Marseille vs Lens Prediction and Betting Tips for this Saturday, January 24, 2026, at 20:05 GMT. The game will be broadcast live on Amazon Prime and beIN Connect from the iconic Stade Vélodrome. Fans are hoping for a thriller as third hosts first. Get Free Ligue 1 Predictions right now.
Marseille has picked up seven points from their last five matches. That is decent but not perfect for a title contender. Meanwhile, Lens is flying high with fifteen points from fifteen possible recently. This match is huge for the standings. Let's look at the key facts before the big kickoff tonight.
Marseille vs Lens Key Facts and Stats
Lens currently sits at the top of the table after winning five matches in a row recently.
Marseille averages a massive 2.67 goals per game when playing in front of their home fans.
The visiting side has kept three clean sheets in their previous five league matches quite recently.
Mason Greenwood leads the scoring charts for the home side with twelve goals so far this season.
Matches at the Vélodrome this year have seen an average of 3.78 goals per single game.
Lens is unbeaten in their last eight games and has not tasted defeat away since early November.
Best home attack in the league with 2.67 goals per match.
Excellent home PPG of 2.22, ranking 4th in the league standings.
Offensive style with a high average of 14.67 shots per match.
Spectacular style with 56% of home games seeing over 3.5 goals.
- Marseille's Weaknesses
Concedes an average of 1.11 goals per match at the Vélodrome.
Low average of fouls won suggests trouble entering opponent's half lately.
Struggles to win corners at home with a 5.22 average.
League Position
1
+ Lens's Strengths
Best defense in Ligue 1 with only 13 goals conceded.
Top of the away standings with an average of 2.11 PPG.
Solid defensive shape conceding only 3.67 corners per away match.
Attractive football with 67% of away games over 2.5 goals.
- Lens's Weaknesses
Aggressive play style with a high average of cards received.
Commits many fouls away from home averaging 14.22 per game.
Match Preview
Roberto De Zerbi has turned the Vélodrome into a fortress where goals are guaranteed lately. With an average of 2.67 goals scored per home match, they are the most dangerous hosts in France. The fans expect nothing less than total attack against the current league leaders on Saturday.
Mason Greenwood is the man to watch after netting twelve times already this campaign. His partnership with Aubameyang has been vital for Marseille's rise to third place. However, they have failed to score in two of their last five games, which is a bit worrying for the fans.
Defensively, there are still some question marks for the home side to answer tonight. They concede over a goal per game at home on average. Keeping the Lens attackers quiet will require a lot of discipline from Balerdi and Medina throughout the ninety minutes of play tonight.
Lens arrives at the Vélodrome with massive momentum after winning five games on the bounce. They are currently top of the table for a reason. Their away form is also the best in the league, averaging 2.11 points per game on their travels recently throughout January.
Pierre Sage has built a very solid defensive unit that has only conceded thirteen goals all season. That is the best record in the division by some distance. With three clean sheets in their last five, they will be confident of frustrating the Marseille attack once again.
Wesley Saïd and Odsonne Édouard are the primary threats for the visitors in this big game. They have fifteen goals between them and can exploit any space left by Marseille's attacking full backs. It will be interesting to see if they can maintain their Ligue 1 Predictions form.
Roberto De Zerbi has called for an immediate response from Marseille as they prepare to face Ligue 1 leaders Lens. Following a disappointing performance against Liverpool, the OM manager emphasized the need for tactical discipline and consistency. While acknowledging the challenge posed by Lens's organization, De Zerbi remains optimistic about closing the gap at the top, despite being hampered by Emerson Palmieri's injury and fitness concerns regarding Nayef Aguerd.
A. Murillo, P. Højbjerg, M. O'Riley, T. Weah M. Greenwood, I. Paixão
FW
A. Gouiri
OUT
A. Gomes(OUT),
E. Palmieri(OUT),
Q. Timber(QUES),
N. Aguerd(OUT)
Lens (3-4-2-1)
Pierre Sage
GK
R. Risser
DF
I. Ganiou, M. Sarr, M. Udol
MF
S. Abdulhamid, A. Thomasson, M. Sangare, R. Aguilar F. Thauvin, W. Saïd
FW
O. Édouard
OUT
A. Haidara(QUES),
J. Gradit(OUT),
R. Gurtner(OUT),
J. Chávez(OUT),
S. Baidoo(QUES)
Referee
Benoît Bastien
Prediction
Over 8.5 Shots on Target @1.58
The stats for shots on target in this fixture are quite impressive for both sides. Marseille averages 6.33 shots on target at home while Lens manages 5.0 on their travels. This combined average suggests we will see plenty of work for the goalkeepers. Both teams play an expansive style of football that naturally leads to many direct efforts on the goal during matches.
When looking at the hit rate for this specific market, the numbers are very encouraging. Over 8.5 shots on target has landed in 89 percent of Marseille's home games and 78 percent of Lens's away matches. With both teams needing a win to boost their title hopes, neither side is likely to sit back and defend for long periods at the Vélodrome today.
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FAQ – Marseille vs Lens Prediction
Who is the favorite in the Marseille vs Lens match?
Lens enters as the league leader with incredible momentum, but Marseille is extremely strong at home, making this a very balanced contest.
Where can I watch the Marseille vs Lens live?
The Marseille vs Lens Ligue 1 match will be broadcast live on Amazon Prime and beIN Connect.
What time does Marseille vs Lens start?
Kick-off is scheduled for 20:05 (GMT) on Saturday, January 24, 2026.
Which players are likely to score?
Mason Greenwood is the top scorer for Marseille, while Wesley Saïd is the main goal threat for the visiting Lens side.
Alexandru Florin is a football betting expert, providing tips and accumulator predictions for xpertstats.com since 2022. With a strong focus on data-driven analysis, he delivers well-researched insights and reliable advice for bettors aiming for long-term profit.
