Brighton vs Chelsea Prediction and Betting Tips for the match scheduled this Tuesday, April 21, 2026, at 20:00 GMT. You can catch the action live on NBC and Peacock from the Amex Stadium. With referee Craig Pawson in charge, the atmosphere in Brighton will be absolutely buzzing tonight.
The Seagulls have been quite decent lately, picking up 10 points from their last 5 outings. It is hard to predict if Chelsea can finally break their scoring drought though. In this article, you will find some very useful Premier League Stats from our dedicated team.
Brighton vs Chelsea Key Facts and Stats
Brighton comes into this home fixture having earned 10 points from their last 5 league matches.
Chelsea has the best away attack in the league, averaging 1.88 goals per game on road.
The visitors have struggled recently, failing to find the net in each of their last four.
Danny Welbeck is the main threat for the home side with 12 goals so far this season.
Chelsea is missing several key players including Mudryk and Estevao due to various injuries and suspensions.
The historical card average for this matchup sits high at 4.63 total cards per 90 minutes.
Strong home defense conceding only 1.06 goals on average
Excellent recent momentum with 10 points from 5 matches
High percentage of matches over 1.5 goals at 81%
Danny Welbeck is in top form with 12 goals
- Brighton's Weaknesses
Low offensive precision with only 4.81 shots on target
Often concedes as BTTS landed in 20 of 33 games
Doubtful status for influential midfielder Diego Gomez
League Position
6
+ Chelsea's Strengths
Best away attack in the league scoring 1.88 goals
Top 4 away performance with 1.56 points per match
High corner production winning 5.44 per away match
Strong disciplinary pressure forcing 3 cards against opponents
- Chelsea's Weaknesses
Terrible recent form with zero goals in four games
Missing key attackers like Mudryk and Pedro Neto
Match Preview
Brighton fans are feeling pretty good right now. Their squad has shown some real grit lately, especially at the Amex. Fabian Hurzeler has them playing a style that is balanced. They have only lost once in their last 5, which gives the home crowd massive hope tonight.
Danny Welbeck is definitely the man to watch for the Seagulls. He has 12 goals this season and averages 0.55 per 90 minutes. Still, the team might miss Diego Gomez if he remains out with that knee injury. Lewis Dunk will be vital in keeping things tight at the back.
Even so, Jan Paul van Hecke and Dunk need to be careful. They both have 8 or more yellow cards this season. With Craig Pawson refereeing, any late challenges could lead to trouble quickly. Brighton needs their leaders to stay calm if they want to secure all three points tonight.
Chelsea is in a bit of a weird spot. They have the best away attack statistically, scoring 1.88 goals per game on the road. Yet, they haven’t scored a single goal in their last four matches. It is a frustrating paradox for Liam Rosenior and the travelling fans.
The Blues are dealing with a lot of absences right now. Mudryk is suspended and Joao Pedro is doubtful. This means Cole Palmer will have a huge weight on his shoulders. He has 9 goals this season and averages 0.5 goals per 90 minutes when he is on.
Moises Caicedo returns to his old ground and he has been aggressive. He has 11 cards this season, which is a lot. If things get heated, he is usually in the middle of it. We expect a tight game where Premier League Stats suggest the visitors must finally find their shooting boots.
Brighton vs Chelsea Predicted Lineups
Brighton (4-2-3-1)
Fabian Hurzeler
GK
B. Verbruggen
DF
M. Wieffer, J. P. van Hecke, L. Dunk, F. Kadıoğlu
MF
Y. Ayari, J. Hinshelwood K. Mitoma, P. Groß, Y. Minteh
FW
D. Welbeck
OUT
A. Webster(OUT),
D. Gómez(QUES),
J. Milner(QUES)
Chelsea (4-2-3-1)
Liam Rosenior
GK
R. Sánchez
DF
M. Gusto, T. Chalobah, T. Adarabioyo, M. Cucurella
MF
M. Caicedo, E. Fernández P. Neto, C. Palmer, A. Garnacho
FW
L. Delap
OUT
M. Mudryk(OUT),
Estêvão(OUT),
J. Gittens(OUT),
L. Colwill(OUT),
E. Fernández(QUES),
F. Jørgensen(QUES),
João Pedro(QUES),
R. James(QUES)
Referee
Craig PAWSON
Prediction
Over 3.5 Cards @1.80
Looking at the discipline, both teams are quite aggressive. Chelsea receives 3 cards per away match, while Brighton averages 2 cards at home. Craig Pawson is a referee who doesn't mind reaching for his pocket when tackles fly in. We expect a high intensity game tonight with plenty of fouls. The stats show that 75% of Brighton's home games have seen over 3.5 cards easily.
Furthermore, Moises Caicedo and Lewis Dunk are both card magnets this season. Caicedo has picked up 11 cards already, while Dunk has 10 yellows to his name. With the European spots on the line, neither side will hold back in the challenges. This tactical battle will likely produce at least 4 bookings. Betting on cards seems like the most logical choice given the current 4.63 card match average.
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FAQ – Brighton vs Chelsea Prediction
Who is the favorite between Brighton and Chelsea?
Brighton is in better form, but Chelsea has a very dangerous away attack, making it a very close call for experts.
Where can I watch Brighton vs Chelsea live?
The Brighton vs Chelsea Premier League match will be broadcast live on NBC and Peacock for viewers in the USA.
What time does Brighton vs Chelsea start?
Kick-off is scheduled for 20:00 (GMT) on Tuesday, April 21, 2026, at the Amex Stadium.
Which players are missing for Chelsea?
Chelsea will be without Mykhaylo Mudryk due to suspension, and Estevao is sidelined with a hamstring injury.
How has Danny Welbeck performed this season?
Danny Welbeck has been excellent for Brighton, scoring 12 goals so far with an average of 0.55 goals per 90 minutes.
Alexandru Florin is a football betting expert, providing tips and accumulator predictions for xpertstats.com since 2022. With a strong focus on data-driven analysis, he delivers well-researched insights and reliable advice for bettors aiming for long-term profit.
