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Newcastle vs Arsenal Prediction Premier League 28.09.2025

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Newcastle vs Arsenal Prediction Premier League 28.09.2025

Newcastle vs Arsenal Prediction Premier League

Newcastle vs Arsenal Prediction and Betting Tips for Sunday’s Premier League clash at St James’ Park promises a tactical battle. Newcastle have proven hard to beat at home, winning their last three meetings with Arsenal and keeping clean sheets each time. With both sides boasting strong defensive records this season, this encounter could hinge on fine margins. For deeper insights, check our Premier League Football Stats.

  • Newcastle have won their last three home games against Arsenal without conceding a goal.
  • Arsenal are unbeaten in four league games but have struggled on Tyneside recently.
  • Both teams average over 9 corners per match, making set‑pieces a key factor.
  • Arsenal face injury issues but see the return of Martin Odegaard and Bukayo Saka.


Newcastle’s campaign has been inconsistent. They’ve scored only three goals in five games, the second‑lowest in the league, but Eddie Howe’s men have rediscovered their defensive solidity, keeping three successive clean sheets. At home, they’re tough to break down, and with Anthony Gordon back from suspension, there is added attacking threat. Yet, finishing remains a worry, with several key chances going begging. Can Newcastle combine grit with a clinical edge this Sunday?

Arsenal arrive with a mixed bag of form. They secured a late equaliser against Manchester City and a routine League Cup win over Port Vale, but concerns linger over creativity and away results. Martin Odegaard’s return boosts midfield control, while Bukayo Saka brings pace and invention. However, missing Kai Havertz, Gabriel Jesus, and Noni Madueke weakens their forward depth. Can Arteta’s side overcome Newcastle’s stubborn defence and historic dominance at St James’ Park?

This fixture’s story may revolve around set‑pieces. Newcastle average 8 corners per match and concede just 2.5, while Arsenal win six corners and concede three. That adds up to a match where corners could play a decisive role, both teams press high and force turnovers. Expect a physical, tactical contest with fouls and cards in abundance, particularly given Newcastle’s aggressive style at home and Arsenal’s pressing approach. A tight contest seems most likely.

Both sides have plenty at stake. Newcastle want to extend their Tyneside dominance over Arsenal and build momentum; Arsenal must secure three points to stay in touch with league leaders. Given the stats and recent form, this game could produce plenty of corners, fouls, and a narrow scoreline. It’s hard to say who will come out on top, but one thing’s certain: Sunday will be intense. Expect drama, tension, and plenty of Premier League action.

Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta has dropped a promising hint about Martin Ødegaard’s return for their upcoming clash with Newcastle. Ødegaard, sidelined for three matches with a shoulder injury, trained ahead of the game, suggesting he could start. Arteta stressed the importance of improving efficiency at St James’ Park, where Arsenal have struggled recently. This match is crucial for maintaining Arsenal’s competitive edge. Source: standard.co.uk.

Prediction
Over 9.5 Corners @1.72
Both Newcastle and Arsenal average high corner counts this season. Newcastle win an average of 8 corners per match and concede only 2.5, meaning a combined total close to or exceeding 10 per game is common. Arsenal also average six corners per game and concede three, further boosting totals. Their games consistently push past the Over 9.5 mark, with both sides engaging in attacking pressing styles that lead to turnovers and set‑piece situations. Newcastle’s tendency to defend deeply at home invites corners, as Arsenal often look to break them down. Arsenal’s attacking approach under Arteta is based on width and quick transitions, producing corner opportunities. Previous meetings have also featured numerous corners, with Newcastle’s home style particularly conducive to set‑piece contests. This suggests Sunday’s clash will likely see both sides earning multiple corners, easily surpassing 9.5 for the game.

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Author

  • Alexandru Florin is a football betting expert, providing tips and accumulator predictions for xpertstats.com since 2022. With a strong focus on data-driven analysis, he delivers well-researched insights and reliable advice for bettors aiming for long-term profit.

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