Newcastle vs Sunderland Prediction and Betting Tips
Newcastle vs Sunderland Prediction and Betting Tips for the Premier League clash on Sunday, March 22, 2026, at 12:00 GMT. The match will be broadcast live on Peacock and NBC from St. James' Park. Referee Anthony Taylor will manage the high intensity atmosphere in Newcastle.
Eddie Howe’s men currently sit in 9th place while the visitors are 13th. The Magpies have secured 9 points from their last 5 fixtures and look dangerous. Before the kick-off, check the latest Premier League Predictions for all the weekend action from our expert tipsters.
Newcastle vs Sunderland Key Facts and Stats
Newcastle earned 9 points from their last 5 games averaging 1.8 points per match recently.
Both teams found the net in 4 of the last 5 fixtures for the Magpies.
The home side managed to score at least one goal in their last 7 matches.
Sunderland failed to find the back of the net in 37% of their games overall.
The visitors currently hold a 2 match unbeaten run when playing away from their home.
Referee Anthony Taylor takes charge of this massive derby at a sold out St. James' Park.
Offensive style of football with 14.4 shots per home match
Strong attacking output averaging 1.87 goals scored at home
Top 3 ranking for shots on target with 5.67 average
- Newcastle's Weaknesses
Defensive lapses resulting in 1.6 goals conceded per home game
High frequency of BTTS matches reaching 73% in home games
Frequent fouls committed with a 11.27 average at St. James
League Position
13
+ Sunderland's Strengths
Disciplined play in possession winning 10.8 fouls per match
Lower average of cards received with 2.2 per away game
Ability to restrict opponent corners conceding 5.6 per match
High defensive engagement with 10.73 fouls committed average
- Sunderland's Weaknesses
Bottom 4 in away standings with only 0.93 PPG
Weakest away attack in league scoring only 0.53 goals
Very low attacking volume with only 8.2 shots away
Match Preview
Newcastle United faces a significant challenge as they navigate this derby without their influential midfielder Bruno Guimarães. The Brazilian is officially out for this clash alongside Fabian Schär and Emil Krafth. Still, the squad remains confident after scoring 8 goals in five games.
Nick Woltemade is expected to start and has already netted 8 goals this season. He will be supported by Anthony Gordon who averages 0.27 goals per 90 minutes. Eddie Howe will likely rely on their pace to exploit the visitor's defensive lines.
Defensively, the Magpies will look to Malick Thiaw who averages 85 minutes per match and has 4 goals to his name. Even so, the 1.6 goals conceded average at home suggests they must be careful. The local fans expect a clean sheet today.
Sunderland travels to Tyneside with serious scoring concerns after failing to net in 11 games this season. Brian Brobbey is the main threat with 5 goals but averages only 56 minutes. Regis Le Bris must find a way to improve the attack.
The visitors are missing several players including Romaine Mundle and Dennis Cirkin while Daniel Ballard remains doubtful. This puts extra pressure on Granit Xhaka and Enzo Le Fée to control the tempo. Le Fée currently has 5 cards this season.
Wilson Isidor could be a wild card if he features after scoring 4 times so far. That said, stopping Newcastle’s home momentum is a tall order for a team averaging 0.53 goals away. We expect some sharp Premier League Predictions tonight.
Newcastle vs Sunderland Predicted Lineups
Newcastle United (4-2-3-1)
Eddie Howe
GK
A. Ramsdale
DF
V. Livramento, M. Thiaw, S. Botman, L. Hall
MF
J. Willock, Joelinton J. Murphy, N. Woltemade, H. Barnes
FW
A. Gordon
OUT
F. Schär(OUT),
B. Guimarães(OUT),
E. Krafth(OUT),
L. Miley(OUT),
S. Tonali(QUES)
Sunderland (4-2-3-1)
Régis Le Bris
GK
M. Ellborg
DF
L. Geertruida, L. O'Nien, O. Alderete, T. Hume
MF
N. Sadiki, G. Xhaka C. Talbi, H. Diarra, E. Le Fée
FW
B. Brobbey
OUT
J. Ta Bi(OUT),
R. Mundle(OUT),
D. Cirkin(OUT),
R. Roefs(OUT),
B. Traoré(OUT),
N. Angulo(OUT),
D. Ballard(QUES),
N. Mukiele(QUES)
Referee
Anthony TAYLOR
Prediction
Newcastle to Win @1.71
Newcastle enters this derby in superior form after securing 9 points from their last 5 fixtures. Playing at St. James' Park is a massive advantage where they average 1.87 goals per game. Even without Bruno Guimaraes, the attacking depth of Nick Woltemade and Anthony Gordon should provide enough quality. Sunderland has struggled significantly on the road recently, averaging just 0.53 goals per match away from home.
Sunderland's offensive record away from the Stadium of Light is a major concern for manager Regis Le Bris. They have failed to find the net in 37% of their matches this season and look toothless without key forwards. Meanwhile, Newcastle has managed to score in 7 consecutive matches leading into this showdown. The defensive gaps in the visitors' backline will likely be exposed by Gordon's pace during the match.
Build a winning strategy using our sophisticated xG models and automated betting insights. By comparing probability against bookmaker odds for over/under markets and BTTS, you gain a professional-grade perspective on every fixture. To see our full array of global discovery tools, including team efficiency standings and discipline statistics, browse the exhaustive feature list over at XpertStats right now.
FAQ – Newcastle vs Sunderland Prediction
Who will win between Newcastle and Sunderland?
Newcastle is the heavy favorite due to their strong home scoring record and Sunderland's poor away attack of 0.53 goals.
Where can I watch Newcastle vs Sunderland live?
The Newcastle vs Sunderland match will be broadcast live on Peacock and NBC.
What time does Newcastle vs Sunderland start?
Kick-off is scheduled for 12:00(GMT) on Sunday, March 22, 2026.
Are there any major injuries for Newcastle?
Yes, Bruno Guimaraes, Fabian Schär, and Emil Krafth are confirmed out, while Sandro Tonali is a doubt.
Who is the referee for the Tyne-Wear derby?
The highly experienced Anthony Taylor has been appointed to officiate this intense derby match.
Alexandru Florin is a football betting expert, providing tips and accumulator predictions for xpertstats.com since 2022. With a strong focus on data-driven analysis, he delivers well-researched insights and reliable advice for bettors aiming for long-term profit.
