Brentford vs Arsenal Prediction and Betting Tips kicks off on Thursday, February 12, 2025, at 20:00 GMT. This intense London derby takes place at the Gtech Community Stadium with John Brooks officiating. Fans can catch the action live on NBC and Peacock as the Gunners look to extend their lead.
Arsenal arrives as league leaders with 56 points, while Brentford sits 6th after a solid campaign. The visitors boast the best defense in the division, conceding only 17 goals. You can find more Top Rated Premier League Predictions here as we break down this crucial clash.
Brentford vs Arsenal Key Facts and Stats
Arsenal remains unbeaten in 19 of their last 20 away London derbies across the seasons.
The Gunners kept four clean sheets in their last five outings while conceding only three goals.
Brentford forward Igor Thiago has netted 17 goals this season including nine in ten home games.
Mikel Arteta’s side has failed to score in their last three Premier League matches played Thursdays.
The Bees secured nine points from their last five matches averaging 1.8 points per fixture.
Viktor Gyokeres is the most prolific Premier League player in 2026 with six goals so far.
Strong home form with an average of 2.00 points per match this season.
Offensive threat at home averaging 1.92 goals scored per game, ranking 4th.
Solid defensive record at the Gtech with only 1.00 goals conceded per match.
Igor Thiago is in peak form with 17 goals and 0.72 goals per 90.
- Brentford's Weaknesses
Lowest corner count won at home in the league with only 4.00 average.
Defensive vulnerability on set pieces conceding 4.92 corners per match at home.
Low average of fouls won at home sitting at a weak 9.50 per game.
League Position
1st
+ Arsenal's Strengths
Best away record in the Premier League with a high 2.00 PPG.
Most clinical defense in the division conceding just 0.75 goals per away game.
Dominant in corners won away from home with a league high 6.42 average.
Excellent corner defense on the road conceding only 3.75 per match.
- Arsenal's Weaknesses
Low average of fouls won away from home sitting at 9.67 per match.
Negative omen on Thursdays failing to score in their last three such games.
Match Preview
Brentford manager Keith Andrews is looking to build on recent momentum after beating Aston Villa and Newcastle. The Bees are surprisingly 6th in the table and dream of European qualification. Still, they must cope without the suspended Kevin Schade, which is a massive blow for their attacking rotation today.
In Schade's absence, Dango Ouattara will likely start. He has been efficient with 5 goals and a 0.35 goals per 90 average. If Keith Andrews sticks to his 3.5.2 system, the midfield battle involving Vitaly Janelt and Yehor Yarmoliuk becomes the most decisive factor for the hosts.
The hosts have turned the Gtech into a fortress this season. They average 1.92 goals scored per home match, which ranks 4th in the league. However, their defense will be tested by a clinical Arsenal attack that seems to have recovered from its mid.season slump very effectively.
Mikel Arteta expressed concerns about Bukayo Saka and Martin Odegaard, who are currently listed as doubtful. Their absence would be felt, but Viktor Gyokeres is in red.hot form. He averages 0.48 goals per 90 minutes and already has 8 league goals to his name this campaign.
Defensively, Arsenal is elite. They concede just 0.75 goals per away game, the best mark in the Premier League. With William Saliba and Gabriel commanding the backline, they have kept 13 clean sheets. This defensive steel is exactly what you need to win a tight London derby.
Wait, we should also watch out for Martin Zubimendi. He is having a career.best scoring season with 5 goals. His ability to arrive late in the box is a secret weapon for Arteta. He will be crucial for those looking at Top Rated Premier League Predictions options.
Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta remains focused on maintaining stability as the Gunners prepare for their Premier League clash against Brentford. Addressing the media, Arteta provided injury updates on Mikel Merino, following his recent surgery, and noted that Max remains unavailable. Despite the distractions of the title race and Thomas Frank’s dismissal at Tottenham, Arteta emphasized the importance of squad chemistry and performance consistency to sustain Arsenal's title momentum.
M. Kayode, V. Janelt, Y. Yarmolyuk, M. Jensen, K. Lewis-Potter
FW
I. Thiago, D. Ouattara
OUT
A. Milambo(OUT),
F. Carvalho(OUT),
K. Schade(OUT),
J. Dasilva(OUT),
R. Nelson(OUT)
Arsenal (4-3-3)
Mikel Arteta
GK
D. Raya
DF
J. Timber, W. Saliba, Gabriel, P. Hincapié
MF
K. Havertz, M. Zubimendi, D. Rice
FW
N. Madueke, V. Gyökeres, G. Martinelli
OUT
M. Merino(OUT),
M. Dowman(OUT),
B. Saka(OUT),
L. Trossard(QUES),
M. Ødegaard(QUES)
Referee
John BROOKS
Prediction
Arsenal to Win @1.72
Arsenal currently dominates the Premier League standings with a 6 point lead and the best defensive record. They concede only 0.75 goals per away match, which makes them incredibly difficult to break down. Even with some injuries, the Gunners have won 4 games in a row. Their record in London derbies is nearly perfect, having avoided defeat in 19 of their last 20 away city trips.
Viktor Gyokeres is the most dangerous striker in the league right now with 6 goals since January started. He will lead an attack that faces a Brentford side missing key players like Kevin Schade. While the Bees are strong at home, Arsenal’s superior tactical setup and bench depth should prevail. Expect the league leaders to show their championship pedigree and secure another vital 3 points.
Discipline often dictates the tempo of a match, making it an essential metric for serious analysts. By tracking our updated Fouls Stats, you can identify patterns that others miss, from persistent offenders to specific referee card thresholds. XpertStats also offers a complete catalog featuring daily match calendars, BTTS probabilities, and home/away favorites. Explore our full range of statistical tools to transform your approach to global football data.
FAQ – Brentford vs Arsenal Prediction
Who will win between Brentford and Arsenal?
Arsenal are the favorites due to their league leader status and the best defensive record, but Brentford's home form makes them a dangerous opponent.
Where can I watch the Brentford vs Arsenal live?
The Brentford vs Arsenal Premier League match will be broadcast live on NBC and Peacock.
What time does Brentford vs Arsenal start?
Kick-off is scheduled for 20:00(GMT) on Thursday February 12, 2026.
Who is the referee for the match?
The match will be officiated by John Brooks at the Gtech Community Stadium.
Which players are missing for Brentford and Arsenal?
Brentford is missing Kevin Schade, Fabio Carvalho, and Josh Dasilva, while Arsenal is without Mikel Merino and likely Bukayo Saka.
Alexandru Florin is a football betting expert, providing tips and accumulator predictions for xpertstats.com since 2022. With a strong focus on data-driven analysis, he delivers well-researched insights and reliable advice for bettors aiming for long-term profit.
