage points late on. Leeds, for all their fight, still look vulnerable when defending set-pieces, conceding six goals from those situations already this season. Tottenham’s mix of physical defenders and midfielders makes them a threat in that area. While Leeds’ home record is formidable, going unbeaten for 23 league matches at Elland Road, the step-up in quality against Spurs is notable. Tottenham’s away form this season has also improved, with seven points collected from just three trips. Given the balance of statistics and Leeds’ long-running struggles against Spurs, X2 offers both safety and value for this fixture.
Over 1.5 goals looks a solid option for this clash, given the attacking trends of both sides. Leeds have scored in every home game this season and already have four goals from set-pieces alone. Their defence, however, has leaked six goals from dead-ball situations, and against a Spurs side with tall defenders and physical forwards, that’s a real danger. Tottenham themselves are no strangers to high-scoring matches. Their last three Premier League games ended 2-2, 1-1, and 2-2, showing that goals flow both for and against them. Richarlison’s potential milestone appearance will be a motivator, while young Mathys Tel has the pace to stretch Leeds’ backline. Historically, this fixture has also produced goals, Tottenham have scored four in each of their last two trips to Elland Road. Given the balance of attacking talent and defensive fragility, Over 1.5 goals feels close to a banker for this match.
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