Udinese vs Fiorentina Prediction and Betting Tips for the match at Stadio Friuli on Monday, March 02, 2026, at 19:45 GMT. This fixture features Luca Pairetto as the main referee. US fans can follow the broadcast details on Paramount+ or Fox to see this intense tactical battle live.
The home side currently sits 12th in the table, showing inconsistent form with 1.2 points per game recently. They face a Fiorentina squad that has gone 3 games without defeat. This article provides expert insights and Today's Serie A Predictions for all football fans and bettors.
Udinese vs Fiorentina Key Facts and Stats
Udinese has seen both teams score in 58% of their total matches during this current season.
Fiorentina is on a 3 match unbeaten run and has scored in 9 consecutive league games.
The visitors struggle on the road with an average of only 0.85 points per away match.
Nicolò Zaniolo is a primary disciplinary concern for the hosts, averaging 2.81 fouls per 90 minute stint.
Fiorentina suffers 15.38 fouls per away game, which is the highest rate in the entire league.
Udinese will be without their top scorer Keinan Davis who is officially listed as out today.
High intensity style with an average of 14.69 fouls committed per home match.
Solid mid-table performance at home with an average of 1.23 points per match.
Attractive football for fans with 58% of all seasonal matches ending in BTTS.
- Udinese's Weaknesses
Low offensive output at home averaging only 1 goal scored per match.
Defensive vulnerabilities at the Friuli conceding 1.38 goals per game on average.
Poor shot efficiency with only 3.69 shots on target per game at home.
League Position
16
+ Fiorentina's Strengths
Ranked 1st in the league for fouls won away with 15.38 per match.
Spectacular playing style with 69% of matches seeing both teams find the net.
Aggressive defensive pressing averaging 13.54 fouls committed in road fixtures.
- Fiorentina's Weaknesses
Bottom 4 team for away performance with only 0.85 points per match.
Weak defensive record on the road conceding 1.54 goals per game.
Match Preview
Kosta Runjaic has a difficult puzzle to solve this Monday night. The absence of Keinan Davis is a massive blow, as he leads the team with 7 goals. Without him, the hosts might struggle to break down the Fiorentina backline in this crucial Serie A clash.
Nicolò Zaniolo will be the man to watch for the Zebrette. He has scored 5 goals this season but is also known for his aggression. With 2.81 fouls per 90 minutes, he could easily find himself in the referee's book early in the game.
Defensively, Udinese must be wary of their 1.38 goals conceded average at home. Oumar Solet is currently doubtful, which adds more pressure to the defensive unit. Still, the home crowd will be vocal as they look to improve their 9-5-12 record for the season.
Paolo Vanoli brings his Fiorentina side to Udine with several injury headaches. Missing David De Gea and Robin Gosens hurts their defensive stability significantly. Furthermore, the suspension of Dodo leaves a void on the right flank that the hosts might exploit during the match.
In attack, Moise Kean is the main threat with 8 goals, though he remains a major doubt. If he is unavailable, Roberto Piccoli will likely lead the line. Piccoli has only 2 goals this season, which might limit the visitors' offensive potential in this away trip.
The Viola have been entertaining, with BTTS landing in 69% of their games. However, their 0.85 points per away match is a concern for fans. They will need a disciplined performance to find success in our Today's Serie A Predictions tonight.
Fiorentina coach Paolo Vanoli has named a 22-man squad for the upcoming match against Udinese at the Bluenergy Stadium. The Viola must navigate several key absences, as Dodo is suspended and Manor Solomon remains sidelined following an injury against Jagiellonia. With Lamptey and Lezzerini also out, Vanoli will depend on David De Gea and Moise Kean to lead the team during this challenging away fixture.
J. Ekkelenkamp, N. Bertola, O. Solet, T. Kristensen
MF
J. Karlström, L. Miller A. Atta, J. Zemura
FW
N. Zaniolo, V. I. Bayo
OUT
A. Zanoli(OUT),
H. Kamara(QUES),
K. Davis(OUT),
O. Solet(QUES)
Fiorentina (4-4-2)
Paolo Vanoli
GK
L. Lezzerini
DF
N. Fortini, P. Comuzzo, L. Ranieri, R. Gosens
MF
R. Mandragora, C. Ndour J. Harrison, J. Fazzini
FW
G. Fabbian, R. Piccoli
OUT
A. Sabiri(OUT),
T. Lamptey(OUT),
D. De Gea(OUT),
M. Kean(QUES),
A. Gudmundsson(QUES),
M. Solomon(QUES),
Dodo(OUT),
R. Gosens(OUT),
L. Lezzerini(OUT)
Referee
Luca PAIRETTO
Prediction
Over 26.5 Fouls @1.51
Both teams show aggressive profiles in recent Serie A fixtures. Udinese averages 14.69 fouls committed at home, while Fiorentina suffers 15.38 fouls per away match. This clash of styles creates a high probability of frequent whistles throughout the 90 minutes of play. Referee Luca Pairetto often maintains tight control, which aligns perfectly with the current statistical trends involving these two Italian sides.
The tactical setups favored by Runjaic and Vanoli prioritize physical duels in the middle of the pitch. With key players like Nicolò Zaniolo committing 2.81 fouls per 90 minutes, the intensity will surely remain high. Statistics indicate an overall average of 28.3 fouls per match for this specific pairing. Expecting over 26.5 fouls seems like a very logical choice given these historical figures.
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FAQ – Udinese vs Fiorentina Prediction
Who is the favorite to win between Udinese and Fiorentina?
The match is very balanced, but Udinese has a slight edge at home due to Fiorentina's poor away form of only 0.85 points per match.
Where can I watch the Udinese vs Fiorentina live?
The Udinese vs Fiorentina Serie A match will be broadcast live on Paramount+ and Fox in the United States.
What time does Udinese vs Fiorentina start?
Kick-off is scheduled for 19:45 (GMT) on Monday, March 02, 2026.
Which key players are missing for Udinese?
Udinese will be missing their top goalscorer Keinan Davis and defender A. Zanoli, while Oumar Solet remains doubtful for the start.
What is the recommended betting tip for this game?
Based on the high aggression of both teams, Over 26.5 Fouls is a strong selection given the average of 28.3 fouls per match.
Alexandru Florin is a football betting expert, providing tips and accumulator predictions for xpertstats.com since 2022. With a strong focus on data-driven analysis, he delivers well-researched insights and reliable advice for bettors aiming for long-term profit.
