Leeds vs Sunderland Prediction and Betting Tips for this Tuesday night clash at Elland Road. Stuart Attwell is the man in the middle for this March 03, 2026 fixture. Fans can catch the action live on NBC or Peacock starting from 19:30 GMT in what promises tension.
Both sides are desperate for points to climb the table. Leeds has seen BTTS in 64% of their matches this season, while Sunderland struggles on the road. You can Discover Premier League Predictions from our experts to help guide your wagers for this interesting match-up.
Leeds vs Sunderland Key Facts and Stats
Leeds United has managed to pick up 5 points from their last 5 league outings recently.
Both teams have scored in 64% of the matches involving Leeds United so far this season.
Sunderland has failed to find the net in 36% of their games throughout this current campaign.
The visitors average just 0.5 goals scored per match when playing away from their home ground.
Leeds United currently holds the 13th best home record in the league with 22 total points.
Sunderland sits 17th in the away standings having secured only 2 wins on their travels lately.
Spectacular style of football with 64% of matches ending in BTTS.
Strong offensive intent evidenced by an average of 14.14 shots per match.
Disciplined corner defense allowing only 4.43 corners per game at home.
Decent home scoring record with 1.57 goals per match this campaign.
- Leeds's Weaknesses
Currently sitting in a disappointing 15th position in the overall standings.
Vulnerable defensive line conceding an average of 1.36 goals per match.
Aggressive approach leading to key players picking up many yellow cards.
League Position
12
+ Sunderland's Strengths
Respectable league position of 12th keeps them away from relegation trouble.
Calm defensive approach resulting in a low cards average away.
Effective at limiting set piece opportunities with 5.36 corners conceded away.
Decent defensive organization allowing 1.5 goals per match on travels.
- Sunderland's Weaknesses
Extremely weak attack averaging just 0.5 goals per match away.
Poor road form sees the team sitting 17th in away standings.
Lack of offensive pressure shown by only 8.57 shots per match.
Match Preview
Daniel Farke’s men sit 15th in the standings, but their home form is slightly more encouraging. Dominic Calvert-Lewin leads the line with 10 goals this season, averaging 0.51 per 90 minutes. He remains their biggest threat, especially if Brenden Aaronson can find him with creative passes.
Defensively, Leeds can be a bit leaky, conceding 1.36 goals per match at Elland Road. Ethan Ampadu is the anchor in midfield but must be careful as he already has 7 yellow cards. Jayden Bogle is another who often finds himself in the book quite frequently.
The Whites are missing Noah Okafor who is officially out for this clash. Gabriel Gudmundsson will need to be disciplined on the flank to avoid adding to his 4 cards. Anton Stach might provide a goal threat from deep, having already scored 4 times this season.
Sunderland heads into this fixture 12th overall but their away form is a major concern. They have only scored 7 goals in 14 away matches, which is a worryingly low average. Missing top scorer Brian Brobbey due to injury certainly makes their attacking task much harder.
Régis Le Bris will look to Granit Xhaka for leadership in the middle of the park. The veteran has 4 yellow cards and will face a tough battle against the Leeds runners. Defensively, Trai Hume and Noah Sadiki are both high on the card list this year.
Wilson Isidor and Enzo Le Fée will need to step up in the absence of Brobbey to find goals. Le Fée has 4 goals but also 5 yellow cards, showing his aggressive nature. It will be a tight battle where Premier League Predictions suggest a low scoring performance.
Leeds United are set to appeal Daniel Farke’s red card following their Premier League clash with Manchester City. The manager was dismissed at Elland Road for allegedly confronting referee Peter Bankes, though Farke maintains he said nothing before the card was shown. The club plans to use "ref cam" footage as evidence. Consequently, Farke should remain in the dugout for the upcoming pivotal fixture against Sunderland.
J. Bogle, J. Justin, J. Bijol, P. Struijk, G. Gudmundsson
MF
A. Stach, E. Ampadu, I. Gruev B. Aaronson
FW
D. Calvert-Lewin
OUT
J. Rodon(QUES),
N. Okafor(OUT)
Sunderland (4-2-3-1)
Régis Le Bris
GK
R. Roefs
DF
L. Geertruida, D. Ballard, O. Alderete, T. Hume
MF
N. Sadiki, G. Xhaka C. Talbi, H. Diarra, E. Le Fée
FW
E. Mayenda
OUT
N. Mukiele(OUT),
B. Brobbey(OUT),
J. Ta Bi(OUT),
R. Mundle(OUT),
D. Cirkin(OUT),
R. Mandava(OUT)
Referee
Stuart ATTWELL
Prediction
Leeds to Win @1.95
Leeds United holds a significant advantage playing at Elland Road where they have earned 22 points. Their home scoring average of 1.57 goals per match contrasts sharply with Sunderland's poor defensive record on the road. With Dominic Calvert-Lewin in form, scoring 10 goals so far, the hosts have the offensive firepower necessary to break down a visitor lacking their main striker tonight.
Sunderland's away form is among the worst in the division, sitting 17th in the road standings. They have only managed 2 wins in 14 away trips while scoring a meager 0.5 goals per match. Without Brian Brobbey to lead the line, the Black Cats will struggle to threaten the Leeds goal. This lack of scoring power makes a home win very likely here.
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FAQ – Leeds vs Sunderland Prediction
Who will win between Leeds and Sunderland?
Leeds United are the favorites to win due to their superior home form and Sunderland's struggles to score goals away from home.
Where can I watch Leeds vs Sunderland live?
The Leeds vs Sunderland Premier League match will be broadcast live on NBC and Peacock in the USA.
What time does Leeds vs Sunderland start?
Kick-off is scheduled for 19:30 (GMT) on Tuesday, March 03, 2026.
Is Brian Brobbey playing for Sunderland?
No, Brian Brobbey is listed as out for this match, which is a significant blow for the visiting side's attack.
Who is the referee for the match?
Stuart Attwell has been appointed as the match referee for this fixture at Elland Road.
Alexandru Florin is a football betting expert, providing tips and accumulator predictions for xpertstats.com since 2022. With a strong focus on data-driven analysis, he delivers well-researched insights and reliable advice for bettors aiming for long-term profit.
