Freiburg vs Stuttgart Prediction 13.09.2025
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Freiburg vs Stuttgart Prediction
Freiburg vs Stuttgart Prediction and Betting Tips for Saturday’s Bundesliga clash at Europa-Park Stadion. Freiburg desperately need points after a rocky start, while Stuttgart arrive hoping to build momentum after a hard-fought victory. In this article, you’ll find Bundesliga Predictions crafted by XpertStats tipsters.
- Freiburg seek their first Bundesliga win after two tough defeats.
- Stuttgart already showed resilience with a narrow win over Gladbach.
- Both sides rely on pressing football that could open up plenty of space.
- Key attackers are missing for Stuttgart, while Freiburg’s defense looks fragile.
Freiburg are under real pressure. Two matches, two losses, seven goals conceded, not the kind of numbers you want when you’re trying to stabilize a campaign. Julian Schuster’s men were swept aside 4-1 by FC Koln on August 31, and before that, they fell 3-1 at home to Augsburg. The stats sting even more: Freiburg have now lost three straight Bundesliga matches, scoring just once each time. Can they really afford another slip? Maybe not, but football often writes its own scripts, and this side will fight to avoid an early-season crisis.
Still, there are sparks of hope. Against Augsburg, Freiburg actually posted a higher expected goals figure (2.6) than their opponents, suggesting bad luck played its part. With Vincenzo Grifo pulling strings and Johan Manzambi finally stepping into the spotlight, the team isn’t short on creativity. Midfield anchors Eggestein and Osterhage are back to full fitness, and with Lucas Höler up top, there’s enough quality here to trouble Stuttgart’s patched-up defense. That said, defensive lapses must be cut out, another leaky showing could sink them further.
On the other side, Stuttgart come into this with slightly better momentum. A 1-0 win over Borussia Monchengladbach was far from convincing, but it was points on the board nonetheless. Sebastian Hoeness’ side remain dangerous, especially in pressing phases, with a PPDA of just 9.34: one of the league’s best. Yet the reality is mixed: Stuttgart have only scored twice in the league and conceded eight across all competitions. Without Deniz Undav and Tiago Tomas, finding goals consistently may be a real struggle.
Even so, history smiles on Stuttgart. They’ve beaten Freiburg in three of their last four league meetings, including a crushing 4-0 victory back in January. Hoeness knows how to squeeze results, though his squad is thin in defense right now with several absentees. That makes this matchup fascinating: a desperate Freiburg against a Stuttgart team still looking for rhythm. Put simply, it’s the kind of game where both sides’ aggressive pressing could create chaos – and maybe plenty of goals. That’s why many see this fixture as a must-watch when it comes to bold Bundesliga Predictions.
Freiburg’s defensive record speaks volumes: seven goals conceded in just two games is a glaring weakness. Stuttgart, though far from prolific early this season, have the pressing style and attacking fluidity under Sebastian Hoeness to carve out openings. Historically, this fixture rarely ends quietly – five of the last five meetings saw over 2.5 goals, with both teams regularly on the scoresheet. Freiburg at home will push hard to end their losing streak, with Grifo and Manzambi capable of unlocking defenses. Stuttgart, meanwhile, have pace and movement from players like Leweling and Fuhrich, even without Undav and Tomas. The key lies in both teams’ high-press approach: it creates gaps, invites turnovers, and almost always leads to chances at both ends. Freiburg might be fragile at the back, but they still carry enough attacking bite to score. This has all the ingredients for a lively game where both teams find the net.
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