Hull vs Chelsea Prediction and Betting Tips, scheduled for Friday, February 13, 2026, at 19:45 GMT. The match will be broadcast live on TNT Sports 1 and ESPN from the MKM Stadium in Hull. Fans are buzzing to see if Hull can finally break a long winless streak.
The historical data is not kind to the Tigers, who have not beaten the Blues since 1988. That is a long time to wait for a result. Still, cup magic is always possible. In this article, you will discover FA Cup Predictions from XpertStats tipsters.
Hull vs Chelsea Key Facts and Stats
Hull have struggled against Chelsea for years, failing to win in their last 16 meetings.
The Tigers enter this fixture after losing their most recent home game against Bristol City.
Chelsea manager Liam Rosenior returns to his former club where he was dismissed in 2024.
Chelsea have found the net at least three times in four of their last six matches.
Forward Oliver McBurnie remains the primary goal threat for the hosts with 12 goals scored.
The Blues have dominated past cup ties, winning five consecutive FA Cup games against Hull.
Currently missing 6 players due to various injuries
+ Chelsea's Strengths
Scored 3 or more goals in 4 of last 6 matches
Won 5 consecutive FA Cup meetings against the Tigers
Secured 7 wins from their last 10 games
- Chelsea's Weaknesses
Conceded 2 late goals in their previous league match
Missing key defenders like Cucurella and Levi Colwill
Match Preview
Hull comes into this match following a frustrating 3:2 defeat at home to Bristol City. Despite Oliver McBurnie finding the net, the defense looked shaky. Liam Rosenior knows exactly how the Tigers tick, which might give the visitors a tactical edge during the full 90 minutes.
The hosts are dealing with a significant injury list that could hamper their chances. Players like Semi Ajayi and Mohamed Belloumi are out with hamstring issues. This leaves a gap in the squad that others must fill if they want to reach the fifth round properly.
Ryan Giles will be a crucial figure on the left flank for the Tigers. His 8 assists this season show he can deliver quality balls into the box. If Joe Gelhardt and McBurnie get the right service, they might actually test the Chelsea back line tonight.
Chelsea arrives after a chaotic 2:2 draw against Leeds United on Tuesday night. João Pedro and Cole Palmer both scored, showing that the Blues have plenty of firepower. Still, throwing away a lead late in the game suggests there is some work to be done.
Injuries are stacking up for the Londoners as well. Marc Cucurella is a major doubt after being subbed off early against Leeds. They are also missing Levi Colwill and Jamie Gittens, so the defensive rotation will be tested under the bright stadium lights here.
Liam Rosenior will surely feel the emotion of returning to his old stomping ground on Friday. He has turned Chelsea into a winning machine lately, taking 7 victories from 10 games. It is a big night for his tactical FA Cup Predictions and personal pride.
Chelsea head coach Liam Rosenior returns to former club Hull City for a high-stakes FA Cup fourth-round clash at the MKM Stadium. While Mamadou Sarr is set to feature after his Strasbourg recall, the Blues face defensive hurdles with Marc Cucurella ruled out through injury. Captain Reece James remains a doubt due to illness as Chelsea looks to maintain intensity following a frustrating draw against Leeds.
L. Coyle, R. Slater, J. Lundstram, R. Giles J. Gelhardt
FW
M. Joseph, O. McBurnie
OUT
M. Belloumi(QUES),
C. Drameh(OUT),
D. Gyabi(OUT),
E. Matazo(OUT),
M. Crooks(OUT),
S. Ajayi(OUT)
Chelsea (4-2-3-1)
Liam Rosenior
GK
R. Sánchez
DF
M. Gusto, J. Acheampong, T. Chalobah, M. Cucurella
MF
M. Caicedo, A. Santos E. Estevao, C. Palmer, E. Fernández
FW
J. Pedro
OUT
R. James(QUES),
T. Adarabioyo(QUES),
F. Jörgensen(OUT),
M. Cucurella(OUT),
L. Colwill(OUT),
D. Essugo(OUT),
R. Lavia(OUT),
J. Gittens(OUT),
M. Mudryk(OUT)
Prediction
Chelsea to Win
Chelsea enters this fixture with a massive psychological advantage over their hosts. They have won 34 of the 48 historical meetings between these sides. The Blues are currently on an 8 match winning streak against Hull City in all competitions. This dominance suggests that the visitors possess the tactical superiority required to secure a result. Their recent form of 7 wins in 10 is strong.
The Tigers are struggling for momentum at home after a 3:2 loss to Bristol City. They have failed to beat Chelsea in nearly 38 years which is a daunting statistic for any squad. With Liam Rosenior knowing the Hull roster intimately he can exploit their defensive gaps. Given the gap in quality between the Premier League and Championship a Chelsea victory is the most logical outcome.
Over 1.5 Goals
Chelsea has been in prolific scoring form recently. They have managed to score 3 or more goals in 4 of their previous 6 matches. This attacking potency is difficult for Championship defenses to contain over 90 minutes. With players like Cole Palmer in the lineup finding the net at least twice seems very likely for the visitors. Their games are usually high scoring and entertaining lately.
Hull is also capable of contributing to the scoreline at the MKM Stadium. They have failed to score in only 1 of their last 6 fixtures. Even in their recent 3:2 loss they showed they can find gaps in the opposition defense. Both teams have enough offensive quality to ensure that more than 1 goal is scored. Defensive injuries on both sides further support this prediction.
Refine your match predictions by leveraging our league-wide benchmarking and detailed personnel stats. XpertStats allows you to compare PPG rankings and player appearances across every league, giving you a complete view of squad consistency. For those seeking the highest quality Betting Tips Accumulators, our deep-dive performance metrics and H2H archives provide the statistical clarity required to stay ahead of the game with every fixture.
FAQ – Hull vs Chelsea Prediction
Who is the favorite to win between Hull and Chelsea?
Chelsea are the favorites due to their Premier League status and historical dominance over Hull City.
Where can I watch Hull vs Chelsea live?
The Hull vs Chelsea FA Cup match will be broadcast live on TNT Sports 1 and ESPN.
What time does Hull vs Chelsea start?
Kick-off is scheduled for 19:45 (GMT) on Friday February 13, 2026.
Does Liam Rosenior have a history with Hull City?
Yes, the current Chelsea manager was previously the head coach of Hull City until May 2024.
How many goals has Oliver McBurnie scored for Hull?
The Scottish striker has been in good form this season, netting 12 goals for the Tigers so far.
Alexandru Florin is a football betting expert, providing tips and accumulator predictions for xpertstats.com since 2022. With a strong focus on data-driven analysis, he delivers well-researched insights and reliable advice for bettors aiming for long-term profit.
