Toulouse vs Marseille Prediction and Betting Tips for the Ligue 1 clash, scheduled for Saturday, March 07, 2026, at 20:05 GMT. The match will be broadcast live on Amazon Prime and Ligue 1+ (Fra) from the Stadium de Toulouse. Referee Bastien Dechepy is the man in the middle.
The home side is currently sitting in 11th place while Marseille chases a top three spot. It is a massive game for both managers at this stage of the season. In this article, you will Discover Ligue 1 Predictions today from our expert analysts.
Toulouse vs Marseille Key Facts and Stats
Toulouse remains unbeaten in 3 home games despite sitting in the 11th league position currently.
Marseille has seen at least 2 goals scored in each of their last 8 matches.
The home side has failed to find the back of the net in 3 fixtures.
Habib Beye welcomes Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg back to the squad after serving his recent suspension.
Just 2 of the last 5 games for Toulouse have ended with both teams scoring.
Mason Greenwood is the main man for Marseille with 14 goals in the league so far.
Strong league position sitting in 4th place overall
Highly prolific attack with 51 total goals scored
Mason Greenwood is in elite form with 14 goals
Solid away scoring average of 1.58 goals per match
- Marseille's Weaknesses
Fragile away defense conceding 1.5 goals per match
Low average of only 10.75 fouls won per match
Match Preview
Carles Martinez has a real selection headache with Frank Magri officially ruled out for this match. Magri averages 0.36 goals per 90 minutes and his physical presence will be missed. Still, the coach hopes Yann Gboho can step up and improve his tally of 6 goals.
Defensively, Toulouse has been fairly solid at home but they commit 13.58 fouls per game on average. That is a high number that might lead to dangerous set pieces. Rasmus Nicolaisen is still a major doubt, which could force a shuffle in the back three.
Looking at the shots data, they actually average 15.42 attempts at home, which shows intent. However, only 5.33 of those find the target regularly. They need Santiago Hidalgo to be clinical if he starts, as he currently leads the team with 0.44 goals per 90.
Marseille arrives with a bit of a mixed bag in terms of form but remains dangerous. Habib Beye is happy to have Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg back after his suspension to control the midfield. That said, the injury to Bilal Nadir in the cup is a blow.
Mason Greenwood is the man to watch, with an incredible 0.69 goals per 90 minutes. He will likely be joined by the returning Amine Gouiri, who adds even more flair. Even so, the doubt surrounding Nayef Aguerd is a concern for their defensive stability tonight.
The visitors score 1.58 goals on average when playing away from home this season. However, they also concede 1.5 per match on the road, which gives the hosts some hope. You can find more Ligue 1 Predictions across our site for all this weekend's action.
After a painful Coupe de France elimination by Toulouse, Marseille’s Habib Beye and Igor Paixao are shifting focus to their Ligue 1 rematch. Beye stressed the importance of regaining confidence to secure a European spot, while Paixao highlighted the team's responsibility to fight for the podium. Despite recent setbacks, the objective remains clear: securing Champions League qualification through a strong finish in the domestic campaign.
A. Dønnum, C. Cásseres Jr., P. Diop, D. Methalie J. Vignolo, Y. Gboho
FW
S. Hidalgo
OUT
A. Francis(OUT),
R. Messali(OUT),
R. Nicolaisen(QUES),
F. Magri(OUT),
C. Cresswell(OUT),
Marseille (4-2-3-1)
Habib Beye
GK
G. Rulli
DF
T. Weah, L. Balerdi, N. Aguerd, Emerson
MF
G. Kondogbia, P. Højbjerg M. Greenwood, E. Nwaneri, I. Paixão
FW
P. Aubameyang
OUT
B. Nadir(OUT),
N. Aguerd(QUES),
Referee
Bastien DECHEPY
Prediction
1X @1.64
Toulouse has turned their home ground into a bit of a fortress lately. They are unbeaten in 3 games at the Stadium de Toulouse, which gives them a psychological edge. Marseille has been inconsistent on the road, conceding 1.5 goals per match. With Aguerd being a major doubt, the visitors might lack the defensive cohesion needed to secure all 3 points in this match today.
The statistics show that Toulouse creates plenty of chances at home, averaging 15.42 shots per match. While Marseille is higher in the table, their away form is a concern. They have lost 6 of 12 away games this season. Taking the double chance 1X covers the draw, which seems likely given that Toulouse has drawn 5 times at the stadium already this season.
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FAQ – Toulouse vs Marseille Prediction
Who will win between Toulouse and Marseille?
Marseille is the higher ranked side, but Toulouse is unbeaten in 3 home matches, making a draw or a home win quite possible.
Where can I watch Toulouse vs Marseille live?
The Toulouse vs Marseille Ligue 1 match will be broadcast live on Amazon Prime and Ligue 1+ (Fra).
What time does Toulouse vs Marseille start?
Kick-off is scheduled for 20:05 (GMT) on Saturday, March 07, 2026.
Are there any key players missing for this match?
Toulouse is missing Frank Magri and Cresswell, while Marseille will be without Bilal Nadir with Nayef Aguerd also being a doubt.
What is the best betting tip for this game?
Our featured tip is the double chance 1X, as Toulouse has shown great resilience when playing at their own stadium recently.
Alexandru Florin is a football betting expert, providing tips and accumulator predictions for xpertstats.com since 2022. With a strong focus on data-driven analysis, he delivers well-researched insights and reliable advice for bettors aiming for long-term profit.
