Union Berlin vs Dortmund Prediction and Betting Tips for the match scheduled for Saturday, January 24, 2026, at 17:30 GMT. The match will be broadcast live on Sky Sports and NOW TV from the Stadion An der Alten Försterei in Berlin. It will be a cold night.
Union comes into this game after a solid five match unbeaten run. Meanwhile, Dortmund sits second in the table and remains unbeaten in their last eleven fixtures. The visitors have a point per game average of 1.78 on the road. In this article, you will discover Latest Germany Bundesliga Predictions from XpertStats tipsters.
Union Berlin vs Dortmund Key Facts and Stats
Union Berlin has managed to find the net in their last nine consecutive league matches recently.
Both teams have scored in 78 percent of the home games played by Union Berlin.
Dortmund has stayed undefeated in their previous five away matches during this current league campaign.
The hosts commit an average of 14.44 fouls per match when playing at their stadium.
Every one of the last nine matches for Dortmund has seen at least two goals.
Referee Robert Hartmann will oversee a game that averages 5.5 total cards per match lately.
Potent home attack with an average of 1.67 goals scored per match this season.
Spectacular football with 78 percent of home matches finishing with over 2.5 goals.
Aggressive style that disrupts opponents by committing 14.44 average fouls per home game.
High percentage of home matches where both teams score reaching a 78 percent average.
- Union Berlin's Weaknesses
Defensive vulnerabilities at home with an average of 1.44 goals conceded every match.
Inconsistent home results with a modest average of 1.44 points per game recently.
Lack of clinical finishing with only 3.89 shots on target per game in Berlin.
League Position
2nd
+ Dortmund's Strengths
Strong title contenders currently sitting in 2nd place in the league standings.
Solid defensive unit on the road conceding only 1.22 goals per away match.
Top tier away form ranking 3rd in the league for points earned away.
Dangerous offensive output with an average of 1.78 goals scored in away fixtures.
- Dortmund's Weaknesses
Low offensive corner production away from home with only 3.44 won per game.
Defensive pressure from set pieces conceding an average of 5 corners per game.
Match Preview
Union Berlin is currently riding a wave of confidence after going five games without a single defeat. Steffen Baumgart has his team playing with real grit. They have scored eight times in their last five fixtures. Will their attacking momentum continue against one of the league defensive units?
Playing at home has been a mixed bag for the capital club this year. While they have picked up points, they still concede 1.44 goals on average at the Alte Forsterei. Still, their ability to find the net in four consecutive home games keeps the local fans hopeful.
Rani Khedira remains a vital cog in the midfield despite committing 26 fouls so far. His physical presence is exactly what Union needs to disrupt Dortmund rhythm. If they can keep it tight at the back, they might just snatch a surprise result this coming Saturday.
Dortmund is chasing the top spot and currently sits behind Bayern Munich in the table. Their away form has been superb lately. They are unbeaten in five games on the road. Scoring is rarely an issue for them, as they have netted in eighteen straight league matches now.
Niko Kovac seems to have found a formula that works away from their home stadium. With 1.78 points per game on the road, they are a threat to anyone. Sehrou Guirassy leads the line effectively. He has already netted six goals and remains their primary attacking threat.
Defensively, the visitors are quite sturdy when traveling. They only concede 1.22 goals per game. However, they do give away five corners on average. It will be interesting to see if they can handle the pressure. Check back later for our Latest Germany Bundesliga Predictions on the site.
Union Berlin vs Dortmund Predicted Lineups
Union Berlin (3-4-2-1)
Steffen Baumgart
GK
F. Rønnow
DF
D. Doekhi, L. Querfeld, D. Leite
MF
J. Haberer, R. Khedira, A. Kemlein, J. Juranović W. Jeong, I. Ansah
FW
A. Ilić
OUT
D. Köhn(OUT),
R. Skov(OUT),
T. Rothe(OUT),
T. Skarke(OUT),
D. Bogdanov(OUT),
Dortmund (3-4-2-1)
Niko Kovač
GK
G. Kobel
DF
N. Schlotterbeck, W. Anton, N. Süle
MF
D. Svensson, F. Nmecha, J. Bellingham, J. Ryerson J. Brandt, K. Adeyemi
FW
F. Silva
OUT
M. Sabitzer(QUES),
Referee
Robert Hartmann
Prediction
Over 3.4 Cards @1.50
This matchup features two of the most aggressive sides in the league when it comes to discipline. Union Berlin averages 3.11 cards per home game while the visitors receive 2.78 on their travels. With such high numbers, the intensity is expected to be through the roof from the first whistle. Both teams are fighting for crucial points in the standings, which often leads to tactical fouls.
Referee Robert Hartmann is known for keeping a tight lid on games. The statistics show a combined average of 5.5 cards per match for these two teams. Union commits over fourteen fouls per game at home, which will surely keep the official busy. Given the history of this fixture and the current stakes, seeing at least four cards shown to the players seems like a very safe bet.
Watch Union Berlin vs Dortmund Last Match Highlights
Understanding team discipline is vital for high-value betting. By analyzing our Yellow Cards Stats, you can identify aggressive patterns and referee tendencies before the opening whistle. Beyond disciplinary metrics, XpertStats offers deep-dive performance data, from goal intervals to expected goals (xG). Visit our full stats catalog to leverage league-wide benchmarking and precise probability models for every global fixture tonight.
FAQ – Union Berlin vs Dortmund Prediction
Who is the favorite to win between Union Berlin and Dortmund?
Dortmund is the slight favorite due to their second place position, but Union Berlin is currently unbeaten in five games and very tough at home.
Where can I watch Union Berlin vs Dortmund live?
The Union Berlin vs Dortmund Bundesliga match will be broadcast live on Sky Sports and NOW TV.
What time does Union Berlin vs Dortmund start?
Kick-off is scheduled for 17:30(GMT) on Saturday, January 24, 2026.
Alexandru Florin is a football betting expert, providing tips and accumulator predictions for xpertstats.com since 2022. With a strong focus on data-driven analysis, he delivers well-researched insights and reliable advice for bettors aiming for long-term profit.
