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Liverpool vs Chelsea Prediction, Team News, Lineups, Stats 09.05.2026

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Alexandru Florin 08.05.2026 18:27Last updated: 28/05/2026 09:25
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Liverpool vs Chelsea Prediction, Team News, Lineups, Stats 09.05.2026

Liverpool vs Chelsea Prediction and Betting Tips for the Premier League, scheduled for Saturday, May 9, 2026 at 12:30 GMT at Anfield, Liverpool, with Craig Pawson appointed as referee. For sharper context, XpertStats brings Premier League Predictions from our tipsters.

Liverpool arrive with real momentum, unbeaten in 4 recent home games and scoring freely again. Chelsea, meanwhile, look stuck in the mud after 5 straight defeats. Can a wounded away side really trade punches at Anfield? Maybe, but it feels risky.

Liverpool vs Chelsea Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals & Both Teams to Score
Odds: 1.63 Confidence: Medium-High

Liverpool’s home profile pushes this pick forward. They average 1.88 goals scored at Anfield, and their matches there hit +2.5 goals in 53% of cases. Chelsea are hardly secure away either, conceding 1.41 goals on the road, so even with Liverpool missing Salah and Ekitiké, the home side still have enough volume through Gakpo, Wirtz and Szoboszlai. Chelsea’s recent form is ugly, no sugar-coating that, but their away attack still ranks strongly with 1.76 goals scored per match. João Pedro, Cole Palmer and Enzo Fernández provide different shooting angles, while Liverpool have conceded in enough home games to make a clean sheet feel uncertain. Add the pressure around Champions League qualification, and this looks like a match that opens up.

Liverpool vs Chelsea Correct Score

Liverpool
2 - 2
Chelsea

The numbers point toward a lively but slightly messy contest. Liverpool generate 17.35 shots per home match, while Chelsea produce 12.18 on their travels, so both teams should have enough territory to create chances. The shot-on-target-to-goal ratios are close too, with Liverpool at 2.72 and Chelsea at 2.67, which supports a scoreline where efficiency matters more than dominance. The absences complicate Liverpool’s attacking ceiling, especially with Hugo Ekitiké and Mohamed Salah out. Still, Cody Gakpo, Dominik Szoboszlai and Florian Wirtz keep the Reds dangerous between the lines. Chelsea have João Pedro and Cole Palmer available in the probable setup, but their losing run makes total control hard to trust. A 2-2 draw feels bold, yet very believable.

Liverpool vs Chelsea Stats

  • Liverpool have scored in 14 straight matches coming into this heavyweight Premier League meeting.
  • Chelsea have lost 5 consecutive games and failed to score in 4 of them.
  • Liverpool’s last 8 matches all produced at least 2 total goals overall.
  • BTTS landed in 4 of Liverpool’s last 5 matches across all competitions recently.
  • João Pedro leads Chelsea scoring charts with 15 goals and 0.54 per 90.
  • Cody Gakpo has attempted 83 shots this season, Liverpool’s highest listed player total.
Liverpool vs Chelsea Prediction, Team News, Lineups, Stats 09.05.2026-Stats
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Liverpool vs Chelsea Match Preview

Liverpool sit 4th and still have plenty to protect, which gives this game a sharper edge than a normal late-season rivalry. Arne Slot’s side have been uneven, yes, but Anfield has remained a safer space. The rhythm should lean toward Liverpool pressing early and trying to box Chelsea in.

Chelsea are 9th, and their away numbers are more convincing than their recent mood. That’s the strange bit. They can travel well, carry threat through central runners and wide rotations, yet their confidence looks cracked. Still, when Palmer and João Pedro find pockets, games can change quickly.

Expect a quick tempo, plenty of transitions and a few nervy defensive moments. Liverpool should see more territory, corners and shots, but Chelsea’s attacking structure can still punish gaps. With both teams using 4-2-3-1 shapes on paper, the battle between the attacking midfielders may decide the flow.

Liverpool vs Chelsea TEAM STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES
Liverpool Logo
Chelsea Logo
Liverpool League Position
4

+ Liverpool's Strengths

  • Strong home record, ranked 4th with 2.00 points per match at Anfield.
  • High home scoring level with 1.88 goals per match, ranked 4th in the league.
  • Solid home defense, conceding only 1.06 goals per match, ranked 5th overall.
  • Very active attack, averaging 17.35 shots per home match.

- Liverpool's Weaknesses

  • Corners conceded at home are fairly high, with 5.12 allowed per match.
  • Only 5.12 shots on target per match, below the elite attacking threshold.
  • Several key attacking absences reduce their usual final-third certainty.
Chelsea League Position
9

+ Chelsea's Strengths

  • Best away attack in the league with 1.76 goals scored per match.
  • Strong road record, ranked 4th away with 1.47 points per match.
  • Good away corner threat, winning 5.41 corners per match.
  • Chelsea away matches hit +2.5 goals in 76% of games.

- Chelsea's Weaknesses

  • Away defense is vulnerable, conceding 1.41 goals per match.
  • Recent form is poor, with 5 defeats from the last 5 matches.
  • Average cards received away is high at 2.88, showing disciplinary risk.

Liverpool vs Chelsea Team News

Liverpool are expected to line up in a 4-2-3-1 under Arne Slot, but the team news is not exactly kind. Hugo Ekitiké is out with an Achilles tendon issue, while Mohamed Salah misses the match with a hamstring problem. Alexander Isak is doubtful after a groin concern.

Slot did offer a little hope in his press conference, saying Isak trained partly and that Giorgi Mamardashvili was returning to group work. Alisson is not ready yet, while Ibrahima Konaté and Florian Wirtz trained after minor issues. Gakpo’s listed shooting volume makes him especially important.

Chelsea, managed by Calum McFarlane, should also use a 4-2-3-1 shape. Mudryk, Estêvão, Gittens, Derry and Sánchez are out, while Garnacho and Pedro Neto are doubtful. João Pedro, Palmer and Enzo Fernández are expected to carry much of the attacking responsibility, which feels like a lot.

Arne Slot says Liverpool could welcome key players back for Saturday’s Premier League meeting with Chelsea, with Alexander Isak back in partial training and Mohamed Salah and Giorgi Mamardashvili also nearing returns. The Liverpool head coach admitted the squad still needs improvement after an inconsistent domestic season, but stressed better results will depend on stronger performances and a more settled team in the final weeks.

Source: liverpoolecho.co.uk

Liverpool vs Chelsea Lineups

Here are the predicted lineups for Liverpool vs Chelsea, including formations, managers, injured players and doubtful players.
Liverpool (4-2-3-1)
Arne Slot
GK G. Mamardashvili
DF C. Jones, I. Konaté, V. van Dijk, A. Robertson
MF R. Gravenberch, A. Mac Allister
J. Frimpong, D. Szoboszlai, F. Wirtz
FW C. Gakpo
OUT
H. Ekitiké(OUT),
M. Salah(OUT),
S. Bajčetić(OUT),
W. Endo(OUT),
A. Isak(QUES),
Alisson(QUES)
Chelsea (4-2-3-1)
Calum McFarlane
GK F. Jørgensen
DF M. Gusto, T. Chalobah, L. Colwill, M. Cucurella
MF M. Caicedo, A. Santos
C. Palmer, E. Fernández, J. Pedro
FW L. Delap
OUT
M. Mudryk(OUT),
Estêvão(OUT),
J. Gittens(OUT),
J. Derry(OUT),
R. Sánchez(OUT),
A. Garnacho(QUES),
P. Neto(QUES)
Referee
Craig PAWSON
Liverpool vs Chelsea Prediction, Team News, Lineups, Stats 09.05.2026
Liverpool vs Chelsea Prediction, Team News, Lineups, Stats 09.05.2026
Liverpool vs Chelsea Prediction, Team News, Lineups, Stats 09.05.2026

More Predictions:

XpertStats brings together everything you need to evaluate goal-heavy fixtures, from home and away scoring averages to BTTS frequency, xG projections, last-five form, and bookmaker probability comparisons. If you want a clearer view of upcoming opportunities, visit the Both Teams to Score Predictions section and use the wider data catalog to support every match decision.

Liverpool vs Chelsea FAQ

What is the best prediction for Liverpool vs Chelsea?

The best prediction is Over 2.5 Goals & Both Teams to Score, based on Liverpool’s home scoring trend and Chelsea’s away attacking profile.

What is the correct score prediction for Liverpool vs Chelsea?

Our correct score prediction is 2-2, with both teams carrying enough attacking quality but also clear defensive doubts.

Who is the referee for Liverpool vs Chelsea?

Craig Pawson is listed as the referee for Liverpool vs Chelsea at Anfield.

What time does Liverpool vs Chelsea start?

Kick-off is scheduled for 12:30 GMT on Saturday, May 9, 2026.

Where is Liverpool vs Chelsea played?

The match is played at Anfield in Liverpool.

Are Liverpool missing key players against Chelsea?

Yes, Liverpool are without Hugo Ekitiké and Mohamed Salah, while Alexander Isak is listed as doubtful.

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