Everton vs Burnley Prediction and Betting Tips for this Premier League clash on Tuesday, March 03, 2026, at 19:30 GMT. The match kicks off at Hill Dickinson Stadium with Peacock and NBC broadcasting it live. In this article, you will Discover Premier League Predictions from our experts.
The hosts are in 8th place while the Clarets sit 19th in the standings. Burnley matches are usually high scoring affairs with a 100% record for over 1.5 goals away. Everton has picked up 1.4 points per game recently, scoring 7 times in their last 5 fixtures.
Everton vs Burnley Key Facts and Stats
Burnley has seen at least two goals in every single away match during this current season.
Everton averages a solid 5.43 corners won per game when playing at Hill Dickinson Stadium.
The visitors have managed to remain unbeaten in their last two matches played away from home.
Both teams have scored in 79% of the away fixtures involving Burnley so far this year.
Everton has successfully collected 7 points from their previous 5 matches in the English top flight.
Zian Flemming is the danger man for the visitors with 6 goals and a high strike rate.
Ranks 2nd in the league for goals conceded on the road
Top 3 team for winning fouls with an average of 12
High average of over 1.5 goals in 79% of home matches
- Everton's Weaknesses
Low average points per game at home of only 1.14
High number of cards received averaging 2.29 per match
Poor attacking accuracy with only 3.86 shots on target
League Position
19
+ Burnley's Strengths
Incredible 100% record for over 1.5 goals in away games
Spectacular style with 79% of away matches seeing BTTS
Currently enjoying an unbeaten run of 2 away matches
- Burnley's Weaknesses
Ranks as the worst away defense conceding 2.36 goals
Very low average of shots per away match at 8.36
Struggling in the bottom 4 for away points per game
Match Preview
David Moyes has Everton playing with grit. Thierno Barry leads the line with 5 goals, while Iliman Ndiaye adds flair. Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall is crucial in midfield, having scored 5 times this season. His ability to draw fouls and control the tempo will be vital today.
The Toffees are missing Jack Grealish and Carlos Alcaraz, which definitely limits their creative options out wide. Still, with James Tarkowski and Jarrad Branthwaite at the back, they remain physically imposing. Jordan Pickford will need to be sharp to keep the visitors at bay.
Everton wins a solid 5.43 corners per home game. This reflects their direct style of play under Moyes. If Beto comes on, his 0.3 goals per 90 minutes could prove decisive. They need to improve their 1.14 points per match home record.
Scott Parker faces a massive challenge in the relegation scrap. Burnley is missing seven players, including Josh Cullen and Zeki Amdouni. Zian Flemming is their main threat with 6 goals. He averages 0.59 goals per 90 minutes, making him the one to watch.
The Clarets have a terrible defensive record on the road, conceding 2.36 goals per game. However, they are unbeaten in their last two away matches. Hannibal Mejbri will likely start in a creative role, despite his high card frequency of 0.67 per match.
Every single Burnley away game this year has seen at least two goals. They play an open style that often leaves them vulnerable. If they want to survive, they must improve their 0.64 away points per game. Look for Discover Premier League Predictions as kickoff approaches.
Everton aims for consecutive Premier League wins as they host Burnley on Tuesday. Manager David Moyes is expected to make key changes, potentially replacing goalscorer Beto with Thierno Barry to maintain squad freshness. Meanwhile, Jarrad Branthwaite looks set to retain his place at center-back alongside James Tarkowski following his impressive display against Newcastle. These rotations are crucial as the Toffees push for a European qualification spot.
J. O'Brien, J. Tarkowski, J. Branthwaite, V. Mykolenko
MF
J. Garner, I. Gueye D. McNeil, K. Dewsbury-Hall, I. Ndiaye
FW
Beto
OUT
C. Alcaraz(OUT),
J. Grealish(OUT)
Burnley (3-4-2-1)
Scott Parker
GK
M. Dúbravka
DF
B. Humphreys, J. Worrall, M. Estève
MF
J. Laurent, J. Ward-Prowse, H. Mejbri, L. Pires J. B. Larsen, J. Anthony
FW
Z. Flemming
OUT
J. Cullen(OUT),
Z. Amdouni(OUT),
A. Tuanzebe(OUT),
A. Broja(OUT),
C. Roberts(OUT),
J. Beyer(OUT),
M. Trésor(OUT)
Referee
Tim ROBINSON
Prediction
Over 1.5 Goals
Burnley has established a very consistent pattern when playing away from home this season. Every single one of their 14 road trips has produced at least 2 goals. This 100% record is a massive indicator for bettors looking at total goals. Scott Parker tends to set his side up to be adventurous, which often leads to open matches with plenty of scoring chances created.
Everton is not far behind when it comes to seeing goals at the Hill Dickinson Stadium. About 79% of their home fixtures have cleared the 1.5 goal line during this campaign. With Thierno Barry and Iliman Ndiaye in the starting lineup, the Toffees have enough individual quality to find the net. Given Burnley's defensive struggles, expecting at least 2 goals seems like a very safe play.
Everton Over 3.5 Corners
Everton has been very effective at generating corner kicks when playing in front of their home fans. They currently average 5.43 corners won per match at the Hill Dickinson Stadium. This high volume is a direct result of their attacking style, which frequently utilizes wide players like Dwight McNeil. They look to cross the ball often, leading to many deflections and cleared balls over the goal line.
Burnley has a tendency to concede a large number of corners when playing away. They allow an average of 6.43 corners to their opponents on the road, which is one of the highest figures in the league. This defensive vulnerability plays right into Everton's hands. With the Toffees needing a win to stay in the top half, they will likely press forward and easily clear 3.5 corners.
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FAQ – Everton vs Burnley Prediction
Who is the favorite to win between Everton and Burnley?
Everton enters as the favorite due to their superior league position and Burnley's defensive struggles on the road, where they concede 2.36 goals per game.
What is the most likely goal outcome for this match?
Statistics suggest a high scoring game; Burnley has seen over 1.5 goals in 100% of their away matches this season.
Where can I watch Everton vs Burnley live?
The Everton vs Burnley Premier League match will be broadcast live on Peacock and NBC in the USA.
What time does Everton vs Burnley start?
Kick-off is scheduled for 19:30 (GMT) on Tuesday, March 03, 2026.
Which key players are missing for Burnley?
Burnley will be without seven players, including Josh Cullen, Zeki Amdouni, and Axel Tuanzebe, due to injuries and unavailability.
Alexandru Florin is a football betting expert, providing tips and accumulator predictions for xpertstats.com since 2022. With a strong focus on data-driven analysis, he delivers well-researched insights and reliable advice for bettors aiming for long-term profit.
