Bayer Leverkusen vs St Pauli Prediction Prediction and Betting Tips
Bayer Leverkusen vs St Pauli Prediction and Betting Tips, scheduled for Tuesday, February 3, 2026, at 19:45 GMT. The match will be broadcast live on ESPN and Sky Go Germany from the BayArena in Leverkusen. This DFB Pokal Predictions guide covers all the vital details for fans.
The Werkself comes into this clash after a solid 3:1 win against Frankfurt, showing great rhythm lately. Still, they are missing several starters which could complicate things for Hjulmand. St Pauli travels south as the heavy underdog, hoping their previous cup giant killings can provide enough confidence.
Bayer Leverkusen vs St Pauli Key Facts and Stats
Leverkusen won three of their last five matches including a dominant victory over Eintracht Frankfurt.
The visiting side remains winless in 2026 and currently sits seventeenth in the Bundesliga standings.
The hosts have not lost to this specific opponent in any of their last five meetings.
St Pauli has already eliminated two top tier teams from this competition during their current run.
Defensive injuries to Nemeth and Wahl leave the visitors significantly weakened for this quarter final match.
Bayer Leverkusen has scored in every single one of their last five encounters with St Pauli.
High offensive threat with average of over 1.80 goals scored per match.
Strong ball control with low average of fouls committed under 10.0 per game.
Excellent home performance with a high average of points per game at BayArena.
Top 3 in the ranking for shots on target with over 5.5 average.
- Bayer Leverkusen's Weaknesses
Defensive depth issues due to multiple key injuries in the back line.
Vulnerability to counter attacks when the initial high press is bypassed.
Struggles with slow starts in games where they fail to score early.
+ St Pauli's Strengths
Proven ability to eliminate higher ranked teams in knockout cup competitions.
New signings like Hara provide fresh energy and a different attacking outlet.
High percentage of spectacular matches with over 2.5 goals in recent outings.
- St Pauli's Weaknesses
Poor away form with low points per game average on the road.
High average of goals conceded per match especially in the second half.
Weak attacking presence with average of shots per match under 10.5 lately.
Match Preview
Bayer Leverkusen is currently riding a wave of confidence after their recent dominant results. The 3:1 victory over Frankfurt showed exactly how dangerous they can be when Tillman is on his game. They play with a level of technical precision that is very hard for underdogs to match.
That said, Hjulmand has to deal with a bit of an injury crisis right now. Without Flekken in goal and several creative players like Ben Seghir unavailable, the burden falls on Schick and Grimaldo. They need to find a way to stay balanced defensively throughout the night.
Even so, the BayArena remains a fortress where the local fans expect a semi final berth. Their passing sequences and high possession stats suggest they will dominate the ball from the whistle. It is all about finishing those early chances to avoid any unnecessary late drama.
St Pauli arrives in Leverkusen with a massive point to prove to their traveling supporters. Their league form has been quite disappointing, sitting near the bottom after a string of losses. However, the cup seems to bring out a completely different side of this squad.
They have already shocked Hoffenheim and Gladbach, showing they can punch well above their weight. With new additions like Hara and Rasmussen, there is a sense of unpredictability about them. They will likely sit deep and look for quick transitions to catch the hosts.
Still, the loss of Afolayan and injuries to Wahl and Nemeth are heavy blows to their structure. They need a perfect game from Vasilj between the sticks to stay alive. Success in these DFB Pokal Predictions often relies on such heroic individual efforts at the back.
Jeanuel Belocian has joined VfL Wolfsburg on loan from Bayer Leverkusen for the remainder of the season. The 20-year-old French U-21 international seeks more playing time after struggling to find consistency following a long-term injury. Versatile enough to play as a left-back or center-back, Belocian aims to bolster Wolfsburg's defense while gaining valuable Bundesliga experience before returning to Leverkusen in the summer.
Bayer Leverkusen vs St Pauli Prediction Predicted Lineups
Leverkusen (3-4-2-1)
Kasper Hjulmand
GK
Blaswich
DF
R. Andrich, L. Badé, J. Quansah
MF
L. Vázquez, E. Palacios, A. García, A. Grimaldo E. Poku, J. Hofmann
FW
P. Schick
OUT
M. Flekken(OUT),
C. Kofane(OUT),
I. Maza(OUT),
N. Tella(OUT),
E. Ben Seghir(OUT)
St. Pauli (3-4-2-1)
Alexander Blessin
GK
N. Vasilj
DF
L. Ritzka, K. Mets, T. Ando
MF
M. Saliakas, J. Sands, E. Smith, A. Pyrka J. C. Fujita, D. Sinani
FW
R. Jones
OUT
H. Wahl(QUES),
A. Hountondji(OUT),
C. Metcalfe(OUT),
A. Dźwigała(OUT),
D. Nemeth(OUT),
S. Spari(OUT)
Prediction
Bayer Leverkusen to Win
Bayer Leverkusen has found their rhythm at the perfect time for this quarter final. With 3 victories in their last 5 outings, the home side is looking sharp. They recently dismantled Frankfurt 3:1 and showed class in European competition. Their home advantage at the BayArena is significant, making the 1.50 odds look quite reasonable for a team that historically dominates this specific fixture.
St Pauli is struggling deeply as they sit in 17th place within the Bundesliga standings. They have not managed a single victory since the start of 2026, which creates a huge psychological barrier. Missing key defenders like Nemeth and Wahl makes their task even harder against Schick and Tillman. It is difficult to see them surviving 90 minutes against such a high quality offensive setup.
Over 1.5 Goals
Matches involving Bayer Leverkusen rarely end without plenty of action in the final third. They have a high percentage of games that easily exceed the 1.5 goal threshold this season. With clinical finishers like Patrik Schick and the creative spark of Grimaldo, goals are almost guaranteed. Their offensive style naturally opens up the game, leading to high scoring opportunities for both sides involved.
St Pauli also contributes to higher scoring totals, even if it is often by conceding. They have seen over 1.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 head to head meetings with Leverkusen. Their defensive struggles are well documented, having conceded an average of 2.1 goals in their most recent league matches. This combination of a strong attack and a weak defense points to goals.
@ 1.70
Watch Bayer Leverkusen vs St Pauli Prediction Last Match Highlights
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FAQ – Bayer Leverkusen vs St Pauli Prediction
Who is the favorite to win between Bayer Leverkusen and St Pauli?
Bayer Leverkusen is the clear favorite given their home form and superior league position compared to a struggling St Pauli side.
Where can I watch Bayer Leverkusen vs St Pauli live?
The Bayer Leverkusen vs St Pauli DFB Pokal match will be broadcast live on ESPN and Sky Go Germany.
What time does the Bayer Leverkusen vs St Pauli match start?
Kick-off is scheduled for 19:45 (GMT) on Tuesday, February 3, 2026.
Are there any major injuries for Bayer Leverkusen?
Yes, Leverkusen will be without Flekken, Tella, and Ben Seghir, while Maza is considered very unlikely to feature due to knee issues.
Has St Pauli ever beaten Leverkusen in the cup?
St Pauli has historically struggled in this fixture, but they did famously eliminate Leverkusen from the competition back in 2007.
Alexandru Florin is a football betting expert, providing tips and accumulator predictions for xpertstats.com since 2022. With a strong focus on data-driven analysis, he delivers well-researched insights and reliable advice for bettors aiming for long-term profit.
