Napoli vs Cremonese Prediction and Betting Tips heads to the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona on Friday, April 24, 2026. Kick-off is 19:45 GMT, Paramount+ and Disney+ carry the match, Daniele Doveri referees, and our Ligue 1 Predictions page is live.
Napoli arrive with 10 points from their last 5 matches and only 5 goals scored in that spell, which says plenty about the tempo here. Cremonese have taken just 4 points from their last 5, failed to score in their last 2 games, and still sit on 28 points.
Napoli vs Cremonese Key Facts and Stats
Napoli have lost just 1 of their last 5 matches, winning 3 and drawing once.
Only 2 of Napoli’s last 5 games saw both teams score, hinting at tighter contests.
Cremonese have collected only 4 points from their last 5 matches across all competitions.
Cremonese failed to score in 16 league matches this season and blanked in the last 2.
Napoli average 6.38 home corners, while Cremonese concede 6.94 corners per away league game.
Cremonese average just 0.76 goals scored away, with BTTS landing in only 35% there.
3rd in the Serie A standings with 66 points after 33 matches
2nd best home record in the league with 2.31 points per game
3rd most corners won at home with an average of 6.38 per match
2nd fewest corners conceded at home with only 2.50 per match
- Napoli's Weaknesses
63% of home matches have seen both teams score
Average of 13.13 shots per home match is not especially high for a top side
Average of 4.94 shots on target per home game is below the strong attacking mark
League Position
17th
+ Cremonese's Strengths
Away matches go over 8.5 corners in 71% of games
Average of 13.88 fouls won per away match suggests they can draw pressure high up the pitch
Away matches average 2.18 total goals, often keeping games within reach
- Cremonese's Weaknesses
17th in the standings with only 28 points from 33 league matches
Weak away attack with just 0.76 goals scored per match
Worst away side in the league for corners conceded with 6.94 per match
Match Preview
Napoli’s home numbers are strong without being wild. Antonio Conte’s side average 1.63 goals scored and 0.94 conceded at the Maradona, while their 2.31 home points per game is the second best mark in Serie A. They tend to control matches before they turn messy.
Set pieces and territory could lean heavily toward the hosts. Napoli rank third for corners won at home with 6.38 per match and second for corners conceded with only 2.50. Matteo Politano has 5 goals this season, while Leonardo Spinazzola has added 4 from wide areas.
Still, there is an attacking caveat. Napoli average 13.13 shots and 4.94 shots on target at home, decent numbers but not exactly relentless. David Neres is also doubtful with a hamstring issue, and his 3 goals at 0.29 per 90 are not easy to brush aside.
Cremonese travel to Naples sitting 17th with 28 points, and the bigger concern is obvious enough. They average only 0.76 goals scored away from home and have failed to score in 16 league matches overall. In the last 5 games, they have managed only 4 goals and 4 points.
Marco Giampaolo’s side do have one route into games, though. Their away matches clear 8.5 corners 71% of the time, and Jari Vandeputte, who has 4 goals this season, remains one of the few players in this squad who can still inject some quality in advanced areas.
Cremonese also arrive with damaging selection issues. Jamie Vardy is out injured, while F. Moumbagna and M. Thorsby are doubtful, so the attack looks thin. Add in 6.94 corners conceded away and only 3.24 corners won, and Ligue 1 Predictions feels irrelevant beside Napoli’s control.
Napoli vs Cremonese Predicted Lineups
Napoli (3-4-2-1)
Antonio Conte
GK
V. Milinkovic Savic
DF
S. Beukema, A. Rrahmani, M. Olivera
MF
M. Politano, F. Anguissa, S. Lobotka, L. Spinazzola K. De Bruyne, S. McTominay
FW
R. Højlund
OUT
A. Vergara(QUES),
D. Neres(QUES),
G. Di Lorenzo(QUES),
R. Lukaku(QUES)
Cremonese (4-4-2)
Marco Giampaolo
GK
E. Audero
DF
F. Terracciano, F. Baschirotto, S. Luperto, G. Pezzella
MF
R. F. Mussolini, Y. Maleh, A. Grassi, J. Vandeputte
FW
F. Bonazzoli, A. Sanabria
OUT
J. Vardy(OUT),
F. Moumbagna(QUES),
M. Thorsby(QUES)
Referee
Daniele DOVERI
Prediction
Prediction: Under 26.5 Shots @1.57
Under 26.5 shots stands out because Napoli are not a high volume shooting side at home. They average 13.13 shots per match, while Cremonese average only 8 away. That creates a combined average of 21.13, well below the line. Even the market history leans that way, with Napoli clearing 26.5 shots in just 25% of home games.
Cremonese’s recent form also points toward a slower attacking contest. They have scored only 4 goals in their last 5 matches and failed to score in the last 2, so their attacking contribution may be limited. Napoli’s home control matters too, conceding only 0.94 goals and just 2.50 corners, which usually keeps the match from becoming too stretched.
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FAQ - Napoli vs Cremonese Prediction
Who will win between Napoli and Cremonese?
Napoli are the stronger side on the numbers, especially at home. They sit 3rd in the table, average 2.31 points per home match, and face a Cremonese team placed 17th with only 0.76 goals scored away on average.
Where can I watch the Napoli vs Cremonese live?
The Napoli vs Cremonese Serie A match will be broadcast live on Paramount+ in the USA and Disney+.
What time does Napoli vs Cremonese start?
Kick-off is scheduled for 19:45 GMT on Friday, April 24, 2026.
What is the best betting angle for Napoli vs Cremonese?
Under 26.5 shots looks attractive based on the supplied numbers. Napoli average 13.13 shots at home, Cremonese average 8 away, and the combined figure stays well below the proposed line.
Why are Napoli favoured in this match?
Napoli have the second best home points per game record in Serie A, concede only 0.94 goals per home match, and win 6.38 corners per game at the Maradona. Cremonese have struggled badly in attack and arrive with key absences.
Alexandru Florin is a football betting expert, providing tips and accumulator predictions for xpertstats.com since 2022. With a strong focus on data-driven analysis, he delivers well-researched insights and reliable advice for bettors aiming for long-term profit.
