Mansfield vs Arsenal Prediction and Betting Tips, scheduled for Saturday, March 07, 2026, at 12:15 GMT. The match will be broadcast live on TNT Sports 1 and ESPN from the One Call Stadium in Mansfield. Local fans are dreaming of another historic upset. In this article, you’ll Discover FA Cup Predictions from XpertStats tipsters.
Arsenal comes into this fixture in top form after a 1-0 victory at Brighton. Mansfield recently drew 0-0 with Rotherham. The Stags previously knocked out Burnley, but facing the Premier League leaders is a different beast entirely. We dive deep into the numbers to find the best value.
Mansfield vs Arsenal Key Facts and Stats
Arsenal remains unbeaten in their last 10 matches while winning 8 games in that sequence.
Mansfield has only managed 1 victory in their previous 10 competitive outings across all competitions.
The Gunners average a massive 2.8 goals per game in their recent away fixtures played.
80 percent of Arsenal's recent away matches have seen both teams find the back of the net.
Mansfield has failed to score in 3 of their last 4 games played in League One.
This is the first meeting between these two clubs in exactly 97 years of football history.
Strong discipline with only 1.4 average cards received per match.
Elite corner delivery winning 7.4 corners per match at home.
Excellent corner defense conceding only 4.0 corners per home game.
Solid record of holding opponents to just 1.2 goals conceded.
- Mansfield's Weaknesses
Very weak attack averaging only 0.6 goals scored at home.
Low offensive threat with 1.8 total goals per home match.
Winless in their last 4 League One matches before this.
+ Arsenal's Strengths
Potent attack averaging 2.8 goals scored per away match.
Attractive style with 80% of away games over 2.5 goals.
Top of the league position showing elite recent season form.
Incredible discipline receiving only 1.4 average cards per game.
- Arsenal's Weaknesses
Defensive lapses with BTTS occurring in 80% of away games.
Conceded at least 1 goal in 4 of last 6 matches.
Match Preview
Nigel Clough has a massive task on his hands this weekend. The Stags are currently 16th in League One and struggling for consistency. While the win over Burnley was heroic, they have found goals hard to come by lately, scoring only in 1 of their last 4 matches.
Defensively, Mansfield will miss captain Ryan Sweeney due to a hamstring problem. Baily Cargill is also sidelined, and Luke Bolton is a major doubt after a calf injury against Rotherham. Without these key defenders, holding off Bukayo Saka and company seems like a tall order.
The atmosphere at the One Call Stadium will be incredible, as it usually is for these big ties. Mansfield wins a lot of corners at home, averaging 7.4 per game, which might be their best chance to create chaos in the Arsenal penalty area this Saturday.
Arsenal is chasing a historic quadruple and looks unstoppable at the moment. Mikel Arteta has transformed this team into a scoring machine, especially on the road where they average 2.8 goals. They have been record winners of this competition for a very good reason.
Injury concerns are present for the Gunners as William Saliba and Martin Odegaard are touch and go. Myles Lewis-Skelly is suspended, but Gabriel Jesus remains a huge threat. He has 20 goal involvements in 19 games against teams outside the top flight lately.
Still, the depth in the Arsenal squad should be enough to navigate this hurdle comfortably. Expect a professional performance from the visitors as they look to reach the next stage. It is hard to look past the visitors in our FA Cup Predictions for this round.
Mansfield Town manager Nigel Clough is drawing inspiration from Macclesfield’s recent FA Cup upset against Crystal Palace as the Stags prepare to host Arsenal. Reflecting on historical giant-killings and his own experiences with Burton Albion, Clough emphasized the importance of creating lasting memories at the One Call Stadium. Mansfield aims to elevate their performance for this high-profile encounter against the Premier League giants.
J. Timber, C. Mosquera, R. Calafiori, M. Lewis-Skelly
MF
M. Dowman, C. Nørgaard N. Madueke, E. Eze, G. Martinelli
FW
K. Havertz
OUT
M. Merino(OUT),
M. Ødegaard(QUES),
B. White(QUES)
Referee
Thomas BRAMALL
Prediction
Arsenal (-2.5) @1.70
Arsenal currently dominates the Premier League and brings an elite offensive unit to Mansfield. Averaging 2.8 goals per away game, they have the firepower to overwhelm lower league defenses quickly. Gabriel Jesus is particularly effective in these scenarios, boasting 20 goal involvements in 19 cup games against non top flight teams. The gulf in quality is simply too vast for the hosts to bridge.
Mansfield enters this contest in poor form, sitting 16th in League One with only 1 win in 10 games. Their defense is depleted by injuries to Ryan Sweeney and Baily Cargill, making it unlikely they can stop Arsenal's relentless pressure. With the Gunners looking to secure a quadruple, they will not take their foot off the gas even with a comfortable lead during the second half.
Professional analysis of Both Teams to Score Today demands access to high-fidelity data. XpertStats offers an expansive feature catalog, highlighting offensive efficiency and goal-scoring frequency across all major global fixtures. Leverage our H2H archives and home/away standings to identify the strongest statistical candidates for every matchday. Explore XpertStats now to utilize our probability comparisons and discover how our deep-dive metrics can transform your approach to the beautiful game.
FAQ – Mansfield vs Arsenal Prediction
Who will win between Mansfield and Arsenal?
Arsenal are overwhelming favourites due to their top position in the Premier League and an average of 2.8 goals scored in away matches.
Where can I watch Mansfield vs Arsenal live?
The Mansfield vs Arsenal FA Cup match will be broadcast live on TNT Sports 1 and ESPN.
What time does Mansfield vs Arsenal start?
Kick-off is scheduled for 12:15(GMT) on Saturday, March 07, 2026.
How did Mansfield reach this stage of the competition?
Mansfield completed a massive shock in the previous round by eliminating Burnley with a 2-1 away victory.
What is the injury news for Arsenal?
The Gunners are missing Mikel Merino, while William Saliba and Martin Odegaard are currently listed as touch and go for this trip.
Alexandru Florin is a football betting expert, providing tips and accumulator predictions for xpertstats.com since 2022. With a strong focus on data-driven analysis, he delivers well-researched insights and reliable advice for bettors aiming for long-term profit.